PGR Price Chart
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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
PGRThe Progressive Corporation
$203.52
Financials
WATCHLIST
Investment Thesis
PGR has SUPER PERFORMER fundamentals but no low-risk entry point yet. Watch for base formation or pullback entry. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.
Good earnings but no pattern = Wait for setup
Key Takeaways
- Earnings strong
- RS 23 - market laggard
- No base pattern
- Wait & watch
Earnings Momentum
Earnings Accelerating
Price Structure
Broken StructurePrice
$203.52
→
50 DMA
$222.18
→
100 DMA
$229.23
→
150 DMA
$236.76
→
200 DMA
$246.67
Alignment Score: 0/4
Why Not BUY Yet?
RS Rating
23 (Top 77%)→>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base forming→VCP or constructive base
Trend
Downtrend→Above 200 DMA
Breakout Status
-26.9% below entry ($278.52)→Price above breakout entry
What Would Change Our Mind?
To turn bullish on PGR, we need:
- RS Rating: >80 (Top 20%)(currently 23 (Top 77%))
- Pattern: VCP or constructive base(currently No base forming)
- Trend: Above 200 DMA(currently Downtrend)
- Breakout Status: Price above breakout entry(currently -26.9% below entry ($278.52))
- Breakout Recovery: Price recovers above $278.52(currently -26.9% below entry)
Twin Engines Dashboard
Technical Health
RS Rating
23/99
Top 77% (Need 80+)
Trend
Downtrend
Below 200 DMA
RSI (14)
33
WEAK
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 3/9
Volume
4.1M
+29% vs avg
From Entry
-26.9%
$278.52
Fundamental Horsepower
EPS Qtr YoY
+118%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
+37%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+21%
STRONG
F-Score
7/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
37%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
72/99
Percentile
Trade Plan
Breakout FailedEntry Price$278.52Breakout price
Current Loss-26.9%Below entry
Stop Was$256.24Should have exited
If/Then Playbook
IF: Stock begins forming a base (pullback 10-20%)
THEN: Add to active watch for VCP development
IF: VCP pattern develops (base tightens)
THEN: Calculate pivot and prepare trade plan
IF: Price drops >20% from highs
THEN: Watch for Stage 2 breakdown
IF: Next earnings confirms growth acceleration
THEN: Maintain on priority list
Key Price Levels
Resistance
- 20 DMA$218.90+7.6%
- 50 DMA$222.18+9.2%
- 200 DMA$246.67+21.2%
Current$203.52
Support
- 52W Low$199.90-1.8%
More PGR Analysis
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PGR stock a buy now?
PGR has SUPER PERFORMER fundamentals but no low-risk entry point yet. Watch for base formation or pullback entry. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.
What is the buy point for PGR?
PGR's breakout at $278.52 has failed (now -26.9% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.
What is PGR's RS Rating?
PGR has an RS Rating of 23/99, meaning it's in the Top 77% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.
Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.