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TOSTToast, Inc.
$33.76
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

TOST is a market laggard (RS 28/99, Top 72%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+176%
Q4'24
$0.06
+159%
Q1'25
$0.09
+446%
Q2'25
$0.13
+136%
Q3'25
$0.16
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Broken Structure
Price
$33.76
50 DMA
$35.48
100 DMA
$37.18
150 DMA
$39.69
200 DMA
$39.38
Alignment Score: 1/4

TOST Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 28/99 is in Bottom 28% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
28 (Top 72%)>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Trend
Weak DowntrendAbove 200 DMA
Breakout Status
-23.2% below entry ($43.96)Price above breakout entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on TOST, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
28/99
Top 72% (Need 80+)
Trend
Weak Downtrend
Below 200 DMA
RSI (14)
50
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 3/9
Volume
11.0M
+47% vs avg
From Entry
-23.2%
$43.96

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+136%
Growing
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+25%
STRONG
F-Score
8/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
1%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
96/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Breakout Failed

Breakout failed — now -23.2% from entry.

Setup invalid. Wait for new base to form before considering re-entry.

Entry Price$43.96Breakout price
Current Loss-23.2%Below entry
Stop Was$40.44Should have exited

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 50 DMA$35.48+5.1%
  • 20 DMA$35.86+6.2%
  • 200 DMA$39.38+16.6%
Current$33.76

Support

  • 52W Low$28.12-16.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TOST stock a buy now?

TOST is a market laggard (RS 28/99, Top 72%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for TOST?

TOST's breakout at $43.96 has failed (now -23.2% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.

What is TOST's RS Rating?

TOST has an RS Rating of 28/99, meaning it's in the Top 72% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.