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AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.
$50.13$4.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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AAOI logo

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

AAOI
NASDAQ · Optical & Photonic Components
$50.13
At close - USD
Market Cap$4.02B
P/E-78.3x
52W High$233.67
Volume21.61M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

800G Ramp Drives Revenue Surge, GAAP Losses Persist

Applied Optoelectronics is executing a high-stakes capacity expansion to capitalize on the AI-driven 800G optical transceiver cycle, with revenue surging 86.4% YoY to $191.9M in 2026Q2.

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AAOI price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-167% Peers

P/E is 167% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 9 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 91% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 5
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 86.4% YoY in 2026Q2, but gross margin contracted to 27.7% and operating margin remained deeply negative at -12.9%, indicating that the 800G ramp has not yet delivered operating leverage.

Analyst Consensus+177.3% target
Buy(16 analysts)
7 Buy6 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Stock analysis availability

Investors have access to comprehensive stock analysis, price targets, and earnings estimates for AAOI, aiding informed decision-making.

Investor relations resources

Applied Optoelectronics provides detailed business information for stockholders and financial analysts through its Investor Relations website.

Real-time stock data

Real-time AAOI stock price, news, and industry-best analysis are available, enabling timely investment actions.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AAOI+26.59%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
AAOI+72.27%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
AAOI+417.34%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+85.49%
5-Year Return
AAOI+756.92%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.97%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E
-134.3x
Forward P/E
67.7x
EV/EBITDA
N/A
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-134.3x
N/A
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
N/A
N/A
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$10.11-79.8%
Base (Fair)$88.88+77.3%
Bull$17.03-66.0%
$10.11 Bear$88.88 Base$17.03 Bull
Current Market Price: $50.13
Trades at a 43.6% discount to Base DCF ($88.88)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$456M+82.8% YoY
Net income FY25
-$38M+79.5% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$354M-213.1% YoY
Operating margin FY25
-12%+16.5 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)-7.9%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)-7.9%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 5, 2026
$0.17+19.5%
vs $0.14
$270M+0.7%
vs $268M
Q3 2026
Aug 6, 2026
$0.06+296.6%
vs $0.02
$192M+0.8%
vs $190M
Q2 2026
May 7, 2026
-$0.07-42.9%
vs -$0.05
$151M-3.7%
vs $157M
Q1 2026
Feb 26, 2026
-$0.01+91.7%
vs -$0.12
$134M+1.5%
vs $132M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
24/7 Wall Street·1d ago
Coherent Surges 13% as Investors Revisit $20 Billion AI Deal After Sell-Off; Lumentum Climbs 4%, Applied Optoelectronics Gains 3%

AI optical stocks are rallying, and one laser maker is far ahead of the group as traders take a second look at a quarterly report they'd sold off hard. Coherent (NYSE:COHR | COHR Price Prediction) stock trades at $192.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
AAOI Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Strong Datacenter and CATV Sales

Applied Optoelectronics' Q3 earnings beat estimates as datacenter and CATV sales surge, driven by 800G demand and record broadband equipment shipments.

Investors Business Daily·1d ago
AAOI Stock: Can This Volatile AI Play Keep Up With Booming Demand?

AAOI Stock: Can This Volatile AI Play Keep Up With Booming Demand?

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
AAOI Q3 Earnings Call Highlights 1.6T Shift and Capacity Delays

AAOI sees accelerating 1.6T transceiver demand and a $1B-$1.5B hyperscaler deal, but component shortages and capacity delays pose challenges to its growth plans.

Filtered for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AAOI against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AAOI logoAAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.Current
$50.13$4.02B-78.3382.75%-8.39%-7.94%—
LITE logoLITELumentum Holdings Inc.
$538.59$41.9B1455.6521.03%-230.1%-300.07%—
OESX logoOESXOrion Energy Systems, Inc.
$12.51$50.75M-14.068.26%0.04%0.27%—
COHR logoCOHRCoherent, Inc.
$192.81$37.72B162.03-64.79%11.31%8.09%0.03%
VIAV logoVIAVViavi Solutions Inc.
$28.47$7.02B189.808.39%-2%-3.16%—
CIEN logoCIENCiena Corporation
$243.39$34.45B286.3418.79%10.87%22.82%—

Compare AAOI vs Peers

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs LITE

Most directly comparable listed peer for AAOI.

Scale Benchmark

vs AVGO

Larger-name benchmark to compare AAOI against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs LITE, OESX, COHR, VIAV

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AAOI SEC Filings & Documents

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 1, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 16, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 28, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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AAOI Frequently Asked Questions

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s revenue?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) reported $596.0M in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $455.7M in fiscal year 2025. That is 853% more than the $47.8M of fiscal year 2011.

How fast is Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. growing?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) grew revenue by 82.8% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is AAOI profitable?

No. Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) reported a net loss of $57.0M over the trailing twelve months.

Dividend & Returns
What is AAOI's return on equity?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) had a return on equity (ROE) of -7.9% in fiscal year 2025. A negative ROE means the company lost money over the period.

What is Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) had negative free cash flow of $413.3M over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in AAOI back in 2011?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 15+ years of data

See returns →