Comprehensive Stock Comparison
Compare HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) vs Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) Stock
Analyze side-by-side fundamentals, valuation, growth, and profitability to decide which stock is the better buy.
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Quick Verdict
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | HPK | -3.8% revenue growth vs OVV's -4.5% |
| Value | HPK | Lower P/E (7.8x vs 12.0x) |
| Quality / Margins | OVV | 14.1% net margin vs HPK's 6.0% |
| Stability / Safety | OVV | Beta 1.42 vs HPK's 1.76 |
| Dividends | HPK | 3.3% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs OVV's 2.3% |
| Momentum (1Y) | OVV | +19.2% vs HPK's -58.4% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | OVV | 6.1% ROA vs HPK's 1.7%, ROIC 8.0% vs 10.0% |
Who Each Stock Is For
Income & stability
Growth exposure
Long-term compounding (10Y)
Sleep-well-at-night portfolio
Defensive / Recession hedge
Business Model
What each company does and how it makes money
HighPeak Energy is an independent oil and gas company focused on acquiring, developing, and producing reserves in the Midland Basin of West Texas. It generates revenue primarily from oil sales — which typically constitute 70-80% of its production mix — supplemented by natural gas and natural gas liquids. The company's competitive advantage lies in its concentrated acreage position in the prolific Midland Basin, allowing for efficient development through long-lateral horizontal drilling.
Ovintiv is an independent North American energy company that explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids. It generates revenue primarily from selling hydrocarbons produced from its core assets — roughly 60% from the Permian and Anadarko basins in the U.S. and 40% from Canadian operations like the Montney formation. The company's competitive advantage lies in its large, low-cost resource base across premier North American basins and its operational scale, which drives capital efficiency.
Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Financial Metrics Comparison
Side-by-side fundamentals across 2 stocks. BestLagging
Financial Scorecard
OVV leads in 3 of 6 categories (Financial Metrics, Total Returns). HPK leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). 1 tied.
Financial Metrics (TTM)
OVV is the larger business by revenue, generating $8.8B annually — 10.0x HPK's $882M. OVV is the more profitable business, keeping 14.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to HPK's 6.0%. On growth, OVV holds the edge at -5.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | HPKHighPeak Energy, … | OVVOvintiv Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $882M | $8.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $657M | $3.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $53M | $1.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $42M | $3.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +31.5% | +47.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +27.2% | +12.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.0% | +14.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.7% | +41.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -30.5% | -5.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -142.9% | +16.8% |
Valuation Metrics
At 7.8x trailing earnings, HPK trades at a 27% valuation discount to OVV's 10.6x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, HPK's 1.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than OVV's 5.0x.
| Metric | HPKHighPeak Energy, … | OVVOvintiv Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $654M | $12.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.6B | $20.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7.78x | 10.58x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 11.97x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 1.93x | 4.96x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.61x | 1.47x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.42x | 1.17x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 9.45x | 8.51x |
Profitability & Efficiency
OVV delivers a 11.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $3 for HPK. HPK carries lower financial leverage with a 0.66x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to OVV's 0.67x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), OVV scores 6/9 vs HPK's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | HPKHighPeak Energy, … | OVVOvintiv Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +3.3% | +11.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.7% | +6.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +10.0% | +8.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.1% | +11.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.66x | 0.67x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $963M | $7.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $87M | $35M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.0B | $7.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.44x | 3.06x |
Total Returns (with DRIP)
A $10,000 investment in OVV five years ago would be worth $22,658 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,469 for HPK. Over the past 12 months, OVV leads with a +19.2% total return vs HPK's -58.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors OVV at 8.2% vs HPK's -40.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | HPKHighPeak Energy, … | OVVOvintiv Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +16.6% | +24.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -58.4% | +19.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -79.0% | +26.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -55.3% | +126.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -39.6% | +166.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -40.6% | +8.2% |
Risk & Volatility
OVV is the less volatile stock with a 1.42 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HPK's 1.76 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. OVV currently trades 98.0% from its 52-week high vs HPK's 39.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | HPKHighPeak Energy, … | OVVOvintiv Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.76x | 1.42x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $13.12 | $51.60 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.85 | $29.80 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +39.7% | +98.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.5 | 63.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 763K | 3.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HPK as "Buy" and OVV as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 130.3% upside for HPK (target: $12) vs 3.1% for OVV (target: $52). For income investors, HPK offers the higher dividend yield at 3.30% vs OVV's 2.34%.
| Metric | HPKHighPeak Energy, … | OVVOvintiv Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.00 | $52.14 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 26 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.3% | +2.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.17 | $1.19 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.4% | +2.4% |
Historical Charts
Charts are rendered on first load. Hover for details.
Chart 1Total Return — 5 Years (Rebased to 100)
| Stock | Mar 20 | Feb 26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| HighPeak Energy, In… (HPK) | 100 | 44.64 | -55.4% |
| Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) | 100 | 371.65 | +271.7% |
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) returned +127% over 5 years vs HighPeak Energy, In… (HPK)'s -55%. A $10,000 investment in OVV 5 years ago would be worth $22,658 today (including dividends reinvested).
Chart 2Revenue Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| HighPeak Energy, In… (HPK) | $8M | $1.1B | +13078.2% |
| Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) | $2.9B | $8.7B | +199.4% |
Ovintiv Inc.'s revenue grew from $2.9B (2016) to $8.7B (2025) — a 13.0% CAGR.
Chart 3Net Margin Trend — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| HighPeak Energy, In… (HPK) | -142.7% | 8.9% | +106.2% |
| Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) | -32.4% | 14.2% | +143.9% |
Ovintiv Inc.'s net margin went from -32% (2016) to 14% (2025).
Chart 4P/E Ratio History — 8 Years
| Stock | 2017 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| HighPeak Energy, In… (HPK) | 27.1 | 21.9 | -19.2% |
| Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) | 15.7 | 8.2 | -47.8% |
HighPeak Energy, Inc. has traded in a 9x–27x P/E range over 4 years; current trailing P/E is ~8x. Ovintiv Inc. has traded in a 4x–26x P/E range over 8 years; current trailing P/E is ~11x.
Chart 5EPS Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| HighPeak Energy, In… (HPK) | -0.13 | 0.67 | +615.4% |
| Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) | -5.35 | 4.78 | +189.3% |
Ovintiv Inc.'s EPS grew from $-5.35 (2016) to $4.78 (2025).
Chart 6Free Cash Flow — 5 Years
HighPeak Energy, Inc. generated $69M FCF in 2024 (+148% vs 2021). Ovintiv Inc. generated $2B FCF in 2025 (-7% vs 2021).
HPK vs OVV: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HPK or OVV a better buy right now?
HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) offers the better valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) a "Buy" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HPK or OVV?
On trailing P/E, HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) is the cheapest at 7.8x versus Ovintiv Inc. at 10.6x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HPK or OVV?
Over the past 5 years, Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) delivered a total return of +126.6%, compared to -55.3% for HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK). A $10,000 investment in OVV five years ago would be worth approximately $23K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: OVV returned +166.7% versus HPK's -39.6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HPK or OVV?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is the lower-risk stock at 1.42β versus HighPeak Energy, Inc.'s 1.76β — meaning HPK is approximately 24% more volatile than OVV relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 66% versus 67% for Ovintiv Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which has better profit margins — HPK or OVV?
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is the more profitable company, earning 14.2% net margin versus 8.9% for HighPeak Energy, Inc. — meaning it keeps 14.2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HPK leads at 31.6% versus 21.6% for OVV. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HPK leads at 35.2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is HPK or OVV more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HPK: 130.3% to $12.00.
07Which pays a better dividend — HPK or OVV?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends. HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) offers the highest yield at 3.3%, versus 2.3% for Ovintiv Inc. (OVV).
08Is HPK or OVV better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (2.3% yield, +166.7% 10Y return). HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) carries a higher beta of 1.76 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (OVV: +166.7%, HPK: -39.6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between HPK and OVV?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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