CENX Price Chart
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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
CENXCentury Aluminum Company
$48.49
Financials
WATCHLIST
Investment Thesis
CENX has good technicals (RS 95/99, IN BASE) but fundamentals are declining. potential breakout trade with moderate conviction. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.
Strong RS vs ordinary earnings = Proceed with caution
Key Takeaways
- Earnings weak
- RS 95 (Top 5%)
- Wait & watch
Earnings Momentum
Earnings Declining
Price Structure
Aligned UptrendPrice
$48.49
✓→
50 DMA
$34.25
✓→
100 DMA
$30.90
✓→
150 DMA
$27.42
✓→
200 DMA
$24.75
Alignment Score: 4/4✓ Confirmed Uptrend
Why Not BUY Yet?
EPS Growth
-67%→>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOT→At pivot or near breakout
RSI (14)
78 (ELEVATED)→<70 for safe entry
What Would Change Our Mind?
To turn bullish on CENX, we need:
- EPS Growth: >25% Qtr YoY(currently -67%)
- Pattern Stage: At pivot or near breakout(currently AT_PIVOT)
- RSI (14): <70 for safe entry(currently 78 (ELEVATED))
Twin Engines Dashboard
Technical Health
RS Rating
95/99
Top 5% ✓
Trend
Aligned Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
78
ELEVATED
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 4/9
Volume
2.3M
+6% vs avg
From Entry
+33.9%
$36.21
Fundamental Horsepower
EPS Qtr YoY
-67%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+17%
MODERATE
F-Score
4/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
67%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
19/99
Percentile
Trade Plan
RunningBreakout Date2025-12-1928 days ago
Entry Price$36.21+33.9% since
Pullback Zone$44.97 - $41.48 (10-21 EMA)Re-entry levels
Trail Stop$41.48Breakeven or 21 EMA
Breakout Quality5/10Normal volume
If/Then Playbook
IF: Price pulls back toward $36.21
THEN: Better entry on pullback to breakout area
IF: Price drops below $33.68 (-7% from entry)
THEN: Breakout failed - exit position
IF: Next earnings shows >25% EPS growth
THEN: Upgrade conviction level
IF: RS Rating drops below 75
THEN: Remove from priority watch
Key Price Levels
Resistance
- 52W High$49.67+2.4%
- Pivot$49.67+2.4%
Current$48.49
Support
- 20 DMA$41.21-15.0%
- 50 DMA$34.25-29.4%
- 200 DMA$24.75-49.0%
More CENX Analysis
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CENX stock a buy now?
CENX has good technicals (RS 95/99, IN BASE) but fundamentals are declining. potential breakout trade with moderate conviction. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.
What is the buy point for CENX?
CENX broke out at $36.21 and is now +33.9% extended. Consider waiting for a pullback to the $44.97 - $41.48 (10-21 EMA) for lower-risk entry.
What is CENX's RS Rating?
CENX has an RS Rating of 95/99, meaning it's in the Top 5% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.
Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.