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DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.
$141.21
Financials
WATCHLIST
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

DLTR broke out 1 month(s) ago at $129.97, but has stalled (+9%). Wait for fresh momentum or new base. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

Already broke out - entry point missed

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-119%
Q4'24
$-17.17
+17%
Q1'25
$1.61
+47%
Q2'25
$0.91
+11%
Q3'25
$1.20
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$141.21
50 DMA
$118.27
100 DMA
$108.11
150 DMA
$108.19
200 DMA
$102.00
Alignment Score: 3/4

DLTR Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA

Why Not BUY Yet?

EPS Growth
11%>25% (Strong) or 40%+ (Elite)
Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOTAt pivot or near breakout
RSI (14)
74 (ELEVATED)<70 for safe entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on DLTR, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
84/99
Top 16% ✓
Trend
Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
74
ELEVATED
VCP Setup
WARM
Score: 6/9
Volume
2.6M
-18% vs avg
From Entry
+8.6%
$129.97

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+11%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
-37%
DECLINING
F-Score
4/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
-54%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
10/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Stalled Breakout

Broke out 1 month ago at $129.97 — up modestly (+9%) from entry.

Breakout has stalled. Wait for new momentum or a fresh base pattern to develop.

Breakout Date2025-12-1136 days ago
Entry Was$129.97Breakout price
Gain Since+9%From entry
Reclaim$129.9221 EMA support

If/Then Playbook

IF: Deep pullback to 50 DMA or 21 EMA
THEN: Consider adding if holds support (original entry was $129.97)
IF: New base forms after 3-6 week consolidation
THEN: Re-evaluate for fresh entry point
IF: Price drops >25% from highs
THEN: Watch for Stage 3 top formation
IF: Next earnings shows >25% EPS growth
THEN: Upgrade conviction level
IF: RS Rating drops below 75
THEN: Remove from priority watch

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$142.40+0.8%
  • Pivot$142.40+0.8%
Current$141.21

Support

  • 20 DMA$129.19-8.5%
  • 50 DMA$118.27-16.2%
  • 200 DMA$102.00-27.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is DLTR stock a buy now?

DLTR broke out 1 month(s) ago at $129.97, but has stalled (+9%). Wait for fresh momentum or new base. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

What is the buy point for DLTR?

DLTR broke out at $129.97 1 month(s) ago but has stalled (+9%). Wait for fresh momentum or new base pattern.

What is DLTR's RS Rating?

DLTR has an RS Rating of 84/99, meaning it's in the Top 16% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.