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AGNC
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AGNCAGNC Investment Corp.
$8.78$10.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
AGNC logo

AGNC Investment Corp.

AGNC
NASDAQ · Mortgage REITs
$8.78
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$10.08B
P/E178.8x
52W High$12.19
Volume17.71M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Leverage-Driven Growth Masks Volatile Earnings and Book Value Risk

AGNC's reported total assets expanded from $71.9B in 2024Q1 to $133.4B in 2026Q3, an 86% increase funded largely by liabilities, while equity grew only from $8.6B to $11.6B and the debt-to-equity ratio sits near 8.37.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityWeak
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AGNC price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

5/12 Beats

EPS beat 5 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+1217% Peers

P/E is 1217% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 34 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 66% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 19
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Reported revenue swung from $2.8B in 2024Q4 to negative $407.0M in 2025Q1 and $1.2B in 2026Q3, with NOI margins of 100.0% in most quarters suggesting these figures reflect investment income accounting rather than property-level profitability, so trend assessment remains unreliable.

Analyst Consensus+10.1% target
Hold(35 analysts)
11 Buy21 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

High Dividend Yield

AGNC is known for its substantial dividend yield, which is a primary draw for income-focused investors. The company has a history of returning value to shareholders through dividends, with current yields often cited around 13%.

Portfolio Quality and Safety

A significant portion of AGNC's portfolio, over 85%, consists of government-guaranteed Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS). This minimizes credit risk, as these securities are backed by U.S. housing agencies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, making the portfolio relatively safe even amidst economic volatility.

Favorable Interest Rate Environment

Bulls believe that a stable or declining interest rate environment, coupled with a steepening yield curve, can benefit AGNC. Tightening mortgage spreads and favorable market conditions, such as lower benchmark rates, have positively impacted the company's portfolio value.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AGNC-8.69%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
AGNC+0.10%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
AGNC+57.07%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.26%
5-Year Return
AGNC-0.87%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.44%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
178.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
5.7x
EV/EBITDA75th %ile
5.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
11.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
178.8x
12.3x
75th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
5.8x
2.3x
75th· Fair
Price/FCF
8.9x
16.8x
50th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$7.77-11.5%
Base (Fair)$10.36+18.0%
Bull$13.10+49.2%
$7.77 Bear$10.36 Base$13.10 Bull
Current Market Price: $8.78
Trades at a 15.3% discount to Base DCF ($10.36)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$1.91B-60.8% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.67B+93.5% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$653M+659.3% YoY
Operating margin FY25
236.3%+156.7 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)31.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y14.6%
ROE (TTM)0.5%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 19, 2026
$0.37-0.6%
vs $0.37
$1.2B+13.2%
vs $1.1B
Q3 2026
Jul 20, 2026
$0.40+5.1%
vs $0.38
$1.0B-3.9%
vs $1.1B
Q2 2026
Apr 20, 2026
$0.42+16.6%
vs $0.36
$1.1B+6.2%
vs $989M
Q1 2026
Jan 26, 2026
$0.35-5.4%
vs $0.37
$944M+0.3%
vs $941M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
The Motley Fool·4d ago
3 Double-Digit-Yield Stocks to Buy That Earned Their Dividends Last Quarter

AGNC Investment may have sufficient coverage now for its 16.7% dividend, but a continuation of current interest-rate trends could bode poorly for the mortgage rate. Annaly Capital Management has similar risks, but recent upbeat statements from management suggest a possible path to steadier payouts and stronger total returns.

24/7 Wall Street·4d ago
UPS's $5.4 Billion Dividend Bill Exceeded Its Free Cash Flow. Is the Payout at Risk?

Four stocks are paying out billions in dividends that their cash flows can barely support, and the gap between what investors expect and what the business can actually deliver keeps widening.

Seeking Alpha·4d ago
AGNC Investment: Turning Your Mortgage Into 16.5% Yield

Mortgage rates approaching twenty-year highs have frozen existing home sales near Great Financial Crisis lows. Homeowners with four percent mortgages remain locked in place, severely constraining new housing supply. Government-sponsored enterprise guarantees eliminate credit default risk from agency mortgage-backed securities.

Seeking Alpha·5d ago
REIT Earnings Halftime: A Reprieve After The Rout

We're at the halfway point of another surprisingly strong REIT earnings season, with property fundamentals continuing to improve despite a materially tougher interest rate and capital market backdrop. Among 52 equity REITs providing full-year FFO guidance, 44 raised their outlooks (85%), six maintained guidance, and just two lowered (4%) their FFO outlook. REITs have significantly outperformed during earnings season, with the Equity REIT Index gaining nearly 4% during this stretch versus a -3% decline for the S&P 500.

Filtered for AGNC Investment Corp.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AGNC against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AGNC logoAGNCAGNC Investment Corp.Current
$8.78$10.08B178.82-60.79%1.68%0.48%17.81%
NLY logoNLYAnnaly Capital Management, Inc.
$18.75$14.07B12.645.35%14.55%6.94%15.66%
EARN logoEARNEllington Credit Company
$3.28$123.23M-3.36101.88%-77.65%-21.22%29.16%
ARR logoARRARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
$12.60$1.47B-34.98444.08%-5.85%-2.19%22.85%
MFA logoMFAMFA Financial, Inc.
$6.21$634M-50.45213.02%-2%-0.66%28.82%
IVR logoIVRInvesco Mortgage Capital Inc.
$5.41$562.35M-19.383.17%—-3.25%29.8%

Compare AGNC vs Peers

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs NLY

Most directly comparable listed peer for AGNC.

Scale Benchmark

vs O

Larger-name benchmark to compare AGNC against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs NLY, EARN, ARR, MFA

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AGNC SEC Filings & Documents

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 19, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 29, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 21, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 22, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 31, 2025·SEC

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AGNC Frequently Asked Questions

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is AGNC Investment Corp.'s revenue?

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) reported $3.50B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $1.91B in fiscal year 2025. That is 3364% more than the $55.2M of fiscal year 2008.

How fast is AGNC Investment Corp. growing?

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) grew revenue by 125.2% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is AGNC profitable?

Yes. AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) earned $59.0M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 1.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does AGNC pay dividends?

Yes. AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) pays a dividend that yields 17.81% at the current price, a high yield.

What is AGNC's return on equity?

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) had a return on equity (ROE) of 0.5% over the trailing twelve months. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
Is AGNC a good dividend stock?

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) offers a 17.81% dividend yield, which is attractive for income investors. REITs are required to distribute at least 90% of taxable income to shareholders.

What if you invested $1,000 in AGNC back in 2008?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 18+ years of data

See returns →