UGP Price Chart
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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
UGPUltrapar Participações S.A.
$4.12
Financials
AVOID
Investment Thesis
UGP is a market laggard (RS 56/99, Top 44%) with moderate fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.
Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass
Key Takeaways
- Earnings moderate
- RS 56 - market laggard
- Wait & watch
Earnings Momentum
Earnings Growing
Price Structure
Aligned UptrendPrice
$4.12
✓→
50 DMA
$3.98
✓→
100 DMA
$3.92
✓→
150 DMA
$3.65
✓→
200 DMA
$3.49
Alignment Score: 4/4✓ Confirmed Uptrend
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED
RS Rating 56/99 is in Bottom 56% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)
Why Not BUY Yet?
RS Rating
56 (Top 44%)→>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
10%→>25% (Strong) or 40%+ (Elite)
Pattern Stage
LATE_BASE→At pivot or near breakout
Breakout Status
-3.1% from entry ($4.25)→Breakout confirmation (hold above entry)
What Would Change Our Mind?
To turn bullish on UGP, we need:
- RS Rating: >80 (Top 20%)(currently 56 (Top 44%))
- EPS Growth: >25% (Strong) or 40%+ (Elite)(currently 10%)
- Pattern Stage: At pivot or near breakout(currently LATE_BASE)
- Breakout Status: Breakout confirmation (hold above entry)(currently -3.1% from entry ($4.25))
- Breakout Recovery: Price recovers above $4.25(currently -3.1% below entry)
Twin Engines Dashboard
Technical Health
RS Rating
56/99
Top 44% (Need 80+)
Trend
Aligned Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
61
BULLISH
VCP Setup
WARM
Score: 7/9
Volume
1.0M
-35% vs avg
From Entry
-3.1%
$4.25
Fundamental Horsepower
EPS Qtr YoY
+10%
Growing
EPS 3Y CAGR
+39%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+5%
WEAK
F-Score
4/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
16%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
53/99
Percentile
Trade Plan
StrugglingBreakout Date2025-11-1067 days ago
Entry Was$4.25Breakout price
Loss Since-3%From entry
Wait For$4.25Reclaim entry or new base
If/Then Playbook
IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround
Key Price Levels
Resistance
- 52W High$4.40+6.8%
- Pivot$4.40+6.8%
Current$4.12
Support
- 50 DMA$3.98-3.3%
- 20 DMA$3.82-7.2%
- 200 DMA$3.49-15.3%
More UGP Analysis
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UGP stock a buy now?
UGP is a market laggard (RS 56/99, Top 44%) with moderate fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.
What is the buy point for UGP?
UGP broke out at $4.25 2 month(s) ago but is now -3% below entry. Wait for new base pattern.
What is UGP's RS Rating?
UGP has an RS Rating of 56/99, meaning it's in the Top 44% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.
Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.