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GGGGraco Inc.
$67.86$11.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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GGG logo

Graco Inc.

GGG
NYSE · Pumps & Flow Control
$67.86
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$10.99B
P/E21.4x
52W High$95.69
Volume1.15M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Margin Erosion Tests Graco's Acquisition-Fueled Reset

Graco's 7.9% year-over-year revenue growth in 2026Q3 appears increasingly disconnected from earnings power, as diluted EPS declined 8.5% to $0.75 and gross margin compressed 390 basis points to a decade-low 50.5% from the 54.4% peak in 2024Q2.

GrowthStable
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

GGG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
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Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

4/12 Beats

EPS beat 4 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-14% Peers

P/E is 14% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 38 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 62% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 21
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth of 7.9% in 2026Q3 failed to translate to earnings, with EPS declining 8.5% to $0.75 as gross margin fell to a decade-low 50.5% and operating margin compressed to 25.3%, while SG&A of $127.5M rose 7.8% in near-lockstep with the top line, suggesting unfavorable operating leverage.

Analyst Consensus+19.4% target
Hold(21 analysts)
7 Buy14 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong market position

Graco Inc. is viewed positively due to its strong market position, premium product offerings, and resilient revenue streams.

Resilient revenue streams

The company benefits from stable demand and high margins, particularly from parts and accessories.

Strategic acquisition

Graco's acquisition of Color Service introduces high-margin, precision dosing technology, creating cross-sell opportunities across multiple industries.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
GGG-16.46%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
GGG-15.02%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
GGG-8.15%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.55%
5-Year Return
GGG-7.65%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.59%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
21.4x
Forward P/EExpansion
21.0x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
14.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
21.4x
29.5x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
14.3x
20.0x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
18.7x
32.0x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$37.59-44.6%
Base (Fair)$62.07-8.5%
Bull$84.96+25.2%
$37.59 Bear$62.07 Base$84.96 Bull
Current Market Price: $67.86
Trades at a 9.3% premium to Base DCF ($62.07)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$2.24B+5.8% YoY
Net income FY25
$522M+7.4% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$638M+23.9% YoY
Operating margin FY25
27.3%+0.3 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)22.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y27.3%
ROE (TTM)19.9%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
Revenue Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 21, 2026
$0.81-2.5%
vs $0.83
$586M-0.6%
vs $590M
Q3 2026
Jul 22, 2026
$0.91+12.6%
vs $0.81
$591M-2.9%
vs $608M
Q2 2026
Apr 22, 2026
$0.66-11.1%
vs $0.74
$540M-3.7%
vs $561M
Q1 2026
Jan 26, 2026
$0.77+0.0%
vs $0.77
$593M+0.5%
vs $590M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Defense World·Oct 27, 2026
Evergreen Capital Management LLC Buys 17,211 Shares of Graco Inc. $GGG

Evergreen Capital Management LLC increased its stake in shares of Graco Inc. (NYSE: GGG) by 283.8% during the third quarter, according to its most recent filing with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 23,275 shares of the industrial products company's stock after purchasing an additional 17,211 shares during the period. Evergreen Capital Management

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 23, 2026
Down 10.2% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why You Should You Buy the Dip in Graco (GGG)

Graco (GGG) has become technically an oversold stock now, which implies exhaustion of the heavy selling pressure on it. This, combined with strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in revising earnings estimates higher, indicates a potential trend reversal for the stock in the near term.

The Motley Fool·Oct 22, 2026
Graco: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

Graco reported third-quarter revenue of $586 million, up 8%. Organic incoming orders increased 7% during the third quarter.

MarketBeat·Oct 22, 2026
What Graco (GGG) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Graco NYSE: GGG reported record third-quarter fiscal 2026 sales of $586 million, up 8% from a year earlier and including 4% organic growth, as all three operating segments and reportable regions contributed to growth. Management said incoming organic orders rose 7% during the quarter and 4% year to date, while backlog excluding acquisitions increased $51 million, or 18%, from the beginning of the year through Oct. 16.

Filtered for Graco Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark GGG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Graco Inc. (GGG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
GGG logoGGGGraco Inc.Current
$67.86$10.99B21.385.83%22.4%19.92%1.6%
ITW logoITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.
$280.95$80.83B24.830.92%19.39%103.35%2.17%
ROP logoROPRoper Technologies, Inc.
$476.60$48.1B18.2912.26%30.71%13.53%0.69%
XYL logoXYLXylem Inc.
$97.83$22.84B21.235.52%11.86%9.78%1.64%
FELE logoFELEFranklin Electric Co., Inc.
$94.17$4.16B21.165.44%8.83%14.46%1.17%
PNR logoPNRPentair plc
$68.12$11.01B17.842.28%15.44%16.02%1.46%

Compare GGG vs Peers

Graco Inc. (GGG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs ITW

Most directly comparable listed peer for GGG.

Scale Benchmark

vs EMR

Larger-name benchmark to compare GGG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs ITW, ROP, XYL, FELE

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

GGG SEC Filings & Documents

Graco Inc. (GGG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jun 15, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 21, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 5, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 17, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 18, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 20, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 21, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 22, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 22, 2026·SEC

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GGG Frequently Asked Questions

Graco Inc. (GGG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Graco Inc.'s revenue?

Graco Inc. (GGG) reported $2.31B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $2.24B in fiscal year 2025. That is 471% more than the $391.8M of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Graco Inc. growing?

Graco Inc. (GGG) grew revenue by 5.4% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is GGG profitable?

Yes. Graco Inc. (GGG) earned $517.5M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 22.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does GGG pay dividends?

Yes. Graco Inc. (GGG) pays a dividend that yields 1.60% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is GGG's return on equity?

Graco Inc. (GGG) had a return on equity (ROE) of 19.9% over the trailing twelve months. That is above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Graco Inc.'s free cash flow?

Graco Inc. (GGG) generated $587.9M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in GGG back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →