MTH Price Chart
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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
MTHMeritage Homes Corporation
$78.25
Financials
AVOID
Investment Thesis
MTH is a market laggard (RS 58/99, Top 42%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.
Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass
Key Takeaways
- Earnings weak
- RS 58 - market laggard
- Wait & watch
Earnings Momentum
Earnings Declining
Price Structure
Partial AlignmentPrice
$78.25
✓→
50 DMA
$69.51
→
100 DMA
$71.50
✓→
150 DMA
$71.29
✓→
200 DMA
$70.09
Alignment Score: 3/4
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED
RS Rating 58/99 is in Bottom 58% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)
Why Not BUY Yet?
RS Rating
58 (Top 42%)→>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
-48%→>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOT→At pivot or near breakout
What Would Change Our Mind?
To turn bullish on MTH, we need:
- RS Rating: >80 (Top 20%)(currently 58 (Top 42%))
- EPS Growth: >25% Qtr YoY(currently -48%)
- Pattern Stage: At pivot or near breakout(currently AT_PIVOT)
Twin Engines Dashboard
Technical Health
RS Rating
58/99
Top 42% (Need 80+)
Trend
Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
68
BULLISH
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 5/9
Volume
803K
-3% vs avg
From Entry
+0.2%
$78.09
Fundamental Horsepower
EPS Qtr YoY
-48%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
+4%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
-11%
DECLINING
F-Score
4/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
16%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
28/99
Percentile
Trade Plan
Stalled BreakoutBreakout Date2025-08-13156 days ago
Entry Was$78.09Breakout price
Gain Since+0%From entry
Reclaim$71.3721 EMA support
If/Then Playbook
IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround
Key Price Levels
Resistance
- Pivot$82.00+4.8%
- 52W High$84.74+8.3%
Current$78.25
Support
- 200 DMA$70.09-10.4%
- 50 DMA$69.51-11.2%
- 20 DMA$69.34-11.4%
More MTH Analysis
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTH stock a buy now?
MTH is a market laggard (RS 58/99, Top 42%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.
What is the buy point for MTH?
MTH broke out at $78.09 5 month(s) ago but has stalled (flat). Wait for fresh momentum or new base pattern.
What is MTH's RS Rating?
MTH has an RS Rating of 58/99, meaning it's in the Top 42% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.
Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.