Micron Technology, Inc. retains a Buy rating, but my conviction is lower after a 143% rally and limited upside to my $873 base case. MU's earnings growth outpaced expectations, driven more by conventional DRAM and NAND pricing than HBM, with DRAM revenue reaching $39.8B and NAND $14.1B in Q4. MU's HBM4 allocation at Nvidia is smaller than hoped, but strategic customer agreements now cover over 75% of FY2027 shipments, providing demand visibility.


