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AGNCAGNC Investment Corp.
$9.91$11.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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AGNC logo

AGNC Investment Corp.

AGNC
NASDAQ · Mortgage REITs
$9.91
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$11.38B
P/E6.7x
52W High$12.19
Volume29.14M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q1

Extreme Leverage Masks Underlying Mortgage Portfolio Volatility

AGNC Investment Corp. faces a challenging outlook characterized by extreme earnings volatility driven by derivative-heavy accounting and significant interest rate sensitivity. While the firm has expanded its asset base to $118.9 billion as of 2026Q1, the relia...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AGNC price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
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Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-8% Peers

P/E is 8% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 34 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 66% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 20
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth remains highly erratic, swinging from a -131.9% decline in 2024Q3 to a 3.6% increase in 2026Q1, as mark-to-market derivative adjustments frequently obscure core mortgage interest income.

Analyst Consensus+17.8% target
Hold(35 analysts)
11 Buy21 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

High Dividend Yield

AGNC is known for its substantial dividend yield, which is a primary draw for income-focused investors. The company has a history of returning value to shareholders through dividends, with current yields often cited around 13%.

Portfolio Quality and Safety

A significant portion of AGNC's portfolio, over 85%, consists of government-guaranteed Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS). This minimizes credit risk, as these securities are backed by U.S. housing agencies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, making the portfolio relatively safe even amidst economic volatility.

Favorable Interest Rate Environment

Bulls believe that a stable or declining interest rate environment, coupled with a steepening yield curve, can benefit AGNC. Tightening mortgage spreads and favorable market conditions, such as lower benchmark rates, have positively impacted the company's portfolio value.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AGNC-0.55%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
AGNC+15.70%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
AGNC+47.16%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.94%
5-Year Return
AGNC+5.49%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.52%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
6.7x
Forward P/EExpansion
6.3x
EV/EBITDA50th %ile
2.1x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
6.7x
12.3x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
2.1x
2.3x
50th· Fair
Price/FCF
17.4x
16.8x
75th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$7.78-21.5%
Base (Fair)$10.37+5.1%
Bull$13.12+32.4%
$7.78 Bear$10.37 Base$13.12 Bull
Current Market Price: $9.91
Trades at a 4.4% discount to Base DCF ($10.37)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$1.91B-60.8% YoY
Net income
$1.67B+93.5% YoY
Free cash flow
$653M+659.3% YoY
Operating margin
236.3%+156.7 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)33.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)15.1%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 20, 2026
$0.40+5.1%
vs $0.38
$1.0B-3.9%
vs $1.1B
Q2 2026
Apr 20, 2026
$0.42+16.6%
vs $0.36
$1.1B+6.2%
vs $989M
Q1 2026
Jan 26, 2026
$0.35-5.4%
vs $0.37
$944M+0.3%
vs $941M
Q4 2025
Oct 20, 2025
$0.35-7.9%
vs $0.38
$903M+154.5%
vs $355M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
24/7 Wall Street·5d ago
These Huge Mortgage REIT Yields Are Really a Bet on Interest Rates

Six mortgage REITs are dangling yields above 10%, but the spread holding those payouts together just hit a one-year low. Here is what the coverage numbers and management language reveal about which dividends are already under pressure.

Seeking Alpha·5d ago
AGNC Investment PFDs Reviewed: Ratings Revised

AGNC Investment Corp. offers a suite of preferred stocks, each with distinct risk and yield profiles for income-focused investors. Dividend coverage is robust at nearly 13x, but par value coverage has declined to 5.4x due to a doubling of preferred stock outstanding since 2019. AGNCL is a Strong Sell due to its overpriced yield relative to peers, despite remaining call protection.

24/7 Wall Street·5d ago
5 Big Dividend Yields With Ex-Dividend Dates Coming Up Fast

Five high-yield tickers have ex-dividend dates arriving in days, and buying even one session too late means the seller collects your payment instead.

PRNewsWire·Sep 16, 2026
AGNC Investment Corp. to Join the S&P MidCap 400 Index

BETHESDA, Md., Sept. 16, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- AGNC Investment Corp. (Nasdaq: AGNC) ("AGNC" or the "Company") announced today that it will be added to the S&P MidCap 400 Index, effective prior to the open of trading on Monday, September 21, 2026.

Filtered for AGNC Investment Corp.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AGNC against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AGNC logoAGNCAGNC Investment Corp.Current
$9.91$11.38B6.74-60.79%87.34%15.08%15.78%
NLY logoNLYAnnaly Capital Management, Inc.
$21.04$15.79B7.215.35%40.52%18.31%—
TWO logoTWOTwo Harbors Investment Corp.
$12.18$1.28B-2.79-28.4%-2.53%-1.23%—
EARN logoEARNEllington Credit Company
$4.21$158.16M-11.08101.88%-12.87%-2.85%—
ARR logoARRARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
$14.60$1.7B4.42444.08%42.7%18.52%—
MFA logoMFAMFA Financial, Inc.
$8.32$849.42M4.95213.02%19.71%8.23%—

Compare AGNC vs Peers

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs NLY

Most directly comparable listed peer for AGNC.

Scale Benchmark

vs O

Larger-name benchmark to compare AGNC against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs NLY, TWO, EARN, ARR

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AGNC SEC Filings & Documents

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 20, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 21, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 22, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

May 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 31, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Aug 1, 2025·SEC

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AGNC Frequently Asked Questions

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is AGNC Investment Corp.'s revenue?

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) reported $3.38B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 6016% increase from $55.2M in 2008.

How fast is AGNC Investment Corp. growing?

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) saw revenue decline by 60.8% over the past year.

Is AGNC profitable?

Yes, AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) is profitable, generating $1.47B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (87.3% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does AGNC pay dividends?

Yes, AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) pays a dividend with a yield of 15.78%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is AGNC's return on equity?

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) has a return on equity (ROE) of 15.1%. This is reasonable for most industries.

Industry Metrics
What is AGNC Investment Corp.'s FFO?

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) generated Funds From Operations (FFO) of $3.74B in the trailing twelve months. FFO is the primary profitability metric for REITs.

Is AGNC a good dividend stock?

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) offers a 15.78% dividend yield, which is attractive for income investors. REITs are required to distribute at least 90% of taxable income to shareholders.

What if you invested $1,000 in AGNC back in 2008?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 18+ years of data

See returns →