Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 2, 2026, Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $212.19, based on estimates from 49 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $223.53, this represents a potential downside of -5.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $12.33B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $180.00 to a high of $255.00, representing a 35% spread in expectations. The median target of $213.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 27 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,21 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, FIVE trades at a trailing P/E of 48.6x and forward P/E of 35.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 4.38 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +14.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $348.56, with bear and bull scenarios of $246.16 and $707.49 respectively. Model confidence stands at 71/100, indicating high predictability in the company's fundamentals.
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Start ComparisonWall Street's consensus price target for FIVE is $212.19, -5.1% from its current price of $223.53. The below-market target from 49 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
FIVE has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 49 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 27 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $212.19 implies -5.1% downside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 35.3351x, FIVE trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $212.19 (-5.1% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $255 for FIVE, while the most conservative target is $180. The consensus of $212.19 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $707 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
FIVE is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 49 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 27 have Buy ratings, 21 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month FIVE stock forecast based on 49 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $212.19, with estimates ranging from $180 (bear case) to $255 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $349, with bear/bull scenarios of $246/$707.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FIVE's fair value at $349 (base case), with a bear case of $246 and bull case of $707. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 71/100.
FIVE trades at a forward P/E ratio of 35.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 48.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on FIVE, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $212.19 (-5.1% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
FIVE analyst price targets range from $180 to $255, a 35% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $212.19 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $246-$707 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.