NREF Price Chart
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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
NREFNexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc.
$14.85
Financials
AVOID
Investment Thesis
NREF is a market laggard (RS 40/99, Top 60%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.
Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass
Key Takeaways
- Earnings strong
- RS 40 - market laggard
- Wait & watch
Earnings Momentum
Earnings Accelerating
Price Structure
Partial AlignmentPrice
$14.85
✓→
50 DMA
$14.20
✓→
100 DMA
$14.19
✓→
150 DMA
$14.18
→
200 DMA
$14.24
Alignment Score: 3/4
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED
RS Rating 40/99 is in Bottom 40% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)
Why Not BUY Yet?
RS Rating
40 (Top 60%)→>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOT→At pivot or near breakout
Breakout Status
-16.5% below entry ($17.78)→Price above breakout entry
What Would Change Our Mind?
To turn bullish on NREF, we need:
- RS Rating: >80 (Top 20%)(currently 40 (Top 60%))
- Pattern Stage: At pivot or near breakout(currently AT_PIVOT)
- Breakout Status: Price above breakout entry(currently -16.5% below entry ($17.78))
- Breakout Recovery: Price recovers above $17.78(currently -16.5% below entry)
Twin Engines Dashboard
Technical Health
RS Rating
40/99
Top 60% (Need 80+)
Trend
Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
61
BULLISH
VCP Setup
HOT
Score: 7/9
Volume
41K
-28% vs avg
From Entry
-16.5%
$17.78
Fundamental Horsepower
EPS Qtr YoY
+78%
Growing
EPS 3Y CAGR
-36%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+103%
Accelerating
F-Score
6/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
6%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
91/99
Percentile
Trade Plan
Breakout FailedEntry Price$17.78Breakout price
Current Loss-16.5%Below entry
Stop Was$16.36Should have exited
If/Then Playbook
IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround
Key Price Levels
Resistance
- Pivot$15.42+3.8%
- 52W High$16.80+13.1%
Current$14.85
Support
- 200 DMA$14.24-4.1%
- 20 DMA$14.21-4.3%
- 50 DMA$14.20-4.4%
More NREF Analysis
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NREF stock a buy now?
NREF is a market laggard (RS 40/99, Top 60%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.
What is the buy point for NREF?
NREF's breakout at $17.78 has failed (now -16.5% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.
What is NREF's RS Rating?
NREF has an RS Rating of 40/99, meaning it's in the Top 60% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.
Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.