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FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.
$23.34$3.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
FLY logo

Firefly Aerospace Inc.

FLY
NASDAQ · Aerospace & Defense
$23.34
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$3.83B
P/E-10.6x
52W High$62.17
Volume2.68M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Revenue Inflection Masks Deepening Cash Burn

Firefly Aerospace is scaling rapidly, with Q2 2026 revenue crossing $100M for the first time and gross profit tripling sequentially to $23.9M, suggesting early commercial traction. However, the company remains deeply unprofitable, with operating margin at -80....

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityWeak
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

FLY price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

3/6 Beats

EPS beat 3 of last 6 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-143% Peers

P/E is 143% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 27 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 73% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 11

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
FLY-1.75%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
FLY-52.86%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
FLY-61.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+82.11%
5-Year Return
FLY-61.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+79.58%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E
-9.9x
Forward P/E
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-9.9x
N/A
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
N/A
N/A
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$4.16-82.2%
Base (Fair)$19.04-9.2%
Bull$4.78-79.5%
$4.16 Bear$19.04 Base$4.78 Bull
Current Market Price: $23.35
Trades at a 22.6% premium to Base DCF ($19.04)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$160M+163.0% YoY
Net income
-$298M-29.1% YoY
Free cash flow
-$238M-24.9% YoY
Operating margin
-154.3%+190.3 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)-26.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-141.3%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate3/6 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/6 (83%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 11, 2026
-$0.42+18.1%
vs -$0.51
$118M+33.4%
vs $88M
Q2 2026
May 4, 2026
-$0.46+8.0%
vs -$0.50
$81M+4.9%
vs $77M
Q2 2026
Mar 19, 2026
-$0.38+20.8%
vs -$0.48
$58M+10.0%
vs $52M
Q4 2025
Nov 12, 2025
-$1.50-266.5%
vs -$0.41
$31M+11.1%
vs $28M
Historical baseline: 6 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
The Motley Fool·2d ago
Firefly Aerospace vs. Rocket Lab: Which Space Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

Firefly Aerospace is scaling its launch and lunar systems with significant government backing. Rocket Lab provides a proven end-to-end solution with a robust flight history and diversifying revenue.

Benzinga·Sep 17, 2026
Firefly Landed a $100 Million NASA Contract This Month — Here's What Else Happened

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (NASDAQ:FLY) had a busy stretch this past month that included a new NASA contract, a lunar mission partnership and a fresh launch agreement.

The Motley Fool·Sep 12, 2026
Firefly Aerospace vs. Joby Aviation: Which Industrials Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

Firefly Aerospace is scaling its orbital launch operations with triple-digit revenue growth and strategic lunar mission contracts. Joby Aviation is leading the electric air taxi movement through deep manufacturing and service partnerships with global industry giants.

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 9, 2026
Firefly Aerospace Signs Contract with SSC Space for Two Alpha Launches from Esrange Space Center

CEDAR PARK, Texas, Sept. 09, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Firefly Aerospace (Nasdaq: FLY), a market leading space and defense technology company, today announced a multi-launch agreement with SSC Space for two Alpha rocket launches from Sweden's Esrange Space Center, owned and operated by SSC Space.

Filtered for Firefly Aerospace Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark FLY against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
FLY logoFLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.Current
$23.35$3.83B-10.56162.95%-186.63%-141.29%0.14%
RKT logoRKTRocket Companies, Inc.
$12.74$35.98B-463.2722.99%4.8%2.4%—
MNTS logoMNTSMomentus Inc.
$4.35$51.71M-0.09-47.49%-930.73%-90.48%—
ASTS logoASTSAST SpaceMobile, Inc.
$63.69$19.03B-47.531505.21%-536.66%-27.27%—
SPCE logoSPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.
$3.32$426.74M-0.61-78.06%-23867.44%-88.5%—
BA logoBAThe Boeing Company
$197.72$156.27B79.7334.5%2.59%104.66%—

Compare FLY vs Peers

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs RKT

Most directly comparable listed peer for FLY.

Scale Benchmark

vs BA

Larger-name benchmark to compare FLY against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs RKT, MNTS, ASTS, SPCE

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

FLY SEC Filings & Documents

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 11, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 2, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

1
FY 2026

Mar 20, 2026·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

4
FY 2026

Aug 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 12, 2025·SEC

Get notified when FLY posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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FLY Frequently Asked Questions

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Firefly Aerospace Inc.'s revenue?

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) reported $287.0M in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 420% increase from $55.2M in 2023.

How fast is Firefly Aerospace Inc. growing?

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) grew revenue by 163.0% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is FLY profitable?

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) reported a net loss of $363.5M for fiscal year 2025.

Dividend & Returns
Does FLY pay dividends?

Yes, Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.14%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is FLY's return on equity?

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) has a return on equity (ROE) of -141.3%. Negative ROE indicates the company is unprofitable.

What is Firefly Aerospace Inc.'s free cash flow?

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) had negative free cash flow of $326.5M in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in FLY back in 2023?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 3+ years of data

See returns →