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MURMurphy Oil Corporation
$33.27
Financials
AVOID
Analysis updated: Jan 14, 2026

Investment Thesis

MUR has middling strength (RS 77/99) and declining earnings. Wait for fundamental turnaround. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Below-average RS + negative growth = No edge

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-70%
Q4'24
$0.34
-15%
Q1'25
$0.50
-81%
Q2'25
$0.16
-102%
Q3'25
$-0.02
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Aligned Uptrend
Price
$33.27
✓
→
50 DMA
$31.01
✓
→
100 DMA
$29.14
✓
→
150 DMA
$27.53
✓
→
200 DMA
$26.17
Alignment Score: 4/4✓ Confirmed Uptrend

MUR Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

Declining/weak EPS with RS < 80. Need either 80+ RS OR super-performer earnings.

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
77 (Top 23%)→>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
-102%→>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOT→At pivot or near breakout

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on MUR, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
77/99
Top 23% (Need 80+)
Trend
Aligned Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
54
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 5/9
Volume
2.9M
+38% vs avg
From Entry
+3.7%
$32.07

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
-102%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
+104%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
-4%
DECLINING
F-Score
5/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
7%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
19/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Stalled Breakout

Broke out 1 month ago at $32.07 — up modestly (+4%) from entry.

Breakout has stalled. Wait for new momentum or a fresh base pattern to develop.

Breakout Date2025-11-2847 days ago
Entry Was$32.07Breakout price
Gain Since+4%From entry
Reclaim$31.7821 EMA support

If/Then Playbook

IF: EPS growth turns positive next quarter
THEN: Reassess with fresh eyes
IF: RS Rating improves to >85
THEN: Consider for WATCHLIST if EPS improves

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$34.32+3.2%
  • Pivot$34.32+3.2%
Current$33.27

Support

  • 20 DMA$31.71-4.7%
  • 50 DMA$31.01-6.8%
  • 200 DMA$26.17-21.3%

More MUR Analysis

Fundamental Analysis →Intrinsic Value →Total Return Calculator →

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is MUR stock a buy now?

MUR has middling strength (RS 77/99) and declining earnings. Wait for fundamental turnaround. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for MUR?

MUR broke out at $32.07 1 month(s) ago but has stalled (+4%). Wait for fresh momentum or new base pattern.

What is MUR's RS Rating?

MUR has an RS Rating of 77/99, meaning it's in the Top 23% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.