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CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.
$39.70$14.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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CG logo

The Carlyle Group Inc.

CG
NASDAQ · Asset Managers & Custodians
$39.70
At close - USD
Market Cap$14.29B
P/E18.2x
52W High$67.30
Volume3.4M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Fee-Driven Earnings Mask Volatile Credit Portfolio Risk

Carlyle's earnings power is fundamentally tied to fee generation and performance realizations, with non-interest income constituting 70.4% of total revenue in Q2 2026.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

CG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-33% Peers

P/E is 33% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 37 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 63% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 5
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue is dominated by volatile non-interest income, which constituted 70.4% of total revenue in Q2 2026, while net interest margin compression to 1.2% and the emergence of a $249.1 million provision expense highlight the strain on core profitability.

Analyst Consensus+26.5% target
Buy(26 analysts)
14 Buy11 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Diversified Business Model

Carlyle operates across private equity, credit, and real assets, providing a diversified revenue stream. The global credit segment is a significant contributor, with substantial assets under management.

Fee-Related Earnings Growth

The company has set ambitious financial targets, aiming for Fee Related Earnings of at least $1.9 billion by the end of 2028. This focus on recurring revenue streams is a positive indicator.

Share Buyback Program

A $2 billion share repurchase program has been approved, which can increase shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
CG-33.04%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
CG-21.70%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
CG+51.80%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.80%
5-Year Return
CG-20.95%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.04%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
49.1x
Forward P/EExpansion
11.4x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
30.4x
FCF YieldCash Flow
8.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
49.1x
18.2x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
30.4x
16.5x
100th· High
Price/FCF
12.0x
16.1x
33rd· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$30.39-23.5%
Base (Fair)$38.50-3.0%
Bull$40.39+1.7%
$30.39 Bear$38.50 Base$40.39 Bull
Current Market Price: $39.70
Trades at a 3.1% premium to Base DCF ($38.50)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$4.77B+40.3% YoY
Net income FY25
$809M-20.7% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$1.36B+262.9% YoY
Operating margin FY25
26.9%-14.1 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)5.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)12.1%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 5, 2026
$1.12+15.1%
vs $0.97
$995M+8.0%
vs $921M
Q3 2026
Aug 4, 2026
$1.07+17.5%
vs $0.91
$1.1B+20.4%
vs $924M
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
$0.89-4.5%
vs $0.93
$751M-25.8%
vs $1.0B
Q1 2026
Feb 6, 2026
$1.01+1.4%
vs $1.00
$1.1B+4.0%
vs $1.1B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
MarketBeat·1d ago
Carlyle Secured Lending Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Carlyle Secured Lending NASDAQ: CGBD reported third-quarter 2026 net investment income of $0.36 per share, covering its $0.35 base dividend, as higher income from joint ventures helped offset a smaller average loan portfolio.

Seeking Alpha·1d ago
The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

The Carlyle Group Inc. ( CG ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call November 5, 2026 8:30 AM EST Company Participants Daniel Harris - Partner & Head of Public Investor Relations Harvey Schwartz - Partner, CEO & Director Justin Plouffe - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Alexander Blostein - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division Steven Chubak - Wolfe Research, LLC Brennan Hawken - BMO Capital Markets Equity Research Michael Brown - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division Glenn Schorr - Evercore ISI Institutional Equities, Research Division Brian Bedell - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division Kenneth Worthington - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division Benjamin Budish - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division Daniel F. Welden - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division Robin Holby - TD Cowen, Research Division Crispin Love - Piper Sandler & Co., Research Division Michael Cyprys - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Patrick Davitt - Autonomous Research US LP Bart Dziarski - RBC Capital Markets, Research Division Presentation Operator Good day, and welcome to the Carlyle Group's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call.

GlobeNewsWire·2d ago
Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. Announces Financial Results For Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2026, Declares Fourth Quarter 2026 Dividend of $0.35 Per Common Share

NEW YORK, Nov. 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (together with its consolidated subsidiaries, “we,” “us,” “our,” “CGBD” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: CGBD) today announced its financial results for its third quarter ended September 30, 2026. Alex Chi, CGBD's Chief Executive Officer, said, “We continued to execute CGBD's strategy in the third quarter, resulting in increased earnings and a stable NAV.

MarketBeat·2d ago
What Carlyle Group (CG) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Carlyle Group NASDAQ: CG reported third-quarter distributable earnings of $433 million, or $1.12 per share, as a rise in realized performance revenue helped lift earnings per share 17% from a year earlier.

Filtered for The Carlyle Group Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark CG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
CG logoCGThe Carlyle Group Inc.Current
$39.70$14.29B18.2140.31%16.94%12.07%3.43%
BX logoBXBlackstone Inc.
$119.50$94.14B30.8021.87%22.58%16.4%6.44%
KKR logoKKRKKR & Co. Inc.
$96.48$86.63B41.23-7.47%18%3.96%0.83%
APO logoAPOApollo Global Management, Inc.
$116.75$67.24B16.0815.78%8.54%7.06%1.83%
ARES logoARESAres Management Corporation
$133.98$44B68.3696.21%9.97%7.43%6.03%
TPG logoTPGTPG Inc.
$46.50$17.83B38.4379.63%5.3%5.95%6.94%

Compare CG vs Peers

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs BX

Most directly comparable listed peer for CG.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare CG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs BX, KKR, APO, ARES

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

CG SEC Filings & Documents

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 1, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 10, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 8, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 7, 2025·SEC

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CG Frequently Asked Questions

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is The Carlyle Group Inc. growing?

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) grew revenue by 40.3% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is CG profitable?

Yes. The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) earned $363.9M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 10.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does CG pay dividends?

Yes. The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) pays a dividend that yields 3.43% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is CG's return on equity?

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) had a return on equity (ROE) of 12.1% in fiscal year 2025. That is in line with the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is The Carlyle Group Inc.'s net interest margin?

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 7.1%. This indicates healthy earnings from lending activities.

What is The Carlyle Group Inc.'s efficiency ratio?

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) has an efficiency ratio of 40.8%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in CG back in 2009?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 17+ years of data

See returns →