Railroads
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UNP vs CSX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Railroads
UNP vs CSX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Railroads | Railroads |
| Market Cap | $163.69B | $87.42B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $25.41B | $14.51B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $7.33B | $3.22B |
| Gross Margin | 45.5% | 54.9% |
| Operating Margin | 39.9% | 34.2% |
| Forward P/E | 21.1x | 23.5x |
| Total Debt | $31.81B | $19.35B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.27B | $670M |
UNP vs CSX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corpo… (UNP) | 100 | 140.0 | +40.0% |
| CSX Corporation (CSX) | 100 | 182.3 | +82.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: UNP vs CSX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
UNP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 19 yrs, beta 0.28, yield 2.0%
- Rev growth 1.1%, EPS growth 7.9%, 3Y rev CAGR -0.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.28, current ratio 0.91x
CSX is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 417.2% 10Y total return vs UNP's 237.9%
- +40.1% vs UNP's +23.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.1% revenue growth vs CSX's -3.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (21.4x vs 23.5x), PEG 2.42 vs 4.59 | |
| Quality / Margins | 28.8% margin vs CSX's 22.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.28 vs CSX's 0.47 | |
| Dividends | 2.0% yield, 19-year raise streak, vs CSX's 1.1% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +40.1% vs UNP's +23.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.5% ROA vs CSX's 7.3%, ROIC 15.2% vs 10.9% |
UNP vs CSX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
UNP vs CSX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — UNP and CSX each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UNP is the larger business by revenue, generating $25.4B annually — 1.8x CSX's $14.5B. UNP is the more profitable business, keeping 28.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CSX's 22.2%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $25.4B | $14.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $12.7B | $6.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $7.3B | $3.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $6.5B | $5.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +45.5% | +54.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +39.9% | +34.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +28.8% | +22.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +25.6% | +34.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.5% | +10.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.7% | +22.7% |
Valuation Metrics
UNP leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 23.0x trailing earnings, UNP trades at a 25% valuation discount to CSX's 30.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), UNP offers better value at 2.64x vs CSX's 5.99x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $163.7B | $87.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $194.2B | $106.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 23.02x | 30.64x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 21.07x | 23.50x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.64x | 5.99x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.78x | 18.30x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 6.68x | 6.20x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.86x | 6.68x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 29.77x | 51.09x |
Profitability & Efficiency
UNP leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UNP delivers a 38.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $39 in annual profit, vs $24 for CSX. CSX carries lower financial leverage with a 1.47x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to UNP's 1.72x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), UNP scores 8/9 vs CSX's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +38.6% | +24.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.5% | +7.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +15.2% | +10.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +15.5% | +11.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.72x | 1.47x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $30.5B | $18.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.3B | $670M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $31.8B | $19.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 8.40x | 5.96x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CSX leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CSX five years ago would be worth $16,400 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,966 for UNP. Over the past 12 months, CSX leads with a +40.1% total return vs UNP's +23.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CSX at 16.1% vs UNP's 11.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +20.6% | +31.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +23.3% | +40.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +39.9% | +56.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +49.7% | +64.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +237.9% | +417.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +11.9% | +16.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — UNP and CSX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
UNP is the less volatile stock with a 0.28 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CSX's 0.47 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.28x | 0.47x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $315.99 | $53.60 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $215.53 | $33.30 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +87.2% | +88.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 32.9 | 31.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.8M | 11.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — UNP and CSX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates UNP as "Buy" and CSX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 21.0% upside for UNP (target: $333) vs 8.2% for CSX (target: $51). For income investors, UNP offers the higher dividend yield at 1.98% vs CSX's 1.10%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $333.40 | $51.06 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 47 | 46 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.0% | +1.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 19 | 21 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $5.45 | $0.52 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.6% | +1.6% |
UNP leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). CSX leads in 1 (Total Returns). 3 tied.
Custom Comparison: UNP vs CSX
Compare on any lens — Growth, Value, Income, or pick from 130+ individual metrics.
UNP vs CSX: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is UNP or CSX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is the stronger pick with 1.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 1% for CSX Corporation (CSX). Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) offers the better valuation at 23. 0x trailing P/E (21. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) a "Buy" — based on 47 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — UNP or CSX?
On trailing P/E, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is the cheapest at 23.
0x versus CSX Corporation at 30. 6x. On forward P/E, Union Pacific Corporation is actually cheaper at 21. 1x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Union Pacific Corporation wins at 2. 42x versus CSX Corporation's 4. 59x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — UNP or CSX?
Over the past 5 years, CSX Corporation (CSX) delivered a total return of +64.
0%, compared to +49. 7% for Union Pacific Corporation (UNP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CSX returned +417. 2% versus UNP's +237. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — UNP or CSX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
28β versus CSX Corporation's 0. 47β — meaning CSX is approximately 69% more volatile than UNP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, CSX Corporation (CSX) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 147% versus 172% for Union Pacific Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — UNP or CSX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is pulling ahead at 1.
1% versus -3. 1% for CSX Corporation (CSX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Union Pacific Corporation grew EPS 7. 9% year-over-year, compared to -14. 0% for CSX Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, UNP leads at -0. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — UNP or CSX?
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is the more profitable company, earning 29.
1% net margin versus 20. 5% for CSX Corporation — meaning it keeps 29. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: UNP leads at 40. 1% versus 32. 1% for CSX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UNP leads at 59. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is UNP or CSX more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 2. 42x versus CSX Corporation's 4. 59x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) trades at 21. 1x forward P/E versus 23. 5x for CSX Corporation — 2. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for UNP: 21. 0% to $333. 40.
08Which pays a better dividend — UNP or CSX?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) offers the highest yield at 2. 0%, versus 1. 1% for CSX Corporation (CSX).
09Is UNP or CSX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
28), 2. 0% yield, +237. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (UNP: +237. 9%, CSX: +417. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between UNP and CSX?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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