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TROXTronox Holdings plc
$5.85
Financials
WATCHLIST
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

TROX broke out 19 month(s) ago at $20.29, but is now -71% below entry. Wait for new base. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

Already broke out - entry point missed

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+47%
Q4'24
$-0.19
-1124%
Q1'25
$-0.70
-630%
Q2'25
$-0.53
-294%
Q3'25
$-0.63
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$5.85
50 DMA
$4.15
100 DMA
$4.13
150 DMA
$4.37
200 DMA
$4.63
Alignment Score: 2/4

TROX Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA

Why Not BUY Yet?

EPS Growth
-294%>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOTAt pivot or near breakout
RSI (14)
76 (ELEVATED)<70 for safe entry
Breakout Status
-71.2% below entry ($20.29)Price above breakout entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on TROX, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
80/99
Top 20% ✓
Trend
Weak Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
76
ELEVATED
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 4/9
Volume
3.9M
-9% vs avg
From Entry
-71.2%
$20.29

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
-294%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
-13%
DECLINING
F-Score
5/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
-3%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
7/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Breakout Failed

Breakout failed — now -71.2% from entry.

Setup invalid. Wait for new base to form before considering re-entry.

Entry Price$20.29Breakout price
Current Loss-71.2%Below entry
Stop Was$18.67Should have exited

If/Then Playbook

IF: Deep pullback to 50 DMA or 21 EMA
THEN: Consider adding if holds support (original entry was $20.29)
IF: New base forms after 3-6 week consolidation
THEN: Re-evaluate for fresh entry point
IF: Price drops >25% from highs
THEN: Watch for Stage 3 top formation
IF: Next earnings shows >25% EPS growth
THEN: Upgrade conviction level
IF: RS Rating drops below 75
THEN: Remove from priority watch

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • Pivot$5.90+0.9%
  • 52W High$10.60+81.2%
Current$5.85

Support

  • 20 DMA$4.78-18.2%
  • 200 DMA$4.63-20.8%
  • 50 DMA$4.15-29.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TROX stock a buy now?

TROX broke out 19 month(s) ago at $20.29, but is now -71% below entry. Wait for new base. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

What is the buy point for TROX?

TROX's breakout at $20.29 has failed (now -71.2% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.

What is TROX's RS Rating?

TROX has an RS Rating of 80/99, meaning it's in the Top 20% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.