Comprehensive Stock Comparison
Compare CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) vs Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) Stock
Analyze side-by-side fundamentals, valuation, growth, and profitability to decide which stock is the better buy.
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Quick Verdict
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | CMS | 13.6% revenue growth vs DUK's 6.2% |
| Value | DUK | Lower P/E (19.5x vs 20.2x), PEG 0.66 vs 3.37 |
| Quality / Margins | DUK | 15.7% net margin vs CMS's 12.6% |
| Stability / Safety | DUK | Lower D/E ratio (171.4% vs 199.2%) |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | DUK | +15.0% vs CMS's +9.9% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | CMS | 2.8% ROA vs DUK's 2.6%, ROIC 4.9% vs 4.6% |
Who Each Stock Is For
Income & stability
Growth exposure
Long-term compounding (10Y)
Sleep-well-at-night portfolio
Valuation efficiency (growth/$)
Defensive / Recession hedge
Business Model
What each company does and how it makes money
CMS Energy is a regulated utility holding company that provides electricity and natural gas services primarily to Michigan customers through its subsidiaries. It generates revenue from regulated electric and gas utility operations — which account for the vast majority of earnings — supplemented by independent power production and energy marketing through its Enterprises segment. The company's primary competitive advantage is its regulated monopoly status in its service territories, providing stable cash flows with returns approved by state regulators.
Duke Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility serving customers across six states in the Southeast and Midwest. It makes money primarily through regulated rate-based returns on its electric utility infrastructure (~70% of revenue) and gas distribution operations (~20%), with additional income from commercial renewable energy projects. Its key advantage is its monopoly status as a regulated utility in its service territories, which provides stable, predictable returns through government-approved rate structures.
Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Financial Metrics Comparison
Side-by-side fundamentals across 2 stocks. BestLagging
Financial Scorecard
DUK leads in 3 of 6 categories (Financial Metrics, Valuation Metrics). CMS leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
Financial Metrics (TTM)
DUK is the larger business by revenue, generating $31.8B annually — 3.8x CMS's $8.3B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 15.7% (DUK) to 12.6% (CMS). On growth, CMS holds the edge at +15.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | CMSCMS Energy Corpor… | DUKDuke Energy Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.3B | $31.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.0B | $15.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.0B | $5.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$1.5B | $9.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +38.9% | +59.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +20.7% | +27.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.6% | +15.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -18.2% | +28.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +15.9% | +6.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.5% | +15.3% |
Valuation Metrics
At 20.7x trailing earnings, DUK trades at a 6% valuation discount to CMS's 22.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), DUK offers better value at 0.70x vs CMS's 3.70x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | CMSCMS Energy Corpor… | DUKDuke Energy Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.6B | $101.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $24.8B | $192.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 22.12x | 20.74x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 20.16x | 19.52x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 3.70x | 0.70x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.64x | 12.91x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.77x | 3.16x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.47x | 1.92x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 2.94x | 8.25x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CMS delivers a 11.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $9 for DUK. DUK carries lower financial leverage with a 1.71x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CMS's 1.99x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CMS scores 6/9 vs DUK's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | CMSCMS Energy Corpor… | DUKDuke Energy Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +11.1% | +9.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.8% | +2.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.9% | +4.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.0% | +5.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.99x | 1.71x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $18.3B | $90.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $615M | $245M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $18.9B | $90.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.19x | 2.36x |
Total Returns (with DRIP)
A $10,000 investment in DUK five years ago would be worth $17,377 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $16,046 for CMS. Over the past 12 months, DUK leads with a +15.0% total return vs CMS's +9.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors DUK at 15.0% vs CMS's 12.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | CMSCMS Energy Corpor… | DUKDuke Energy Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +11.7% | +12.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +9.9% | +15.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +43.0% | +52.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +60.5% | +73.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +140.8% | +128.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +12.7% | +15.0% |
Risk & Volatility
DUK is the less volatile stock with a -0.05 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CMS's 0.09 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | CMSCMS Energy Corpor… | DUKDuke Energy Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.09x | -0.05x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $78.31 | $131.57 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $67.71 | $111.22 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +99.7% | +99.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 69.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.5M | 3.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CMS as "Buy" and DUK as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 2.0% upside for CMS (target: $80) vs 2.0% for DUK (target: $133).
| Metric | CMSCMS Energy Corpor… | DUKDuke Energy Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $79.63 | $133.45 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 29 | 31 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 18 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Historical Charts
Charts are rendered on first load. Hover for details.
Chart 1Total Return — 5 Years (Rebased to 100)
| Stock | Mar 20 | Feb 26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMS Energy Corporat… (CMS) | 100 | 109.99 | +10.0% |
| Duke Energy Corpora… (DUK) | 100 | 123.61 | +23.6% |
Duke Energy Corpora… (DUK) returned +74% over 5 years vs CMS Energy Corporat… (CMS)'s +60%. A $10,000 investment in DUK 5 years ago would be worth $17,377 today (including dividends reinvested).
Chart 2Revenue Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMS Energy Corporat… (CMS) | $6.4B | $8.5B | +33.4% |
| Duke Energy Corpora… (DUK) | $22.7B | $32.2B | +41.7% |
CMS Energy Corporation's revenue grew from $6.4B (2016) to $8.5B (2025) — a 3.3% CAGR. Duke Energy Corporation's revenue grew from $22.7B (2016) to $32.2B (2025) — a 4.0% CAGR.
Chart 3Net Margin Trend — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMS Energy Corporat… (CMS) | 8.6% | 12.5% | +45.7% |
| Duke Energy Corpora… (DUK) | 11.7% | 15.4% | +31.5% |
CMS Energy Corporation's net margin went from 9% (2016) to 13% (2025). Duke Energy Corporation's net margin went from 12% (2016) to 15% (2025).
Chart 4P/E Ratio History — 9 Years
| Stock | 2017 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMS Energy Corporat… (CMS) | 28.8 | 19.8 | -31.3% |
| Duke Energy Corpora… (DUK) | 19.3 | 18.6 | -3.6% |
CMS Energy Corporation has traded in a 14x–29x P/E range over 9 years; current trailing P/E is ~22x. Duke Energy Corporation has traded in a 18x–53x P/E range over 9 years; current trailing P/E is ~21x.
Chart 5EPS Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMS Energy Corporat… (CMS) | 1.98 | 3.53 | +78.3% |
| Duke Energy Corpora… (DUK) | 3.11 | 6.31 | +102.9% |
CMS Energy Corporation's EPS grew from $1.98 (2016) to $3.53 (2025) — a 7% CAGR. Duke Energy Corporation's EPS grew from $3.11 (2016) to $6.31 (2025) — a 8% CAGR.
Chart 6Free Cash Flow — 5 Years
CMS Energy Corporation generated $2B FCF in 2025 (+970% vs 2021). Duke Energy Corporation generated $12B FCF in 2025 (+965% vs 2021).
CMS vs DUK: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CMS or DUK a better buy right now?
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) offers the better valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E (19.5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) a "Buy" — based on 29 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CMS or DUK?
On trailing P/E, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the cheapest at 20.7x versus CMS Energy Corporation at 22.1x. On forward P/E, Duke Energy Corporation is actually cheaper at 19.5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Duke Energy Corporation wins at 0.66x versus CMS Energy Corporation's 3.37x — a PEG below 1.0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CMS or DUK?
Over the past 5 years, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) delivered a total return of +73.8%, compared to +60.5% for CMS Energy Corporation (CMS). A $10,000 investment in DUK five years ago would be worth approximately $17K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CMS returned +140.8% versus DUK's +128.1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CMS or DUK?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the lower-risk stock at -0.05β versus CMS Energy Corporation's 0.09β — meaning CMS is approximately -258% more volatile than DUK relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 171% versus 199% for CMS Energy Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which has better profit margins — CMS or DUK?
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the more profitable company, earning 15.4% net margin versus 12.5% for CMS Energy Corporation — meaning it keeps 15.4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DUK leads at 26.6% versus 20.2% for CMS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CMS leads at 60.9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is CMS or DUK more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential. By this metric, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0.66x versus CMS Energy Corporation's 3.37x. A PEG below 1.0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) trades at 19.5x forward P/E versus 20.2x for CMS Energy Corporation — 0.6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CMS: 2.0% to $79.63.
07Which pays a better dividend — CMS or DUK?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend. All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is CMS or DUK better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.05), +128.1% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (DUK: +128.1%, CMS: +140.8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between CMS and DUK?
Both stocks operate in the Utilities sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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