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GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.
$74.19
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

GRBK is a market laggard (RS 65/99, Top 35%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+46%
Q4'24
$2.31
-8%
Q1'25
$1.67
-20%
Q2'25
$1.85
-11%
Q3'25
$1.77
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$74.19
50 DMA
$65.49
100 DMA
$67.73
150 DMA
$66.81
200 DMA
$64.79
Alignment Score: 3/4

GRBK Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 65/99 is in Bottom 65% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
65 (Top 35%)>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
-11%>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOTAt pivot or near breakout
RSI (14)
71 (ELEVATED)<70 for safe entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on GRBK, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
65/99
Top 35% (Need 80+)
Trend
Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
71
ELEVATED
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 5/9
Volume
276K
+19% vs avg
From Entry
+4.6%
$70.96

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
-11%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
+31%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
-5%
DECLINING
F-Score
7/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
25%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
42/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Stalled Breakout

Broke out 5 months ago at $70.96 — up modestly (+5%) from entry.

Breakout has stalled. Wait for new momentum or a fresh base pattern to develop.

Breakout Date2025-08-13156 days ago
Entry Was$70.96Breakout price
Gain Since+5%From entry
Reclaim$67.9021 EMA support

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$77.93+5.0%
  • Pivot$77.93+5.0%
Current$74.19

Support

  • 20 DMA$66.36-10.6%
  • 50 DMA$65.49-11.7%
  • 200 DMA$64.79-12.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GRBK stock a buy now?

GRBK is a market laggard (RS 65/99, Top 35%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for GRBK?

GRBK broke out at $70.96 5 month(s) ago but has stalled (+5%). Wait for fresh momentum or new base pattern.

What is GRBK's RS Rating?

GRBK has an RS Rating of 65/99, meaning it's in the Top 35% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.