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AVBAvalonBay Communities, Inc.
$68.14$9.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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AVB logo

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB
NYSE · Residential REITs
$68.14
At close - Sep 4, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$9.68B
P/E9.2x
52W High$198.63
Volume6.2M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Coastal Demand Softening Masks AFFO Coverage Stress

AvalonBay's core coastal multifamily portfolio is experiencing decelerating revenue growth, with total revenue up just 2.3% YoY in 2026Q2 versus 5.7% in 2024Q1, signaling fading pricing power. However, the most pressing concern is the dramatic collapse in AFFO...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AVB price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-66% Peers

P/E is 66% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 4 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 96% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth decelerated to 2.3% YoY in 2026Q2, while NOI margin collapsed to 3.3% from 68.2% in 2025Q4, and FFO per share fell 22.3% YoY to $2.74, indicating potential operational stress.

Analyst Consensus+191.8% target
Hold(42 analysts)
17 Buy24 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Demand for Rental Housing

The demand for rental apartments is robust, driven by millennials forming households, delayed homeownership due to affordability issues, and increased urbanization. AvalonBay, as a major owner and operator of apartment communities, is well-positioned to benefit from this persistent demand.

Favorable Market Conditions

Certain markets where AVB operates may experience strong rent growth due to limited new supply, job growth, and population increases. This environment can lead to higher revenue and net operating income for the company.

High-Quality Portfolio

AvalonBay boasts a portfolio of well-located, high-quality apartment buildings in desirable urban and suburban markets. This focus on premium assets allows them to command higher rents and maintain strong occupancy rates.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AVB-60.27%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
AVB-61.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
AVB-50.00%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.67%
5-Year Return
AVB-55.28%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.04%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
9.2x
Forward P/E
11.3x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
10.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
14.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
9.2x
28.5x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
10.3x
20.1x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
6.8x
19.5x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$172.44+153.1%
Base (Fair)$232.38+241.0%
Bull$293.80+331.2%
$172.44 Bear$232.38 Base$293.80 Bull
Current Market Price: $68.14
Trades at a 70.7% discount to Base DCF ($232.38)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$3.04B+4.3% YoY
Net income
$1.05B-2.7% YoY
Free cash flow
$1.41B+0.3% YoY
Operating margin
30.1%-1.4 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)3.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)8.9%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate1/12 (8%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 22, 2026
$1.11-9.8%
vs $1.23
$712M-7.8%
vs $772M
Q2 2026
Apr 27, 2026
$2.33+83.5%
vs $1.27
$705M-8.3%
vs $769M
Q1 2026
Feb 4, 2026
$1.17-4.9%
vs $1.23
$679M-11.3%
vs $766M
Q4 2025
Oct 29, 2025
$2.68+95.6%
vs $1.37
$682M-10.9%
vs $766M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·6d ago
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. $AVB Stake Lessened by Corient Private Wealth LP

Corient Private Wealth LP reduced its stake in shares of AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE: AVB) by 24.1% in the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The institutional investor owned 35,162 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock after selling

Defense World·Sep 16, 2026
Squarepoint Ops LLC Has $1.85 Million Stock Position in AvalonBay Communities, Inc. $AVB

Squarepoint Ops LLC reduced its holdings in shares of AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE: AVB) by 84.2% in the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned 9,795 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock after selling 52,007 shares during the

Defense World·Aug 26, 2026
Bank of Nova Scotia Purchases Shares of 19,339 AvalonBay Communities, Inc. $AVB

Bank of Nova Scotia purchased a new position in AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE: AVB) during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm purchased 19,339 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock, valued at approximately $3,649,000. A number

Defense World·Aug 24, 2026
7,000 Shares in AvalonBay Communities, Inc. $AVB Acquired by Ally Financial Inc.

Ally Financial Inc. purchased a new position in AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE: AVB) during the second quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund purchased 7,000 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock, valued at approximately $1,321,000. Other institutional investors and hedge funds have also

Filtered for AvalonBay Communities, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AVB against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AVB logoAVBAvalonBay Communities, Inc.Current
$68.14$9.68B9.224.29%34.64%8.85%10.26%
EQR logoEQREquity Residential
$68.14$25.55B23.424.06%27.91%7.82%—
ESS logoESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.
$273.47$17.57B26.277.11%12.33%4.19%—
UDR logoUDRUDR, Inc.
$33.79$10.98B29.902.42%30.43%14.38%—
CPT logoCPTCamden Property Trust
$97.68$9.82B27.591.92%20.74%7.66%—
MAA logoMAAMid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.
$117.78$13.71B31.160.83%18.17%6.96%—

Compare AVB vs Peers

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs EQR

Most directly comparable listed peer for AVB.

Scale Benchmark

vs PLD

Larger-name benchmark to compare AVB against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs EQR, ESS, UDR, CPT

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AVB SEC Filings & Documents

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 31, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 8, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 23, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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AVB Frequently Asked Questions

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is AvalonBay Communities, Inc.'s revenue?

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) reported $3.08B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 3630% increase from $82.6M in 1996.

How fast is AvalonBay Communities, Inc. growing?

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) grew revenue by 4.3% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is AVB profitable?

Yes, AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) is profitable, generating $1.03B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (34.6% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does AVB pay dividends?

Yes, AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) pays a dividend with a yield of 10.26%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is AVB's return on equity?

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) has a return on equity (ROE) of 8.9%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

Industry Metrics
What is AvalonBay Communities, Inc.'s FFO?

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) generated Funds From Operations (FFO) of $1.96B in the trailing twelve months. FFO is the primary profitability metric for REITs.

Is AVB a good dividend stock?

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) offers a 10.26% dividend yield, which is attractive for income investors. REITs are required to distribute at least 90% of taxable income to shareholders.

What if you invested $1,000 in AVB back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →