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VALNValneva SE
$10.04
Financials
WATCHLIST
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

VALN has STRONG fundamentals but no low-risk entry point yet. Watch for base formation or pullback entry. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

Good earnings but no pattern = Wait for setup

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+74%
Q3'24
$-0.13
-13%
Q4'24
$-0.52
-114%
Q1'25
$-0.12
+61%
Q2'25
$-0.15
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$10.04
50 DMA
$8.95
100 DMA
$9.37
150 DMA
$8.72
200 DMA
$8.16
Alignment Score: 3/4

VALN Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA

Why Not BUY Yet?

Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on VALN, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
80/99
Top 20% ✓
Trend
Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
69
BULLISH
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 6/9
Volume
42K
+80% vs avg
From Entry
+10.2%
$9.11

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+61%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+27%
STRONG
F-Score
5/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
-8%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
17/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Extended

Broke out 5 months ago at $9.11 — now +10% extended.

Wait for deep pullback to $9.73 - $9.36 (10-21 EMA) or new base formation.

Breakout Date2025-08-08161 days ago
Entry Was$9.11Breakout price
Gain Since+10%From entry
Wait For$9.73 - $9.36 (10-21 EMA)Deep pullback zone

If/Then Playbook

IF: Stock begins forming a base (pullback 10-20%)
THEN: Add to active watch for VCP development
IF: VCP pattern develops (base tightens)
THEN: Calculate pivot and prepare trade plan
IF: Price drops >20% from highs
THEN: Watch for Stage 2 breakdown
IF: Next earnings confirms growth acceleration
THEN: Maintain on priority list

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$12.25+22.0%
Current$10.04

Support

  • 20 DMA$9.07-9.7%
  • 50 DMA$8.95-10.8%
  • 200 DMA$8.16-18.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is VALN stock a buy now?

VALN has STRONG fundamentals but no low-risk entry point yet. Watch for base formation or pullback entry. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

What is the buy point for VALN?

VALN broke out at $9.11 5 month(s) ago and is now +10% extended. Wait for a pullback to the 21 EMA or a new base pattern.

What is VALN's RS Rating?

VALN has an RS Rating of 80/99, meaning it's in the Top 20% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.