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ORIOld Republic International Corporation
$43.32
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

ORI is a market laggard (RS 55/99, Top 45%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-39%
Q4'24
$0.42
-15%
Q1'25
$0.98
+131%
Q2'25
$0.81
-16%
Q3'25
$1.11
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$43.32
50 DMA
$44.14
100 DMA
$42.58
150 DMA
$40.84
200 DMA
$40.04
Alignment Score: 3/4

ORI Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 55/99 is in Bottom 55% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
55 (Top 45%)>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
-16%>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Breakout Status
-2.3% from entry ($44.35)Breakout confirmation (hold above entry)

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on ORI, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
55/99
Top 45% (Need 80+)
Trend
Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
43
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 5/9
Volume
1.3M
-20% vs avg
From Entry
-2.3%
$44.35

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
-16%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
-14%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+4%
WEAK
F-Score
7/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
14%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
39/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Struggling

Broke out 2 months ago at $44.35 — -2% below entry.

Breakout underperforming. Wait for price to reclaim entry or form a new base.

Breakout Date2025-11-1463 days ago
Entry Was$44.35Breakout price
Loss Since-2%From entry
Wait For$44.35Reclaim entry or new base

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 50 DMA$44.14+1.9%
  • 20 DMA$44.50+2.7%
  • 52W High$46.76+7.9%
Current$43.32

Support

  • 200 DMA$40.04-7.6%
  • 52W Low$34.43-20.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ORI stock a buy now?

ORI is a market laggard (RS 55/99, Top 45%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for ORI?

ORI broke out at $44.35 2 month(s) ago but is now -2% below entry. Wait for new base pattern.

What is ORI's RS Rating?

ORI has an RS Rating of 55/99, meaning it's in the Top 45% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.