FIVE trades 28.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $298.60.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes FIVE achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 36.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 50 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $298.60, based on estimates from 50 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $232.28, this represents a potential upside of +28.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $12.84B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $224.00 to a high of $420.00, representing a 66% spread in expectations. The median target of $295.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 30 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,20 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, FIVE trades at a trailing P/E of 36.0x and forward P/E of 36.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.52 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -42.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $267.81, with bear and bull scenarios of $168.72 and $352.87 respectively. Model confidence stands at 61/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DLTRDollar Tree, Inc. | $22.1B | $115.04 | $139.64 | +21.4% | Buy | 14.6x | 49 |
 DGDollar General Corporation | $27.0B | $122.62 | $135.64 | +10.6% | Buy | 15.5x | 52 |
 PSMTPriceSmart, Inc. | $5.3B | $172.81 | $198.00 | +14.6% | Hold | 31.2x | 8 |
 GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp. | $1.1B | $11.49 | $10.80 | -6.0% | Hold | 21.0x | 23 |
 OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. | $5.0B | $82.48 | $100.80 | +22.2% | Buy | 21.3x | 28 |
 BURLBurlington Stores, Inc. | $16.2B | $256.85 | $383.30 | +49.2% | Buy | 26.3x | 35 |
 TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc. | $144.5B | $130.80 | $174.15 | +33.1% | Buy | 27.9x | 53 |
 WMTWalmart Inc. | $877.8B | $110.12 | $128.84 | +17.0% | Buy | 38.1x | 66 |
 AMZNAmazon.com, Inc. | $2.7T | $254.98 | $326.33 | +28.0% | Buy | 20.0x | 94 |
 TGTTarget Corporation | $72.2B | $159.02 | $166.10 | +4.5% | Buy | 15.8x | 60 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FIVE stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for FIVE is $298.6, representing 28.6% upside from the current price of $232.28. With 50 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
FIVE has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 50 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 30 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $298.6 implies 28.6% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 36.4412x, FIVE trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $298.6 (28.6% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $420 for FIVE, while the most conservative target is $224. The consensus of $298.6 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $353 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
FIVE is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 50 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 30 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month FIVE stock forecast based on 50 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $298.6, with estimates ranging from $224 (bear case) to $420 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $268, with bear/bull scenarios of $169/$353.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FIVE's fair value at $268 (base case), with a bear case of $169 and bull case of $353. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 61/100.
FIVE trades at a forward P/E ratio of 36.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 36.0x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on FIVE, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $298.6 price target (28.6% upside). 30 of 50 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
FIVE analyst price targets range from $224 to $420, a 66% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $298.6 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $169-$353 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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