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BWFGBankwell Financial Group, Inc.
$48.07
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

BWFG is a market laggard (RS 67/99, Top 33%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-66%
Q4'24
$0.37
+81%
Q1'25
$0.87
+721%
Q2'25
$1.15
+429%
Q3'25
$1.27
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Aligned Uptrend
Price
$48.07
50 DMA
$46.51
100 DMA
$45.06
150 DMA
$42.72
200 DMA
$40.23
Alignment Score: 4/4✓ Confirmed Uptrend

BWFG Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 67/99 is in Bottom 67% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
67 (Top 33%)>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern Stage
LATE_BASEAt pivot or near breakout
Breakout Status
-6.6% below entry ($51.44)Price above breakout entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on BWFG, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
67/99
Top 33% (Need 80+)
Trend
Aligned Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
50
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
WARM
Score: 6/9
Volume
21K
-49% vs avg
From Entry
-6.6%
$51.44

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+429%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
-28%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
N/A
NO DATA
F-Score
5/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
4%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
83/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Struggling

Broke out 4 weeks ago — now -6.6% from entry.

Below entry. Consider cutting losses or wait for reclaim of $51.44.

Breakout Date2025-12-1829 days ago
Entry Price$51.44-6.6% since
Trail Stop$51.44Breakeven or 21 EMA
Breakout Quality7/10🔥 Volume surge

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$51.54+7.2%
  • Pivot$51.54+7.2%
Current$48.07

Support

  • 20 DMA$47.41-1.4%
  • 50 DMA$46.51-3.2%
  • 200 DMA$40.23-16.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BWFG stock a buy now?

BWFG is a market laggard (RS 67/99, Top 33%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for BWFG?

BWFG's breakout at $51.44 has failed (now -6.6% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.

What is BWFG's RS Rating?

BWFG has an RS Rating of 67/99, meaning it's in the Top 33% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.