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IBMInternational Business Machines Corporation
$231.38$218.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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IBM logo

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM
NYSE · IT Services
$231.38
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$217.99B
P/E20.7x
52W High$332.46
Volume4.77M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Software-Driven Margin Growth Contrasted by Elevated Net Debt

IBM is demonstrating a structural shift toward higher-margin software and recurring revenue, evidenced by a gross margin expansion to 57.7% in Q2 2026, which appears to be a primary driver of underlying profitability. However, this operational progress is offs...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

IBM price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-48% Peers

P/E is 48% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 47 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 53% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

IBM's income statement reflects a mixed trajectory, with volatile revenue growth (0.6% to 12.2% YoY) but a clear structural improvement in profitability, as gross margins have expanded by 420 basis points from 53.5% in Q1 2024 to 57.7% in Q2 2026.

Analyst Consensus+10.9% target
Buy(51 analysts)
24 Buy22 Hold5 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Price Target Upside

Analysts have a median price target of $282.50 for IBM, indicating significant upside potential from current trading prices.

Growth in Software Segment

IBM's software segment has demonstrated a 10% year-over-year growth, aligning with management's goals for margin expansion.

Focus on High-Margin Services

The company's strategic emphasis on higher-margin software and AI services is expected to drive revenue growth.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Concerns Over Valuation

Some analysts suggest IBM may be overvalued, with discounted cash flow analysis indicating a fair value significantly lower than current prices.

Competitive Pressures

IBM faces significant competition from major cloud providers like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google, which could limit its growth.

Execution Risks in AI

There are nearer-term execution risks regarding IBM's ability to monetize its AI and quantum computing investments at scale.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
IBM-18.89%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
IBM-12.25%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
IBM+71.18%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+79.86%
5-Year Return
IBM+105.83%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+74.01%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
20.7x
Forward P/EExpansion
18.8x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
15.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
20.7x
26.5x
20th· Low
EV/EBITDA
15.5x
13.9x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
18.8x
15.2x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$225.08-2.7%
Base (Fair)$425.27+85.3%
Bull$793.48+242.9%
$225.08 Bear$425.27 Base$793.48 Bull
Current Market Price: $231.38
Trades at a 45.6% discount to Base DCF ($425.27)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$67.54B+7.6% YoY
Net income
$10.59B+75.9% YoY
Free cash flow
$11.57B-1.6% YoY
Operating margin
18.5%+2.4 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)11.9%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)35.2%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 22, 2026
$2.93+0.0%
vs $2.93
$17.2B-1.7%
vs $17.5B
Q2 2026
Apr 22, 2026
$1.91+5.5%
vs $1.81
$15.9B+1.8%
vs $15.6B
Q1 2026
Jan 28, 2026
$4.52+4.9%
vs $4.31
$19.7B+2.6%
vs $19.2B
Q4 2025
Oct 22, 2025
$2.65+8.2%
vs $2.45
$16.3B+1.5%
vs $16.1B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
The Motley Fool·18h ago
2 Magnificent Quantum Computing Stocks to Buy and Hold for 10 Years

IonQ is building scalable quantum hardware while working on the networking technology needed to connect future quantum systems. IBM is taking a broader approach, investing heavily in quantum hardware, software, and infrastructure alongside its existing computing business.

GuruFocus·20h ago
IBM Holds Flat as z17 Moves Into an AI Classroom

IBM (IBM), the hybrid-cloud, AI and mainframe giant, put its z17 system at the heart of Marist University's new AI Innovation Incubator, giving students and res

PRNewsWire·1d ago
Marist University and IBM Launch Innovation Incubator with IBM z17, Expanding 50-Year Partnership to Advance AI Research and Student Career Readiness

POUGHKEEPSIE, N.Y., Sept. 22, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Marist University and IBM (NYSE: IBM) today announced a new Innovation Incubator that will prepare students across fields of study to lead in a rapidly evolving digital economy.

Defense World·2d ago
Critical Analysis: GDS (NASDAQ:GDS) and International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM)

GDS (NASDAQ: GDS - Get Free Report) and International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM - Get Free Report) are both technology companies, but which is the better business? We will contrast the two companies based on the strength of their earnings, risk, analyst recommendations, dividends, institutional ownership, valuation and profitability. Analyst Ratings This is a summary of recent

Filtered for International Business Machines CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark IBM against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for International Business Machines Corporation (IBM)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
IBM logoIBMInternational Business Machines CorporationCurrent
$231.38$217.99B20.717.62%15.68%35.23%2.85%
ACN logoACNAccenture plc
$183.72$112.43B15.127.36%10.7%24.08%—
HPE logoHPEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$61.04$80.83B-1368.6114.06%6.57%10.85%—
DXC logoDXCDXC Technology Company
$10.93$1.77B109.30-1.76%0.99%3.73%—
CTSH logoCTSHCognizant Technology Solutions Corporation
$58.68$26.43B12.906.95%10.26%14.94%—
INFY logoINFYInfosys Limited
$10.76$43.66B12.964.57%16.38%32.84%—

Compare IBM vs Peers

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs ACN

Most directly comparable listed peer for IBM.

Scale Benchmark

vs NVDA

Larger-name benchmark to compare IBM against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs ACN, HPE, DXC, CTSH

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

IBM SEC Filings & Documents

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 14, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 14, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 25, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 23, 2025·SEC

Get notified when IBM posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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IBM Frequently Asked Questions

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is International Business Machines Corporation's revenue?

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) reported $69.10B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 6% decrease from $73.42B in 1996.

How fast is International Business Machines Corporation growing?

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) grew revenue by 7.6% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is IBM profitable?

Yes, International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is profitable, generating $10.72B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (15.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does IBM pay dividends?

Yes, International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) pays a dividend with a yield of 2.85%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is IBM's return on equity?

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) has a return on equity (ROE) of 35.2%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is International Business Machines Corporation's free cash flow?

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) generated $13.96B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in IBM back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →