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BBAIBigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
$2.22$1.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
BBAI logo

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

BBAI
NYSE · Government IT Services
$2.22
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$1.06B
P/E-5.9x
52W High$7.40
Volume14.57M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Revenue Rebound Masks Persistent Cash Burn and Losses

BBAI's latest quarterly revenue of $43.6M suggests a rebound from a volatile base, but gross margins of roughly 20% to 37% appear anchored in labor-intensive services rather than scalable software economics.

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityWeak
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

BBAI price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

4/12 Beats

EPS beat 4 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-128% Peers

P/E is 128% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 20 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 80% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 27
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue rebounded to $43.6M in 2026Q3 (+31.5%), yet operating margin remained deeply negative at -2.3% in the latest quarter after -74.4% in 2026Q2, with gross margin holding in a 31% to 34% range over the last two quarters.

Analyst Consensus+35.1% target
Hold(4 analysts)
1 Buy3 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

AI-powered decision intelligence

BigBear.ai provides AI-driven solutions for government, defense, manufacturing, and healthcare sectors, positioning it as a leader in decision intelligence.

Diverse industry applications

The company's solutions span multiple high-growth industries, including defense, healthcare, and logistics, offering broad market opportunities.

Government and defense contracts

BigBear.ai's revenue is significantly tied to U.S. Army contracts, indicating strong relationships in the defense sector despite recent disruptions.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
BBAI-61.99%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
BBAI-60.78%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
BBAI+51.02%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.76%
5-Year Return
BBAI-77.73%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.80%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E
-5.9x
Forward P/E
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-5.9x
N/A
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
N/A
N/A
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$0.33-85.1%
Base (Fair)$0.43-80.6%
Bull$0.37-83.3%
$0.33 Bear$0.43 Base$0.37 Bull
Current Market Price: $2.22
Trades at a 416.3% premium to Base DCF ($0.43)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$128M-19.3% YoY
Net income FY25
-$294M+0.6% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$46M+5.9% YoY
Operating margin FY25
-65.3%+19.0 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)-19.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-42.9%
ROE (TTM)-25.3%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 27, 2026
-$0.19-280.0%
vs -$0.05
$44M+45.6%
vs $30M
Q3 2026
Jul 30, 2026
-$0.05-11.1%
vs -$0.04
$37M+1.0%
vs $36M
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
-$0.08+0.0%
vs -$0.08
$34M+2.5%
vs $34M
Q2 2026
Mar 2, 2026
-$0.04+20.0%
vs -$0.05
$27M-18.1%
vs $33M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
BBAI Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Raised Guidance and AI Demand

BigBear.ai raises its 2026 revenue outlook as Q3 sales surge 31%, margins expand and government AI contracts fuel growth despite continued losses.

Benzinga·2d ago
Jim Cramer Doesn't Like This Tech Stock: It Is ‘Losing A Lot Of Money'

On CNBC's “Mad Money Lightning Round,” Jim Cramer said he doesn't like BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) as it is “losing a lot of money.”

The Motley Fool·4d ago
BigBear.ai vs. Nebius: Which AI Stock Is the Better Buy for 2027?

BigBear.ai's trailing-12-month revenue fell about 1.5% with a roughly $180 million net loss. Nebius revenue jumped 444% and the company swung to a $62 million profit.

The Motley Fool·5d ago
After Posting Strong Q3 Numbers, Is BigBear.ai Stock Due for a Rally?

BigBear.ai posted 31% revenue growth in its most recent quarter. It has secured dozens of new deals and upgraded its guidance.

Filtered for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark BBAI against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
BBAI logoBBAIBigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.Current
$2.22$1.06B-5.92-19.32%-126.84%-25.25%—
PLTR logoPLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.
$160.38$368.24B112.5156.18%50.34%39.37%—
KTOS logoKTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
$35.10$6.58B301.2918.52%1.34%0.72%—
SPIR logoSPIRSpire Global, Inc.
$8.65$281.44M-3.66-35.22%-145.22%-75.24%—
AIOT logoAIOTPowerFleet, Inc.
$2.69$361.07M-19.2422.42%-4.16%-3.91%—
GOVX logoGOVXGeoVax Labs, Inc.
$0.16$151.34K-0.04-37.06%—-743.66%—

Compare BBAI vs Peers

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PLTR

Most directly comparable listed peer for BBAI.

Scale Benchmark

vs NVDA

Larger-name benchmark to compare BBAI against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PLTR, KTOS, SPIR, AIOT

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

BBAI SEC Filings & Documents

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 31, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Mar 2, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 25, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

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BBAI Frequently Asked Questions

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s revenue?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) reported $142.1M in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $127.7M in fiscal year 2025. That is 73% more than the $73.6M of fiscal year 2019.

How fast is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. growing?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) revenue fell by 1.5% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is BBAI profitable?

No. BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) reported a net loss of $180.2M over the trailing twelve months.

Dividend & Returns
What is BBAI's return on equity?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) had a return on equity (ROE) of -25.3% over the trailing twelve months. A negative ROE means the company lost money over the period.

What is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s free cash flow?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) had negative free cash flow of $72.7M over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in BBAI back in 2019?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 7+ years of data

See returns →