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CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.
$40.23$14.5B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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CG logo

The Carlyle Group Inc.

CG
NASDAQ · Asset Management
$40.23
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$14.48B
P/E18.5x
52W High$69.18
Volume3.3M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Fee-Driven Earnings Mask Volatile Credit Portfolio Risk

Carlyle's earnings power is fundamentally tied to fee generation and performance realizations, with non-interest income constituting 70.4% of total revenue in Q2 2026. However, the firm's balance sheet has undergone a dramatic transformation, with investment s...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

CG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-34% Peers

P/E is 34% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 22 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 78% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 6
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue is dominated by volatile non-interest income, which constituted 70.4% of total revenue in Q2 2026, while net interest margin compression to 1.2% and the emergence of a $249.1 million provision expense highlight the strain on core profitability.

Analyst Consensus+41.0% target
Buy(26 analysts)
14 Buy11 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Diversified Business Model

Carlyle operates across private equity, credit, and real assets, providing a diversified revenue stream. The global credit segment is a significant contributor, with substantial assets under management.

Fee-Related Earnings Growth

The company has set ambitious financial targets, aiming for Fee Related Earnings of at least $1.9 billion by the end of 2028. This focus on recurring revenue streams is a positive indicator.

Share Buyback Program

A $2 billion share repurchase program has been approved, which can increase shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
CG-32.17%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
CG-38.59%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
CG+45.96%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.49%
5-Year Return
CG-2.25%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+72.82%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
18.5x
Forward P/EExpansion
11.0x
EV/EBITDA75th %ile
18.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
9.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
18.5x
18.2x
75th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
18.8x
16.5x
75th· Fair
Price/FCF
10.6x
16.1x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$30.10-25.2%
Base (Fair)$40.49+1.0%
Bull$39.95-0.7%
$30.10 Bear$40.49 Base$39.95 Bull
Current Market Price: $40.23
Trades at a 0.6% discount to Base DCF ($40.49)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$4.77B+40.3% YoY
Net income
$809M-20.7% YoY
Free cash flow
$1.36B+262.9% YoY
Operating margin
26.9%-14.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)5.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)12.1%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 4, 2026
$1.07+17.5%
vs $0.91
$1.1B+20.4%
vs $924M
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
$0.89-4.5%
vs $0.93
$751M-25.8%
vs $1.0B
Q1 2026
Feb 6, 2026
$1.01+1.4%
vs $1.00
$1.1B+4.0%
vs $1.1B
Q4 2025
Oct 31, 2025
$0.98-3.9%
vs $1.02
$781M-21.2%
vs $990M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Benzinga·Sep 15, 2026
Watching Ashland; Shares Spike Higher, Traders Circulate Unconfirmed Analyst Report Suggesting Ashland Running A Sales Process; Collecting Bids In September, According To Sources, Apollo Global Management And Carlyle Group Are Among The Private Equity Firms Showing Interest In The Co

� 2025 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 15, 2026
Carlyle Group: Asymmetric Return Profile

Carlyle Group shares have underperformed peers yet offer an asymmetric value opportunity with limited downside risk. CG expects 15% annual growth in fee-related earnings and distributable earnings, supported by durable, recurring income streams and a strong balance sheet. Alpinvest, nearly 25% of CG's AUM, benefits from both current monetization challenges and long-term private asset growth, positioning CG advantageously.

PRNewsWire·Sep 10, 2026
Carlyle, Insight Partners, and JMI Equity Unveil Exiger's Complete AI-Built Transformation

Category Leader Launches Autonomous AI Development Platform to Bring Compounding and Iterative Agentic Capabilities to Supply Chain, Readiness, and Trade Management WASHINGTON, Sept. 10, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Exiger, a market-leading supply chain AI company, in partnership with investors Carlyle, Insight Partners, and JMI Equity, today announced its complete AI transformation with the AI-native 1Exiger release, a significant upgrade to the 1Exiger tech stack that is designed to allow customers to harness the agility of AI for supply chain, procurement, and compliance tasks.

Defense World·Sep 9, 2026
Hsbc Holdings PLC Grows Holdings in Carlyle Group Inc. $CG

Hsbc Holdings PLC lifted its position in shares of Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CG) by 33.5% during the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 283,206 shares of the financial services provider's stock after acquiring an additional 71,039

Filtered for The Carlyle Group Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark CG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
CG logoCGThe Carlyle Group Inc.Current
$40.23$14.48B18.4540.31%16.94%12.07%3.39%
BX logoBXBlackstone Inc.
$124.01$97.69B31.9621.87%22.69%16.16%—
KKR logoKKRKKR & Co. Inc.
$98.44$88.39B42.07-7.47%18%3.96%—
APO logoAPOApollo Global Management, Inc.
$124.15$71.51B17.1015.78%8.54%7.06%—
ARES logoARESAres Management Corporation
$124.72$40.96B63.6396.21%9.97%7.43%—
TPG logoTPGTPG Inc.
$45.62$17.49B37.7079.63%4.68%4.88%—

Compare CG vs Peers

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs BX

Most directly comparable listed peer for CG.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare CG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs BX, KKR, APO, ARES

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

CG SEC Filings & Documents

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 1, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 10, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 8, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 7, 2025·SEC

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CG Frequently Asked Questions

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is The Carlyle Group Inc. growing?

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) grew revenue by 40.3% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is CG profitable?

Yes, The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) is profitable, generating $363.9M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (16.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does CG pay dividends?

Yes, The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) pays a dividend with a yield of 3.39%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is CG's return on equity?

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) has a return on equity (ROE) of 12.1%. This is reasonable for most industries.

Industry Metrics
What is The Carlyle Group Inc.'s net interest margin?

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 7.1%. This indicates healthy earnings from lending activities.

What is The Carlyle Group Inc.'s efficiency ratio?

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) has an efficiency ratio of 40.8%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in CG back in 2009?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 17+ years of data

See returns →