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SAMThe Boston Beer Company, Inc.
$216.08
Financials
WATCHLIST
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

SAM has SUPER PERFORMER fundamentals but no low-risk entry point yet. Watch for base formation or pullback entry. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

Good earnings but no pattern = Wait for setup

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-127%
Q4'24
$-3.38
+106%
Q1'25
$2.16
+24%
Q2'25
$5.45
+48%
Q3'25
$4.25
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$216.08
50 DMA
$199.78
100 DMA
$209.67
150 DMA
$208.46
200 DMA
$215.77
Alignment Score: 2/4

SAM Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
36 (Top 64%)>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Breakout Status
-31.0% below entry ($313.27)Price above breakout entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on SAM, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
36/99
Top 64% (Need 80+)
Trend
Weak Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
70
BULLISH
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 4/9
Volume
147K
-7% vs avg
From Entry
-31.0%
$313.27

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+48%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
+63%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
-11%
DECLINING
F-Score
7/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
6%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
60/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Breakout Failed

Breakout failed — now -31.0% from entry.

Setup invalid. Wait for new base to form before considering re-entry.

Entry Price$313.27Breakout price
Current Loss-31.0%Below entry
Stop Was$288.21Should have exited

If/Then Playbook

IF: Stock begins forming a base (pullback 10-20%)
THEN: Add to active watch for VCP development
IF: VCP pattern develops (base tightens)
THEN: Calculate pivot and prepare trade plan
IF: Price drops >20% from highs
THEN: Watch for Stage 2 breakdown
IF: Next earnings confirms growth acceleration
THEN: Maintain on priority list

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$260.00+20.3%
Current$216.08

Support

  • 200 DMA$215.77-0.1%
  • 20 DMA$202.34-6.4%
  • 50 DMA$199.78-7.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SAM stock a buy now?

SAM has SUPER PERFORMER fundamentals but no low-risk entry point yet. Watch for base formation or pullback entry. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

What is the buy point for SAM?

SAM's breakout at $313.27 has failed (now -31.0% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.

What is SAM's RS Rating?

SAM has an RS Rating of 36/99, meaning it's in the Top 64% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.