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AOSA. O. Smith Corporation
$57.83$8.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
AOS logo

A. O. Smith Corporation

AOS
NYSE · Industrial Machinery
$57.83
At close - Sep 9, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$8.01B
P/E15.0x
52W High$81.86
Volume1.31M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Flat Revenue Masks Margin Compression and Rising Leverage

A. O. Smith's revenue has stagnated, with 2026Q2 down 0.7% YoY to $1.0B, while operating margin compressed from 20.3% in 2025Q2 to 16.7% in 2026Q2, indicating fading operating leverage. The company is leveraging up for acquisitions, with debt-to-equity triplin...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AOS price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-52% Peers

P/E is 52% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 33 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 67% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 30
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has stalled at -0.7% YoY in 2026Q2, while operating margin declined from 20.3% to 16.7% over the past year, with EPS falling 15.9% to $0.90.

Analyst Consensus+21.9% target
Hold(30 analysts)
10 Buy18 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Pricing power offsets demand softness

AOS can mitigate weaker water-heater demand through effective pricing strategies.

Leonard Valve contribution

The acquisition of Leonard Valve is expected to contribute positively to AOS's growth.

Dealer network expansion

Expanding its dealer base provides AOS with additional revenue channels.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/10/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AOS-13.77%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+11.60%
1-Year Return
AOS-17.68%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+17.23%
3-Year Return
AOS-12.20%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.23%
5-Year Return
AOS-9.48%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.86%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
15.0x
Forward P/E
15.5x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
10.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
6.8%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
15.0x
22.3x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
10.2x
12.6x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
14.7x
21.2x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$33.49-42.1%
Base (Fair)$54.71-9.5%
Bull$73.60+27.3%
$33.49 Bear$54.71 Base$73.60 Bull
Current Market Price: $57.83
Trades at a 5.7% premium to Base DCF ($54.71)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$3.83B+0.3% YoY
Net income
$546M+2.4% YoY
Free cash flow
$546M+15.2% YoY
Operating margin
19%+0.2 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)29.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)29.2%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 30, 2026
$1.03+7.6%
vs $0.96
$1.0B+0.9%
vs $995M
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$0.85-9.8%
vs $0.94
$946M-2.9%
vs $974M
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$0.90+7.1%
vs $0.84
$913M-1.7%
vs $928M
Q4 2025
Oct 28, 2025
$0.94+3.6%
vs $0.91
$943M-0.6%
vs $948M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Sep 1, 2026
A. O. Smith: Earnings Trough And Attractive Valuation Creates Upside

A. O. Smith is rated Buy due to resilient replacement demand, energy-efficiency tailwinds, and an attractive valuation. Approximately 80-85% of North American water heater demand is replacement-driven, providing downside protection and medium-term growth potential. Earnings are expected to recover from Q4 2026, driven by pricing realization, cost savings, and a favorable product mix shift.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 1, 2026
Here's Why Investors Should Retain A. O. Smith Stock in Portfolio Now

AOS benefits from strong North America boiler demand, acquisitions and shareholder returns, though China weakness and rising costs pose challenges.

Defense World·Aug 6, 2026
A. O. Smith Corporation $AOS Position Lessened by Amundi

Amundi decreased its position in shares of A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE: AOS) by 86.4% in the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned 115,540 shares of the industrial products company's stock after selling 733,620 shares during the period. Amundi

24/7 Wall Street·Aug 2, 2026
4 Industrial Dividend Growers That Fly Under the Radar and Look Like Buys in August

Industrial dividend growers rarely make headlines the way REITs or telecoms do, yet they quietly compound income year after year through cycles most investors ignore.

Filtered for A. O. Smith CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AOS against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AOS logoAOSA. O. Smith CorporationCurrent
$57.83$8.01B14.980.32%14.26%29.2%2.42%
LII logoLIILennox International Inc.
$375.78$12.99B16.91-2.73%14.61%65.3%—
WSO logoWSOWatsco, Inc.
$309.75$12.76B25.29-4.98%6.53%14.4%—
AAON logoAAONAAON, Inc.
$77.02$6.31B59.7120.11%8.24%17.21%—
MWA logoMWAMueller Water Products, Inc.
$23.99$3.75B19.668.75%15.02%21.21%—
WTS logoWTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.
$356.29$11.9B35.038.27%14.34%18.56%—

Compare AOS vs Peers

A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs LII

Most directly comparable listed peer for AOS.

Scale Benchmark

vs HD

Larger-name benchmark to compare AOS against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs LII, WSO, AAON, MWA

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AOS SEC Filings & Documents

A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 19, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 10, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 11, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 13, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 28, 2025·SEC

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AOS Frequently Asked Questions

A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is A. O. Smith Corporation's revenue?

A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) reported $3.80B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 387% increase from $781.2M in 1996.

How fast is A. O. Smith Corporation growing?

A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) grew revenue by 0.3% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is AOS profitable?

Yes, A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) is profitable, generating $500.3M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (14.3% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does AOS pay dividends?

Yes, A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) pays a dividend with a yield of 2.42%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is AOS's return on equity?

A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) has a return on equity (ROE) of 29.2%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is A. O. Smith Corporation's free cash flow?

A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) generated $639.4M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in AOS back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →