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RDWRedwire Corporation
$10.66
Financials
NEUTRAL
Analysis updated: Jan 14, 2026

Investment Thesis

RDW is neither a clear buy nor avoid. RS 79/99, moderate earnings. keep it on your radar.

Mixed signals = No edge currently

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-962%
Q4'24
$-1.38
+24%
Q1'25
$-0.09
-404%
Q2'25
$-1.41
+22%
Q3'25
$-0.29
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Broken Structure
Price
$10.66
50 DMA
$7.06
100 DMA
$7.93
150 DMA
$10.36
200 DMA
$10.62
Alignment Score: 1/4

RDW Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
79 (Top 21%)>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
22%>25% (Strong) or 40%+ (Elite)
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Breakout Status
-37.6% below entry ($17.09)Price above breakout entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on RDW, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
79/99
Top 21% (Need 80+)
Trend
Weak Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
69
BULLISH
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 1/9
Volume
32.2M
+165% vs avg
From Entry
-37.6%
$17.09

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+22%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+51%
Accelerating
F-Score
2/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
-250%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
8/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Breakout Failed

Breakout failed — now -37.6% from entry.

Setup invalid. Wait for new base to form before considering re-entry.

Entry Price$17.09Breakout price
Current Loss-37.6%Below entry
Stop Was$15.72Should have exited

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for potential
IF: EPS growth accelerates next quarter
THEN: Check for developing setup
IF: VCP pattern begins forming
THEN: Add to watchlist if RS also improving
IF: Price breaks below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$26.66+150.1%
Current$10.66

Support

  • 200 DMA$10.62-0.3%
  • 20 DMA$8.42-21.0%
  • 50 DMA$7.06-33.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is RDW stock a buy now?

RDW is neither a clear buy nor avoid. RS 79/99, moderate earnings. keep it on your radar.

What is the buy point for RDW?

RDW's breakout at $17.09 has failed (now -37.6% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.

What is RDW's RS Rating?

RDW has an RS Rating of 79/99, meaning it's in the Top 21% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.