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OBTOrange County Bancorp, Inc.
$29.86
Financials
AVOID
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

OBT is a market laggard (RS 61/99, Top 39%) with moderate fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-65%
Q3'24
$0.28
-12%
Q4'24
$0.63
-6%
Q1'25
$0.77
+19%
Q2'25
$0.87
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Aligned Uptrend
Price
$29.86
✓
→
50 DMA
$27.72
✓
→
100 DMA
$26.52
✓
→
150 DMA
$26.24
✓
→
200 DMA
$25.78
Alignment Score: 4/4✓ Confirmed Uptrend

OBT Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 61/99 is in Bottom 61% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
61 (Top 39%)→>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
19%→>25% (Strong) or 40%+ (Elite)
Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOT→At pivot or near breakout

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on OBT, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
61/99
Top 39% (Need 80+)
Trend
Aligned Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
59
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
WARM
Score: 6/9
Volume
27K
-3% vs avg
From Entry
+3.4%
$28.87

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+19%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
+5%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
N/A
NO DATA
F-Score
5/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
16%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
34/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Stalled Breakout

Broke out 1 month ago at $28.87 — up modestly (+3%) from entry.

Breakout has stalled. Wait for new momentum or a fresh base pattern to develop.

Breakout Date2025-12-1037 days ago
Entry Was$28.87Breakout price
Gain Since+3%From entry
Reclaim$28.8121 EMA support

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$30.25+1.3%
  • Pivot$30.25+1.3%
Current$29.86

Support

  • 20 DMA$29.01-2.8%
  • 50 DMA$27.72-7.2%
  • 200 DMA$25.78-13.7%

More OBT Analysis

Fundamental Analysis →Intrinsic Value →Total Return Calculator →

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is OBT stock a buy now?

OBT is a market laggard (RS 61/99, Top 39%) with moderate fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for OBT?

OBT broke out at $28.87 1 month(s) ago but has stalled (+3%). Wait for fresh momentum or new base pattern.

What is OBT's RS Rating?

OBT has an RS Rating of 61/99, meaning it's in the Top 39% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.