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AURAurora Innovation, Inc.
$6.50$12.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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AUR logo

Aurora Innovation, Inc.

AUR
NASDAQ · IT Services
$6.50
At close - Sep 9, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$12.74B
P/E-14.8x
52W High$8.57
Volume24.63M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Autonomous Trucking Ambition Constrained by Persistent Cash Burn

Aurora Innovation is a pre-revenue autonomous trucking developer with a robust balance sheet but a rapidly depleting cash position. The company's technology leadership and strategic partnerships position it for long-term value creation, yet the path to commerc...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityWeak
ValuationReview
TechnicalsHealthy
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AUR price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-155% Peers

P/E is 155% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 78 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 78)

04

Healthy Uptrend

Uptrend

Price > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue remains negligible at $2.0M in 2026Q2, with deeply negative gross margins of -2.5% and operating losses of -$266.0M, reflecting a cost structure dominated by R&D ($211.0M) and stock-based compensation ($60.0M).

Analyst Consensus+84.6% target
Buy(7 analysts)
4 Buy3 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong management team

The bullish thesis highlights Aurora Innovation's strong management as a key driver for future success.

Vast addressable market

Aurora Innovation is positioned to capitalize on a large and growing market opportunity.

Leadership in autonomous trucking

The company is recognized as a leader in the autonomous trucking sector, a critical growth area.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/10/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AUR+67.96%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+11.60%
1-Year Return
AUR+14.04%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+17.23%
3-Year Return
AUR+96.97%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+76.15%
5-Year Return
AUR-34.41%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.31%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E
-14.8x
Forward P/E
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-14.8x
N/A
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
N/A
N/A
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$0.03-99.5%
Base (Fair)$0.04-99.4%
Bull$0.04-99.4%
$0.03 Bear$0.04 Base$0.04 Bull
Current Market Price: $6.50
Trades at a 16150.0% premium to Base DCF ($0.04)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$3M
Net income
-$816M-9.1% YoY
Free cash flow
-$612M+5.1% YoY
Operating margin
-30033.3%
ROIC (TTM)-35%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-40.6%
Piotroski Score3 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate2/12 (40%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 29, 2026
-$0.14-20.0%
vs -$0.12
$2M+20.6%
vs $2M
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
-$0.11+5.0%
vs -$0.12
$1M+3.4%
vs $966,800
Q1 2026
Feb 11, 2026
-$0.12+0.0%
vs -$0.12
$1M-41.0%
vs $2M
Q4 2025
Oct 28, 2025
-$0.11+8.3%
vs -$0.12
$1M-32.1%
vs $1M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
GuruFocus·Sep 2, 2026
Aurora to Host Analyst & Investor Day on September 23, 2026

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (NASDAQ: AUR) today announced it will host an Analyst and Investor Day on September 23, 2026, in Dallas. The company will share how it is

Business Wire·Sep 2, 2026
Aurora to Host Analyst & Investor Day on September 23, 2026

PITTSBURGH--(BUSINESS WIRE)---- $AUR #AutonomousVehicles--Aurora Innovation, Inc. (NASDAQ: AUR) today announced it will host an Analyst & Investor Day on September 23, 2026, in Dallas. The company will share how it is scaling at a critical inflection point for the autonomous trucking industry. Keynote presentations and panels are scheduled to begin at 8:45 a.m. Central time and are expected to conclude at 11:00 a.m. Central time. Due to limited capacity, in-person attendance is by invitation only. The event will be web.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 1, 2026
Aurora Innovation: Built To Win With Less Than 1% Of The Market

Aurora Innovation's peers differ by freight class, road type, and commercial stage; those closest to its long-haul lane still trail it. AUR's lead rests on ~440,000 driverless miles, factory integration with Volvo and International, and no collisions attributed to its self-driving system. A "what would have to be true" analysis implies AUR needs only ~0.6% of the US combination-truck fleet by 2030 to return 20% annualized.

Defense World·Aug 27, 2026
Aurora Innovation, Inc. (NASDAQ:AUR) Receives Consensus Rating of “Hold” from Analysts

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (NASDAQ: AUR - Get Free Report) has been assigned an average recommendation of "Hold" from the eleven brokerages that are presently covering the company, MarketBeat Ratings reports. Two equities research analysts have rated the stock with a sell recommendation, two have given a hold recommendation and seven have issued a buy recommendation on

Filtered for Aurora Innovation, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AUR against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AUR logoAURAurora Innovation, Inc.Current
$6.50$12.74B-14.77—-27200%-40.65%—
MBLY logoMBLYMobileye Global Inc.
$8.10$6.61B-16.8814.51%-201.49%-40.43%—
LAZR logoLAZRLuminar Technologies, Inc.
$44.77$26.73B-7.07-12.44%-572.79%——
INVZ logoINVZInnoviz Technologies Ltd.
$0.34$77.07M-1.01127%-153.1%-118.08%—
OUST logoOUSTOuster, Inc.
$36.24$2.31B-33.8752.46%-26.02%-18.45%—
LIDR logoLIDRAEye, Inc.
$1.33$61.6M-1.4815.35%-7786.44%-46.4%—

Compare AUR vs Peers

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MBLY

Most directly comparable listed peer for AUR.

Scale Benchmark

vs NVDA

Larger-name benchmark to compare AUR against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MBLY, LAZR, INVZ, OUST

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AUR SEC Filings & Documents

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 26, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 6, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 14, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 28, 2025·SEC

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AUR Frequently Asked Questions

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Aurora Innovation, Inc.'s revenue?

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) reported $5.0M in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 74% decrease from $19.6M in 2019.

Is AUR profitable?

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) reported a net loss of $900.0M for fiscal year 2025.

Dividend & Returns
What is AUR's return on equity?

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) has a return on equity (ROE) of -40.6%. Negative ROE indicates the company is unprofitable.

What is Aurora Innovation, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) had negative free cash flow of $751.0M in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in AUR back in 2019?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 7+ years of data

See returns →