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HBMHudbay Minerals Inc.
$26.79$11.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
HBM logo

Hudbay Minerals Inc.

HBM
NYSE · Copper
$26.79
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$11.9B
P/E18.3x
52W High$32.15
Volume2.9M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Copper-Led Deleveraging and Margin Expansion Strengthen Outlook

Hudbay's accelerating revenue growth, driven by robust copper prices and operational leverage, has transformed its financial profile, with gross margins expanding to 41.0% in 2026Q2 from 32.9% a year earlier and net income surging to $133.9M. The balance sheet...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationReview
TechnicalsHealthy
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

HBM price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-19% Peers

P/E is 19% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 85 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 85% of market)

04

Healthy Uptrend

Uptrend

Price > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 21.4% year-over-year in 2026Q2, with gross margin expanding to 41.0% from 32.9% a year earlier, though sequential volatility persists, as seen in the 18.8% gross margin in 2025Q3.

Analyst Consensus+19.4% target
Buy(20 analysts)
12 Buy8 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Low-cost diversified producer

Hudbay is recognized as a low-cost, diversified metals producer with a long track record of value creation for shareholders and community partners.

Proven operational expertise

The company stands out for its proven ability to discover, finance, build, and operate low-cost, long-life cash-generating assets.

Copper price leverage

More than half of Hudbay's income derives from copper, positioning it to benefit from firm copper prices.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
HBM+33.42%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
HBM+99.53%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
HBM+477.34%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.80%
5-Year Return
HBM+357.86%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+53.75%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
18.3x
Forward P/EExpansion
17.6x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
12.4x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
18.3x
26.3x
25th· Low
EV/EBITDA
12.4x
4.4x
100th· High
Price/FCF
60.1x
9.6x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$16.73-37.6%
Base (Fair)$25.87-3.8%
Bull$29.89+11.6%
$16.73 Bear$25.87 Base$29.89 Bull
Current Market Price: $26.79
Trades at a 3.6% premium to Base DCF ($25.87)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$2.21B+9.4% YoY
Net income
$569M+641.2% YoY
Free cash flow
$198M-37.6% YoY
Operating margin
25.4%+4.7 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)12%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)19.4%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 29, 2026
$0.28+8.4%
vs $0.26
$631M-0.2%
vs $632M
Q2 2026
May 1, 2026
$0.40+17.6%
vs $0.34
$757M+10.6%
vs $685M
Q1 2026
Feb 20, 2026
$0.22-45.0%
vs $0.40
$733M-0.5%
vs $736M
Q4 2025
Nov 12, 2025
$0.03-50.0%
vs $0.06
$347M-51.5%
vs $716M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·1d ago
Micron Q4 Preview: Why $2,000 Is Becoming A Plausible Bull Case

Micron enters Q4 earnings with expectations already extremely high, so a headline beat may not be enough. Forward guidance, HBM demand, pricing, and margins will matter more. The key structural change is the combination of HBM and Strategic Customer Agreements, which could raise Micron's through-cycle earnings floor and reduce the severity of future memory downturns. The most compelling signal is valuation: MU's share price has surged while its forward P/E has fallen toward 6.7x, meaning earnings estimates are rising even faster than the stock.

24/7 Wall Street·2d ago
HBM Sold Out Through 2027. Micron's Customers Are Begging.

Micron's order book is locked, its customers are desperate, and its margins are breaking records, yet the same forces that made memory a graveyard for investors for four decades have not disappeared.

Zacks Investment Research·5d ago
HudBay Minerals (HBM) Rises Higher Than Market: Key Facts

In the closing of the recent trading day, HudBay Minerals (HBM) stood at $26.9, denoting a +1.74% move from the preceding trading day.

GuruFocus·Sep 14, 2026
Hudbay Minerals Inc (HBM) Shares Fall 3.4% -- What GF Score of 75 Tells Investors

On September 14, 2026, Hudbay Minerals Inc (HBM) shares fell 3.4% to $25.63. This decline comes amidst a 52-week range of $13.00 to $32.15, reflecting significa

Filtered for Hudbay Minerals Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark HBM against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
HBM logoHBMHudbay Minerals Inc.Current
$26.79$11.9B18.359.39%25.71%19.36%0.05%
FCX logoFCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc.
$72.59$104.35B47.751.12%11.38%9.43%—
TECK logoTECKTeck Resources Limited
$66.80$32.26B33.3118.56%17.85%9.29%—
ERO logoEROEro Copper Corp.
$36.48$3.8B14.1470.03%29.73%29.97%—
NEXA logoNEXANexa Resources S.A.
$12.78$1.69B12.788.23%8.08%20.18%—
CDE logoCDECoeur Mining, Inc.
$19.32$19.91B21.4796.41%26.82%12.49%—

Compare HBM vs Peers

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs FCX

Most directly comparable listed peer for HBM.

Scale Benchmark

vs CAT

Larger-name benchmark to compare HBM against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs FCX, TECK, ERO, NEXA

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HBM Frequently Asked Questions

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Hudbay Minerals Inc.'s revenue?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) reported $2.49B in revenue for fiscal year 2025.

How fast is Hudbay Minerals Inc. growing?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) grew revenue by 9.4% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is HBM profitable?

Yes, Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) is profitable, generating $674.7M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (25.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does HBM pay dividends?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) does not currently pay a meaningful dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits for growth.

What is HBM's return on equity?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) has a return on equity (ROE) of 19.4%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Hudbay Minerals Inc.'s free cash flow?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) generated $246.4M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in HBM back in 1997?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 29+ years of data

See returns →