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SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.
$3.19
Analysis updated: Jan 14, 2026

Investment Thesis

SPCE is a market laggard (RS 42/99, Top 58%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+51%
Q4'24
$-2.53
+52%
Q1'25
$-2.38
+66%
Q2'25
$-1.47
+59%
Q3'25
$-1.09
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$3.19
50 DMA
$3.54
100 DMA
$3.58
150 DMA
$3.49
200 DMA
$3.39
Alignment Score: 2/4

SPCE Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 42/99 is in Bottom 42% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
42 (Top 58%)>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Trend
Weak DowntrendAbove 200 DMA

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on SPCE, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
42/99
Top 58% (Need 80+)
Trend
Weak Downtrend
Below 200 DMA
RSI (14)
44
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 3/9
Volume
5.0M
+15% vs avg
Breakout
None
No recent breakout

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+59%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
-9%
DECLINING
F-Score
2/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
-84%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
74/99
Percentile

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 20 DMA$3.26+2.2%
  • 200 DMA$3.39+6.1%
  • 50 DMA$3.54+10.9%
Current$3.19

Support

  • 52W Low$2.18-31.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SPCE stock a buy now?

SPCE is a market laggard (RS 42/99, Top 58%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for SPCE?

SPCE currently has no confirmed breakout. Wait for a VCP pattern breakout with volume at least 40% above average before determining an actionable buy point.

What is SPCE's RS Rating?

SPCE has an RS Rating of 42/99, meaning it's in the Top 58% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.