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ADTADT Inc.
$8.28
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

ADT is a market laggard (RS 38/99, Top 62%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-66%
Q4'24
$0.20
+67%
Q1'25
$0.15
+80%
Q2'25
$0.18
+26%
Q3'25
$0.16
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$8.28
50 DMA
$8.12
100 DMA
$8.40
150 DMA
$8.42
200 DMA
$8.35
Alignment Score: 2/4

ADT Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 38/99 is in Bottom 38% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
38 (Top 62%)>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern Stage
LATE_BASEAt pivot or near breakout
Trend
Weak DowntrendAbove 200 DMA

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on ADT, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
38/99
Top 62% (Need 80+)
Trend
Weak Downtrend
Below 200 DMA
RSI (14)
56
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
WARM
Score: 6/9
Volume
6.3M
+8% vs avg
From Entry
+1.7%
$8.14

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+26%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+4%
WEAK
F-Score
8/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
13%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
31/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Stalled Breakout

Broke out 1 year ago at $8.14 — flat from entry (+1.7%).

Breakout has stalled. Wait for new momentum or a fresh base pattern to develop.

Breakout Date2024-10-24449 days ago
Entry Was$8.14Breakout price
Gain Since+2%From entry
Reclaim$8.1721 EMA support

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 200 DMA$8.35+0.9%
  • 52W High$8.94+8.0%
  • Pivot$8.94+8.0%
Current$8.28

Support

  • 20 DMA$8.15-1.6%
  • 50 DMA$8.12-1.9%
  • 52W Low$7.17-13.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ADT stock a buy now?

ADT is a market laggard (RS 38/99, Top 62%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for ADT?

ADT broke out at $8.14 14 month(s) ago but has stalled (flat). Wait for fresh momentum or new base pattern.

What is ADT's RS Rating?

ADT has an RS Rating of 38/99, meaning it's in the Top 62% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.