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HBMHudbay Minerals Inc.
$20.91$9.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
HBM logo

Hudbay Minerals Inc.

HBM
NYSE · Copper & Diversified Miners
$20.91
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$9.29B
P/E12.5x
52W High$32.15
Volume3.88M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Copper-Led Deleveraging and Margin Expansion Strengthen Outlook

Hudbay's accelerating revenue growth, driven by robust copper prices and operational leverage, has transformed its financial profile, with gross margins expanding to 41.0% in 2026Q2 from 32.9% a year earlier and net income surging to $133.9M.

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

HBM price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-28% Peers

P/E is 28% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 35 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 65% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 12
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 21.4% year-over-year in 2026Q2, with gross margin expanding to 41.0% from 32.9% a year earlier, though sequential volatility persists, as seen in the 18.8% gross margin in 2025Q3.

Analyst Consensus+53.0% target
Buy(20 analysts)
12 Buy8 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Low-cost diversified producer

Hudbay is recognized as a low-cost, diversified metals producer with a long track record of value creation for shareholders and community partners.

Proven operational expertise

The company stands out for its proven ability to discover, finance, build, and operate low-cost, long-life cash-generating assets.

Copper price leverage

More than half of Hudbay's income derives from copper, positioning it to benefit from firm copper prices.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
HBM+4.17%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
HBM+33.02%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
HBM+356.78%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+72.51%
5-Year Return
HBM+189.61%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+59.63%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
12.5x
Forward P/E
13.7x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
8.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
2.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
12.5x
26.3x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
8.2x
4.4x
80th· High
Price/FCF
37.7x
9.6x
60th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$15.77-24.6%
Base (Fair)$24.53+17.3%
Bull$27.75+32.7%
$15.77 Bear$24.53 Base$27.75 Bull
Current Market Price: $20.91
Trades at a 14.8% discount to Base DCF ($24.53)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$2.21B+9.4% YoY
Net income FY25
$569M+641.2% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$198M-37.6% YoY
Operating margin FY25
25.4%+4.7 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)12%
Avg ROIC 5Y7.7%
ROE (TTM)17.3%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 29, 2026
$0.28+8.4%
vs $0.26
$631M-0.2%
vs $632M
Q2 2026
May 1, 2026
$0.40+17.6%
vs $0.34
$757M+10.6%
vs $685M
Q1 2026
Feb 20, 2026
$0.22-45.0%
vs $0.40
$733M-0.5%
vs $736M
Q4 2025
Nov 12, 2025
$0.03-50.0%
vs $0.06
$347M-51.5%
vs $716M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·1d ago
Micron: Right Call, Wrong Reason, And Why That Matters Now

Micron Technology, Inc. retains a Buy rating, but my conviction is lower after a 143% rally and limited upside to my $873 base case. MU's earnings growth outpaced expectations, driven more by conventional DRAM and NAND pricing than HBM, with DRAM revenue reaching $39.8B and NAND $14.1B in Q4. MU's HBM4 allocation at Nvidia is smaller than hoped, but strategic customer agreements now cover over 75% of FY2027 shipments, providing demand visibility.

GlobeNewsWire·1d ago
Hudbay Files Technical Report for its Snow Lake Operations in Manitoba

TORONTO, Nov. 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Hudbay Minerals Inc. (“Hudbay” or the “Company”) ( TSX, NYSE: HBM) today announced that, further to the Company's news release dated September 28, 2026, the Company has filed a National Instrument 43-101 technical report for its Snow Lake operations in Manitoba (the “2026 Technical Report”).

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
HudBay Minerals (HBM) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insights

HudBay Minerals (HBM) concluded the recent trading session at $20.58, signifying a -7.38% move from its prior day's close.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
HudBay Minerals (HBM) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

HudBay Minerals (HBM) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

Filtered for Hudbay Minerals Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark HBM against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
HBM logoHBMHudbay Minerals Inc.Current
$20.91$9.29B12.469.39%27.12%17.33%0.07%
FCX logoFCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc.
$59.42$85.42B24.871.12%13.03%10.76%1.01%
TECK logoTECKTeck Resources Limited
$60.46$29.2B11.0318.56%25.19%13.61%0.58%
ERO logoEROEro Copper Corp.
$28.86$3.01B7.8270.03%32.15%34.03%—
NEXA logoNEXANexa Resources S.A.
$11.40$1.51B10.388.23%4.02%10.21%2.27%
CDE logoCDECoeur Mining, Inc.
$15.47$15.94B22.9696.41%19.25%8.02%—

Compare HBM vs Peers

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs FCX

Most directly comparable listed peer for HBM.

Scale Benchmark

vs CAT

Larger-name benchmark to compare HBM against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs FCX, TECK, ERO, NEXA

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HBM Frequently Asked Questions

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Hudbay Minerals Inc.'s revenue?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) reported $2.49B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $2.21B in fiscal year 2025.

How fast is Hudbay Minerals Inc. growing?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) grew revenue by 13.0% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is HBM profitable?

Yes. Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) earned $674.7M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 27.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does HBM pay dividends?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) does not currently pay a meaningful dividend.

What is HBM's return on equity?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) had a return on equity (ROE) of 17.3% over the trailing twelve months. That is above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Hudbay Minerals Inc.'s free cash flow?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) generated $246.4M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in HBM back in 1997?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 29+ years of data

See returns →