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AFLAflac Incorporated
$115.23$58.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
AFL logo

Aflac Incorporated

AFL
NYSE · Life Insurance
$115.23
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$58.65B
P/E16.9x
52W High$130.22
Volume1.9M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Yen Translation Volatility Masks Reserves-Driven Earnings Swings

Aflac's near-term earnings outlook is significantly clouded by severe quarterly volatility and the outsized influence of foreign currency translation and prior-period reserve adjustments on reported results. While the recent trend shows a stabilization in loss...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AFL price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-11% Peers

P/E is 11% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 51 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 51)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 6
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue volatility masks underlying performance, as quarterly top-line growth has swung from a 57.9% surge to an 8.8% decline, while the loss ratio has ranged dramatically from 40.1% to 85.8% within six quarters, indicating inconsistent underwriting profitability.

Analyst Consensus+3.2% target
Hold(32 analysts)
9 Buy18 Hold5 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Robust Financial Foundation

Aflac’s market capitalization sits at approximately $55.19 billion, underscoring its solid position in the financial services sector. The company consistently converts nearly all operational cash flow into free cash flow, enabling substantial shareholder returns through buybacks and debt repayment.

Japan‑Focused Revenue Growth

About 70% of Aflac’s revenue comes from Japan, where new annualized premium sales grew 12% year‑over‑year. In the U.S., new sales rose 6%, supported by the introduction of a hybrid long‑term care rider.

Undervalued Relative to Peers

Aflac trades at a trailing P/E of 11.82 and a forward P/E of 15.95, below many peers, indicating potential undervaluation. The enterprise value to EBIT ratio further supports this view, while the company’s disciplined capital return strategy adds upside.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AFL+6.19%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
AFL+8.69%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
AFL+58.61%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.45%
5-Year Return
AFL+138.58%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+72.38%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
16.9x
Forward P/EExpansion
16.4x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
11.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
16.9x
10.6x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
11.0x
10.0x
80th· High
Price/FCF
23.0x
15.5x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$93.44-18.9%
Base (Fair)$171.59+47.5%
Bull$276.77+140.2%
$93.44 Bear$171.59 Base$276.77 Bull
Current Market Price: $115.23
Trades at a 32.8% discount to Base DCF ($171.59)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$17.44B-8.8% YoY
Net income
$3.65B-33.0% YoY
Free cash flow
$2.56B-5.6% YoY
Operating margin
26.6%-6.9 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)11.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)13.1%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 6, 2026
$1.75-0.6%
vs $1.76
$4.1B-0.6%
vs $4.1B
Q2 2026
Apr 29, 2026
$1.75-2.2%
vs $1.79
$4.3B+3.4%
vs $4.2B
Q1 2026
Feb 4, 2026
$1.57-7.1%
vs $1.69
$4.9B+14.5%
vs $4.3B
Q4 2025
Nov 4, 2025
$2.49+40.7%
vs $1.77
$4.8B+9.8%
vs $4.4B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·6d ago
Bank of America Corp DE Takes $244.52 Million Position in Aflac Incorporated $AFL

Bank of America Corp DE acquired a new position in Aflac Incorporated (NYSE: AFL) during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor acquired 2,085,422 shares of the financial services provider's stock, valued at approximately $244,516,000. Bank of America Corp

Schaeffers Research·Sep 16, 2026
Most Active Options Report: FPS, TEVA, AFL

These three stocks are seeing some of the most unusual options volume today

Defense World·Sep 16, 2026
Post Holdings Co. Ltd. Japan Sells 13,300 Shares of Aflac (NYSE:AFL) Stock

Aflac Incorporated (NYSE: AFL - Get Free Report) major shareholder Post Holdings Co. Ltd. Japan sold 13,300 shares of the company's stock in a transaction dated Thursday, September 10th. The shares were sold at an average price of $114.32, for a total transaction of $1,520,456.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the insider owned 50,612,190 shares

Business Wire·Sep 15, 2026
AFL and Alcyon Photonics Collaborate to Advance Next-Generation Fiber to PIC Coupling for AI Infrastructure

SPARTANBURG, S.C. & MADRID--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- #WeAreAFL--AFL, an industry-leading manufacturer of fiber optic cables, connectivity, equipment and related services, and Alcyon Photonics, a leader in photonic integrated IP (intellectual property) and design, today announced a strategic collaboration to develop advanced, high-efficiency optical coupling solutions for next-generation fiber-to-PIC coupling supporting multi-core connectivity in AI and hyperscale data center applications.The collaboration combines.

Filtered for Aflac IncorporatedMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AFL against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Aflac Incorporated (AFL)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AFL logoAFLAflac IncorporatedCurrent
$115.23$58.65B16.87-8.84%20.91%13.12%1.95%
MET logoMETMetLife, Inc.
$97.20$62.54B20.2510.22%4.61%12.75%—
PRU logoPRUPrudential Financial, Inc.
$117.59$40.8B11.51-13.74%5.93%11.2%—
UNM logoUNMUnum Group
$94.46$14.95B22.072.07%5.3%6.43%—
GNW logoGNWGenworth Financial, Inc.
$9.63$3.69B17.83-10.86%3.03%2.16%—
CNO logoCNOCNO Financial Group, Inc.
$54.02$5.04B22.990.94%6.02%10.82%—

Compare AFL vs Peers

Aflac Incorporated (AFL) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MET

Most directly comparable listed peer for AFL.

Scale Benchmark

vs UNH

Larger-name benchmark to compare AFL against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MET, PRU, UNM, GNW

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AFL SEC Filings & Documents

Aflac Incorporated (AFL) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 28, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 25, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 26, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 22, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 5, 2025·SEC

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AFL Frequently Asked Questions

Aflac Incorporated (AFL) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Aflac Incorporated growing?

Aflac Incorporated (AFL) saw revenue decline by 8.8% over the past year.

Is AFL profitable?

Yes, Aflac Incorporated (AFL) is profitable, generating $4.86B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (20.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does AFL pay dividends?

Yes, Aflac Incorporated (AFL) pays a dividend with a yield of 1.95%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is AFL's return on equity?

Aflac Incorporated (AFL) has a return on equity (ROE) of 13.1%. This is reasonable for most industries.

Industry Metrics
What is Aflac Incorporated's combined ratio?

Aflac Incorporated (AFL) has a combined ratio of 73.4%. A ratio below 100% indicates underwriting profitability.

What if you invested $1,000 in AFL back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →