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HMYHarmony Gold Mining Company Limited
$17.17$10.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
HMY logo

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited

HMY
NYSE · Gold Miners
$17.17
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$10.73B
P/E6.4x
52W High$26.06
Volume2.91M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q4

Gold Price Leverage Drives Margin Expansion, Sovereign Risk Persists

Harmony Gold's investment thesis is centered on its transformation into a high-margin producer, with revenue surging 61.7% YoY in Q4 2026 and gross margins expanding to 49.0%, driven by full integration of the Mponeng mine and favorable gold prices.

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

HMY price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

2/12 Beats

EPS beat 2 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-52% Peers

P/E is 52% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 50 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 50)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 27
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Harmony's income statement reflects a dramatic structural transformation, with revenue growing 61.7% YoY to $59.4B and gross margin expanding to 49.0% in Q4 2026, indicating powerful operating leverage from its integrated operations.

Analyst Consensus
Hold(10 analysts)
1 Buy7 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Gold bull market leverage

Harmony Gold Mining Company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing gold bull market, with potential upside as gold prices reach historical highs.

Attractive valuation metrics

HMY's trailing P/E ratio of 14.84 suggests it may be undervalued compared to peers, offering a compelling entry point for investors.

Investor bullish sentiment

A bullish thesis on HMY has been highlighted in investment forums, indicating growing confidence in the company's growth prospects.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
HMY-8.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
HMY+13.35%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
HMY+272.73%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+72.05%
5-Year Return
HMY+403.94%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+59.76%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
6.4x
Forward P/EExpansion
0.4x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
3.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
8.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
6.4x
0.6x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
3.3x
0.5x
100th· High
Price/FCF
11.7x
0.8x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$25.09+46.1%
Base (Fair)$41.74+143.1%
Bull$49.67+189.3%
$25.09 Bear$41.74 Base$49.67 Bull
Current Market Price: $17.17
Trades at a 58.9% discount to Base DCF ($41.74)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY26
$104.72B+41.7% YoY
Net income FY26
$28.23B+96.2% YoY
Free cash flow FY26
$15.17B+40.5% YoY
Operating margin FY26
44.6%+17.0 pts YoY
ROIC (FY26)61.9%
Avg ROIC 5Y27.7%
ROE (FY26)45.8%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate2/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate3/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 27, 2026
$1.29+0.0%
vs $1.29
$3.7B+14.2%
vs $3.2B
Q2 2026
Mar 11, 2026
$0.87-9.0%
vs $0.95
$2.7B-2.4%
vs $2.8B
Q3 2025
Aug 28, 2025
$0.58+2.3%
vs $0.57
$2.1B
vs —
Q2 2025
Mar 4, 2025
$0.66
vs —
$2.0B
vs —
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·3d ago
Harmony Gold: FY 2026 Shows Diversification Continues Underway As Financial Position Remains Solid

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited remains a long-term value Buy, as it continues its transition from a pure gold play to a dual copper/gold play. Key copper focused expansion projects continue project advancement, as Eva Copper advances to early construction, and CSA continues to ramp up production and optimization. FY 2026 cash generation surged by around 50%, enough to comfortably fund immense increases in capital expenditure.

The Motley Fool·Oct 25, 2026
Harmony Gold's 2027 Outlook: Record $1 Billion in Free Cash Flow and a Dividend That Nearly Quintupled

Harmony successfully diversified its revenue stream through significant copper acquisitions during 2026. Operational safety incidents continue to pose a risk to long-term site stability.

Newsfile Corp·Oct 22, 2026
Lions Bay Resources Agrees to Be Acquired by Metals One to Form South Africa-Focused Gold and Power Business Led by Former CEO of the Nation's Largest Gold Producer

Pretoria, South Africa--(Newsfile Corp. - October 22, 2026) - Lions Bay Resources Proprietary Limited ("LBR" or the "Company") has entered into a binding term sheet (the "Term Sheet") with its shareholders pursuant to which Metals One Plc (AIM: MET1) (OTCQB: MTOPF) would acquire the interests in LBR that it does not already own. On completion, LBR would become a wholly owned subsidiary of London Stock Exchange AIM-listed Metals One.

Proactive Investors·Oct 22, 2026
Metals One targets full control of South African gold business in all-share deal

Metals One PLC (AIM:MET1, FRA:HT7, OTCQB:MTOPF), the critical and precious metals developer, has agreed to acquire full ownership of South African gold and power business Lions Bay Resources for £6.5 million in shares, and is bringing in the former chief executive of Harmony Gold (NYSE:HMY) as chair. In a two-stage deal, the company intends to exercise its existing option to lift its stake in LBR from 30% to 49.99%, then buy the remaining 50.01% from Lions Bay Capital (LBI) and Salamander Consulting.

Filtered for Harmony Gold Mining Company LimitedMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark HMY against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
HMY logoHMYHarmony Gold Mining Company LimitedCurrent
$17.17$10.73B6.3741.72%26.95%45.79%2.39%
GFI logoGFIGold Fields Limited
$39.17$35.06B9.9468.77%——2.02%
AU logoAUAngloGold Ashanti plc
$92.99$47.03B12.1170.78%32.63%37.21%3.96%
DRD logoDRDDRDGOLD Limited
$25.48$221.76M0.9036.23%——20.47%
SBSW logoSBSWSibanye Stillwater Limited
$9.50$7.63B-21.4415.65%——0.25%
HL logoHLHecla Mining Company
$14.74$9.89B26.0753.03%24.1%14.36%0.1%

Compare HMY vs Peers

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs GFI

Most directly comparable listed peer for HMY.

Scale Benchmark

vs CAT

Larger-name benchmark to compare HMY against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs GFI, AU, DRD, SBSW

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HMY Frequently Asked Questions

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited's revenue?

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) reported $104.72B in revenue in fiscal year 2026. That is 8994% more than the $1.15B of fiscal year 1998.

How fast is Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited growing?

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) grew revenue by 41.7% in fiscal year 2026, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is HMY profitable?

Yes. Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) earned $28.23B in net income in fiscal year 2026 (a 27.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does HMY pay dividends?

Yes. Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) pays a dividend that yields 2.39% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is HMY's return on equity?

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) had a return on equity (ROE) of 45.8% in fiscal year 2026. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited's free cash flow?

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) generated $15.17B in free cash flow in fiscal year 2026.

What if you invested $1,000 in HMY back in 1998?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 28+ years of data

See returns →