GEO Price Chart
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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
GEOThe GEO Group, Inc.
$17.49
Financials
AVOID
Investment Thesis
GEO is a market laggard (RS 22/99, Top 78%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.
Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass
Key Takeaways
- Earnings strong
- RS 22 - market laggard
- No base pattern
- Wait & watch
Earnings Momentum
Earnings Accelerating
Price Structure
Broken StructurePrice
$17.49
✓→
50 DMA
$16.16
→
100 DMA
$17.89
→
150 DMA
$19.91
→
200 DMA
$21.96
Alignment Score: 1/4
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED
RS Rating 22/99 is in Bottom 22% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)
Why Not BUY Yet?
RS Rating
22 (Top 78%)→>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base forming→VCP or constructive base
Trend
Downtrend→Above 200 DMA
Breakout Status
-48.3% below entry ($33.85)→Price above breakout entry
What Would Change Our Mind?
To turn bullish on GEO, we need:
- RS Rating: >80 (Top 20%)(currently 22 (Top 78%))
- Pattern: VCP or constructive base(currently No base forming)
- Trend: Above 200 DMA(currently Downtrend)
- Breakout Status: Price above breakout entry(currently -48.3% below entry ($33.85))
- Breakout Recovery: Price recovers above $33.85(currently -48.3% below entry)
Twin Engines Dashboard
Technical Health
RS Rating
22/99
Top 78% (Need 80+)
Trend
Downtrend
Below 200 DMA
RSI (14)
58
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 5/9
Volume
1.3M
-23% vs avg
From Entry
-48.3%
$33.85
Fundamental Horsepower
EPS Qtr YoY
+6%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
-28%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+13%
Accelerating
F-Score
7/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
2%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
97/99
Percentile
Trade Plan
Breakout FailedEntry Price$33.85Breakout price
Current Loss-48.3%Below entry
Stop Was$31.14Should have exited
If/Then Playbook
IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround
Key Price Levels
Resistance
- 200 DMA$21.96+25.5%
- 52W High$36.46+108.5%
Current$17.49
Support
- 20 DMA$16.59-5.1%
- 50 DMA$16.16-7.6%
- 52W Low$14.27-18.4%
More GEO Analysis
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GEO stock a buy now?
GEO is a market laggard (RS 22/99, Top 78%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.
What is the buy point for GEO?
GEO's breakout at $33.85 has failed (now -48.3% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.
What is GEO's RS Rating?
GEO has an RS Rating of 22/99, meaning it's in the Top 78% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.
Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.