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MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp.
$283.55
Financials
WATCHLIST
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

MSGS has good technicals (RS 81/99, IN BASE) but fundamentals are declining. potential breakout trade with moderate conviction. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

Strong RS vs ordinary earnings = Proceed with caution

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-92%
Q2'25
$0.05
-138%
Q3'25
$-0.59
-107%
Q4'25
$-0.07
-19%
Q1'26
$-0.37
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Aligned Uptrend
Price
$283.55
50 DMA
$237.54
100 DMA
$226.72
150 DMA
$218.33
200 DMA
$211.49
Alignment Score: 4/4✓ Confirmed Uptrend

MSGS Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA

Why Not BUY Yet?

EPS Growth
-19%>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOTAt pivot or near breakout
RSI (14)
82 (OVERBOUGHT)<70 for safe entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on MSGS, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
81/99
Top 19% ✓
Trend
Aligned Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
82
OVERBOUGHT
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 4/9
Volume
185K
+12% vs avg
From Entry
+12.3%
$252.44

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
-19%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
-26%
DECLINING
F-Score
5/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
N/A
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
12/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Running

Broke out 3 weeks ago — now +12.3% from entry.

Trail stop at $259.67 (21 EMA or entry). Add on pullback to $269.79 - $259.67 (10-21 EMA).

Breakout Date2025-12-2225 days ago
Entry Price$252.44+12.3% since
Pullback Zone$269.79 - $259.67 (10-21 EMA)Re-entry levels
Trail Stop$259.67Breakeven or 21 EMA
Breakout Quality5/10Normal volume

If/Then Playbook

IF: Price pulls back toward $252.44
THEN: Better entry on pullback to breakout area
IF: Price drops below $234.77 (-7% from entry)
THEN: Breakout failed - exit position
IF: Next earnings shows >25% EPS growth
THEN: Upgrade conviction level
IF: RS Rating drops below 75
THEN: Remove from priority watch

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$288.65+1.8%
  • Pivot$288.65+1.8%
Current$283.55

Support

  • 20 DMA$259.85-8.4%
  • 50 DMA$237.54-16.2%
  • 200 DMA$211.49-25.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MSGS stock a buy now?

MSGS has good technicals (RS 81/99, IN BASE) but fundamentals are declining. potential breakout trade with moderate conviction. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

What is the buy point for MSGS?

MSGS broke out at $252.44 and is now +12.3% extended. Consider waiting for a pullback to the $269.79 - $259.67 (10-21 EMA) for lower-risk entry.

What is MSGS's RS Rating?

MSGS has an RS Rating of 81/99, meaning it's in the Top 19% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.