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AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.
$107.00$8.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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AAOI logo

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

AAOI
NASDAQ · Semiconductors
$107.00
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$8.59B
P/E-167.2x
52W High$233.67
Volume7.39M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

800G Ramp Drives Revenue Surge, GAAP Losses Persist

Applied Optoelectronics is executing a high-stakes capacity expansion to capitalize on the AI-driven 800G optical transceiver cycle, with revenue surging 86.4% YoY to $191.9M in 2026Q2. However, the company remains GAAP-unprofitable with a -12.9% operating mar...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AAOI price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-224% Peers

P/E is 224% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 89 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 89% of market)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 5
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 86.4% YoY in 2026Q2, but gross margin contracted to 27.7% and operating margin remained deeply negative at -12.9%, indicating that the 800G ramp has not yet delivered operating leverage.

Analyst Consensus+72.0% target
Buy(16 analysts)
7 Buy6 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Stock analysis availability

Investors have access to comprehensive stock analysis, price targets, and earnings estimates for AAOI, aiding informed decision-making.

Investor relations resources

Applied Optoelectronics provides detailed business information for stockholders and financial analysts through its Investor Relations website.

Real-time stock data

Real-time AAOI stock price, news, and industry-best analysis are available, enabling timely investment actions.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AAOI+170.20%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
AAOI+250.36%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
AAOI+1016.91%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.41%
5-Year Return
AAOI+1432.95%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+64.78%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E
-167.2x
Forward P/E
144.6x
EV/EBITDA
N/A
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-167.2x
N/A
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
N/A
N/A
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$8.34-92.2%
Base (Fair)$114.87+9.2%
Bull$13.77-87.1%
$8.34 Bear$114.87 Base$13.77 Bull
Current Market Price: $107.00
Trades at a 6.9% discount to Base DCF ($114.87)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$456M+82.8% YoY
Net income
-$38M+79.5% YoY
Free cash flow
-$354M-213.1% YoY
Operating margin
-12%+16.5 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)-7.9%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-7.9%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 6, 2026
$0.06+296.6%
vs $0.02
$192M+0.8%
vs $190M
Q2 2026
May 7, 2026
-$0.07-42.9%
vs -$0.05
$151M-3.7%
vs $157M
Q1 2026
Feb 26, 2026
-$0.01+91.7%
vs -$0.12
$134M+1.5%
vs $132M
Q4 2025
Nov 6, 2025
-$0.09+10.0%
vs -$0.10
$119M-9.8%
vs $132M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·4d ago
Applied Optoelectronics Is Entering Its Most Important Growth Phase

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. expects demand to exceed capacity through mid 2027 as 800G and 1.6T optical deployments accelerate across hyperscalers. Q2 revenue surged 86% to $191.9 million, while management expects approximately $1.1 billion in revenue during 2026. Monthly 800G and 1.6T capacity could exceed 650,000 units by year-end and reach 930,000 during 2027.

Seeking Alpha·5d ago
Applied Optoelectronics's Upcoming Growth Inflection Triggers Massive Upside

Applied Optoelectronics is rated 'Buy' due to strong end-market demand and a compelling forward valuation. AAOI's 1.6T and 800G optical transceivers are driving revenue inflection, with significant volume orders secured and shipments commencing. Recent financials show an 86.4% YoY revenue increase to $191.9M and adjusted EPS of $0.06, beating consensus.

Defense World·5d ago
Engineers Gate Manager LP Sells 18,999 Shares of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. $AAOI

Engineers Gate Manager LP reduced its holdings in Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAOI) by 65.8% during the undefined quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The institutional investor owned 9,892 shares of the semiconductor company's stock after selling 18,999 shares during the quarter. Engineers Gate Manager

Seeking Alpha·6d ago
Applied Optoelectronics's Next Run Could Be Bigger

AAOI targets 650,000 monthly units by year-end 2026 as 800G and 1.6T demand continues exceeding available capacity. Management's mid-2027 targets imply roughly $471 million monthly optical revenue, equivalent to $5.65 billion annualized before CATV. AAOI's vertical integration provides scarce laser capacity, while future CPO laser products could potentially generate gross margins near 60%.

Filtered for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AAOI against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AAOI logoAAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.Current
$107.00$8.59B-167.1982.75%-8.39%-7.94%—
LITE logoLITELumentum Holdings Inc.
$945.67$73.57B2555.8621.03%-230.1%-300.07%—
OESX logoOESXOrion Energy Systems, Inc.
$29.04$117.8M-32.638.26%0.04%0.27%—
COHR logoCOHRCoherent, Inc.
$310.39$60.72B260.83-64.79%11.31%8.09%—
VIAV logoVIAVViavi Solutions Inc.
$36.40$8.98B242.678.39%-2%-3.16%—
CIEN logoCIENCiena Corporation
$368.56$52.17B433.6018.79%10.87%22.82%—

Compare AAOI vs Peers

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs LITE

Most directly comparable listed peer for AAOI.

Scale Benchmark

vs AVGO

Larger-name benchmark to compare AAOI against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs LITE, OESX, COHR, VIAV

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AAOI SEC Filings & Documents

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 1, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 16, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 28, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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AAOI Frequently Asked Questions

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s revenue?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) reported $596.0M in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1146% increase from $47.8M in 2011.

How fast is Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. growing?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) grew revenue by 82.8% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is AAOI profitable?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) reported a net loss of $57.0M for fiscal year 2025.

Dividend & Returns
What is AAOI's return on equity?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) has a return on equity (ROE) of -7.9%. Negative ROE indicates the company is unprofitable.

What is Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) had negative free cash flow of $413.3M in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in AAOI back in 2011?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 15+ years of data

See returns →