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ARCCAres Capital Corporation
$19.13$13.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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ARCC logo

Ares Capital Corporation

ARCC
NASDAQ · BDCs & Private Credit
$19.13
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$13.74B
P/E15.7x
52W High$21.14
Volume4.13M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Negative Net Interest Margin Threatens Distribution Capacity

Ares Capital's core spread-based earnings model appears under structural stress, with net interest income reversing from $379M in 2024Q2 to -$221M in 2026Q3 and NIM inverting to -0.7%, while a $71M provision build across 2026Q2–Q3 after eight quarters of zero charges suggests a potential credit inflection in the…

GrowthContracting
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ARCC price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

2/12 Beats

EPS beat 2 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+16% Peers

P/E is 16% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 61 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 61)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 27
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

NII collapsed 160.4% year-over-year to -$221M in 2026Q3 with NIM at -0.7%, while non-interest income swung to $763M, masking core earnings quality behind fair value volatility.

Analyst Consensus-0.7% target
Buy(32 analysts)
25 Buy7 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Scale and Competitive Advantage

ARCC's unmatched scale allows it to originate and structure deals that smaller competitors cannot, creating a durable competitive advantage. Its large portfolio of over 600 companies provides significant diversification, reducing idiosyncratic credit risk.

Attractive Yield and Valuation

The company offers a compelling dividend yield, often exceeding 10%, supported by recurring cash flows from a diversified loan book. It is also seen as trading at an attractive valuation, sometimes below its net asset value (NAV), presenting an opportunity for income-focused investors.

Interest Rate Sensitivity

ARCC is favorably positioned for a potential rise in interest rates, which is expected to enhance its net investment income due to its focus on first and second lien senior secured loans. The company has a 'spillover income' safety net and robust dividend coverage, mitigating concerns about dividend sustainability.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ARCC+0.64%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
ARCC+5.25%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
ARCC+27.38%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.41%
5-Year Return
ARCC+35.46%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+55.64%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
15.7x
Forward P/EExpansion
10.1x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
16.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
12.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
15.7x
9.0x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
16.5x
16.8x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
7.8x
11.5x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$28.46+48.8%
Base (Fair)$28.21+47.5%
Bull$36.57+91.2%
$28.46 Bear$28.21 Base$36.57 Bull
Current Market Price: $19.13
Trades at a 32.2% discount to Base DCF ($28.21)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$1.51B-11.8% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.3B-14.7% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$1.14B-10.9% YoY
Operating margin FY25
92.8%-0.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)3.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y4.5%
ROE (TTM)6.2%
Piotroski Score2 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate2/12 (17%)
Revenue Beat Rate1/12 (8%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 27, 2026
$0.46-3.4%
vs $0.48
$763M-1.7%
vs $776M
Q3 2026
Jul 29, 2026
$0.47-0.7%
vs $0.47
$768M-0.3%
vs $770M
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$0.47-2.6%
vs $0.48
$763M-1.9%
vs $778M
Q1 2026
Feb 4, 2026
$0.50+0.0%
vs $0.50
$793M-0.0%
vs $793M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·1d ago
5 Relatively Secure And Cheap Dividend Stocks, Yields Up To 8% (November 2026)

This article is part of our monthly series where we highlight five large-cap, relatively safe, dividend-paying companies offering significant discounts to their historical norms. We go over our filtering process to select just five conservative DGI stocks from more than 7,500 companies that are traded on U.S. exchanges, including OTC networks. In addition to the primary list that yields 3.7%, we present two other groups of five DGI stocks, each with moderate to high yields of up to 8%.

24/7 Wall Street·2d ago
How to Turn $300,000 Into Passive Income: A 3-Stock Dividend Strategy

Retirement changes what a portfolio has to do. The paycheck that used to arrive every two weeks has to come from somewhere else, and for many retirees Social Security covers only part of it.

24/7 Wall Street·3d ago
A $750,000 Dividend Portfolio Could Cost You $9,000 a Year in Taxes. Here's How

Two of the six stocks in this high-yield portfolio quietly drive most of the IRS bill, and a simple change in where you hold them could keep that money working for you.

Seeking Alpha·4d ago
Ares Capital: The Dividend Shortfall Doesn't Break My Thesis

Ares Capital remains a "Buy" for income-focused investors, despite a challenging Q3 marked by declining financials and investment activity. ARCC's 10% yield appears sustainable near-term, supported by robust liquidity, low leverage, ample spillover income, and a slight discount to NAV. The announced $2.6 billion mid-cap financial acquisition is expected to be modestly accretive and demonstrates ARCC's scale advantage in a tough environment.

Filtered for Ares Capital CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ARCC against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ARCC logoARCCAres Capital CorporationCurrent
$19.13$13.74B15.74-11.83%55%6.23%9.45%
GBDC logoGBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.
$12.74$3.32B22.6244.68%31.97%3.82%10.87%
OBDC logoOBDCBlue Owl Capital Corporation
$10.94$5.43B15.8262.44%33.98%4.76%13.59%
TPVG logoTPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
$4.37$177.42M8.1755.25%58.87%6.24%23.45%
HTGC logoHTGCHercules Capital, Inc.
$16.16$3.02B9.0528.6%81.68%15.8%8.77%
PSEC logoPSECProspect Capital Corporation
$1.41$706.42M13.66225.22%13.37%1.32%49.59%

Compare ARCC vs Peers

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs GBDC

Most directly comparable listed peer for ARCC.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare ARCC against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs GBDC, OBDC, TPVG, HTGC

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

ARCC SEC Filings & Documents

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 5, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 28, 2026·SEC

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ARCC Frequently Asked Questions

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Ares Capital Corporation growing?

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) grew revenue by 3.7% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is ARCC profitable?

Yes. Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) earned $875.0M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 55.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does ARCC pay dividends?

Yes. Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) pays a dividend that yields 9.45% at the current price, a high yield.

What is ARCC's return on equity?

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) had a return on equity (ROE) of 6.2% over the trailing twelve months. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Ares Capital Corporation's net interest margin?

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 4.6%. This indicates healthy earnings from lending activities.

What is Ares Capital Corporation's efficiency ratio?

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) has an efficiency ratio of 7.2%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in ARCC back in 2004?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 22+ years of data

See returns →