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NINiSource Inc
$44.15$21.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
NI logo

NiSource Inc

NI
NYSE · Electric & Multi-Utilities
$44.15
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$21.17B
P/E22.6x
52W High$49.21
Volume6.44M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Rate Base Expansion Outpaces Equity, Leverage Limits Flexibility

NiSource's regulated asset base has grown from $23.6B to $31.6B in PPE net over ten quarters, suggesting the rate base expansion is a durable long-term growth driver supported by rate case outcomes.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NI price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+15% Peers

P/E is 15% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 59 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 59)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 28
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth of 21.8% year over year and quarterly EPS ranging from $0.09 to $1.06 suggest earnings are tied to rate base expansion and seasonal weather-driven demand, with net margins swinging between 3.4% and 21.7%.

Analyst Consensus+12.8% target
Buy(22 analysts)
16 Buy6 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Growth Prospects

NiSource anticipates long-term earnings per share (EPS) growth of 6%-8% and a projected rate base growth of 8%-10% through 2029. This growth is supported by substantial capital expenditure opportunities, including an expected $2.2 billion in upside capital expenditures driven by industrial manufacturing growth in states like Indiana, Virginia, and Ohio.

Data Center Demand

The company is benefiting from optimism around power demand from the AI data center buildout. A significant capital plan of $28 billion over five years includes $6-$7 billion for Amazon's data center, driving 11%-12% rate base growth and 8%-9% targeted EPS growth through 2033.

Dividend Growth and Sustainability

NiSource pays a meaningful dividend with a trailing yield of 2.36%. The company has been increasing its dividend for 14 years, and its dividend payout ratio is considered healthy and sustainable.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NI+7.57%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
NI+6.01%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
NI+87.94%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.70%
5-Year Return
NI+97.33%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+55.84%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
22.6x
Forward P/EExpansion
21.5x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
11.6x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
22.6x
21.4x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
11.6x
12.0x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
N/A
N/A
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$59.14+34.0%
Base (Fair)$60.45+36.9%
Bull$66.06+49.6%
$59.14 Bear$60.45 Base$66.06 Bull
Current Market Price: $44.15
Trades at a 27.0% discount to Base DCF ($60.45)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$6.64B+21.8% YoY
Net income FY25
$930M+22.2% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$1.93B-124.1% YoY
Operating margin FY25
27.6%+0.9 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)5.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y4.9%
ROE (TTM)7.9%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 28, 2026
$0.27+17.9%
vs $0.23
$1.3B+0.8%
vs $1.3B
Q3 2026
Aug 5, 2026
$0.16+1.4%
vs $0.16
$1.3B+17.0%
vs $1.1B
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
$1.06+1.0%
vs $1.05
$2.4B-6.3%
vs $2.5B
Q1 2026
Feb 11, 2026
$0.51+2.9%
vs $0.50
$1.9B+33.0%
vs $1.4B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Defense World·4d ago
NiSource (NYSE:NI) Share Price Crosses Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average – Should You Sell?

NiSource, Inc (NYSE: NI - Get Free Report)'s stock price passed above its two hundred day moving average during trading on Monday. The stock has a two hundred day moving average of $44.84 and traded as high as $45.08. NiSource shares last traded at $44.9340, with a volume of 5,348,598 shares trading hands. Analysts Set New

Seeking Alpha·Oct 29, 2026
NiSource: Big Tech Wants More Power, And This Utility Is Ready

NiSource Inc. retains a Buy rating, leveraging major data center contracts to drive long-term earnings growth and strategic infrastructure investment. NI has secured regulatory-approved agreements with hyperscalers like Amazon and Microsoft, supporting a $40 billion investment plan and boosting long-term EPS growth guidance to 10–11% through 2033. Despite trading at a premium valuation (21.6x earnings), NI's superior growth prospects and lower forward PEG ratio justify some premium versus the utility sector.

MarketBeat·Oct 28, 2026
What NiSource (NI) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

NiSource NYSE: NI reported third-quarter 2026 consolidated adjusted earnings per share of $0.27, up from $0.19 a year earlier, and said it was narrowing its full-year outlook to the upper half of its prior $2.02-to-$2.07 adjusted EPS range.

Business Wire·Oct 28, 2026
NIPSCO to Deliver $57.5 Million in Savings to Electric Customers From Data Center Development

MERRILLVILLE, Ind.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--NiSource Inc. (NYSE: NI) today announced that it will deliver $57.5 million in savings to its existing electric customers generated through data center development. Subject to regulatory approval, the average residential electric customer is expected to receive a monthly bill credit of approximately $5 for 18 months, beginning approximately 30 days after approval. The credit is an expansion of the value being driven through our NiSource GenCo model and is an.

Filtered for NiSource IncMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NI against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for NiSource Inc (NI)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NI logoNINiSource IncCurrent
$44.15$21.17B22.6021.76%13.51%7.93%2.53%
ATO logoATOAtmos Energy Corporation
$173.22$28.91B20.9212.91%28.5%9.67%1.99%
SR logoSRSpire Inc.
$88.81$5.25B9.57-4.5%21.62%15.85%3.5%
NWN logoNWNNorthwest Natural Holding Company
$51.75$2.18B17.2911.83%9.65%8.23%3.65%
SWX logoSWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
$91.33$6.61B25.42-62.05%15.19%6.42%2.7%
OGS logoOGSONE Gas, Inc.
$80.92$5.08B17.4516.5%12.61%8.35%3.28%

Compare NI vs Peers

NiSource Inc (NI) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs ATO

Most directly comparable listed peer for NI.

Scale Benchmark

vs LIN

Larger-name benchmark to compare NI against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs ATO, SR, NWN, SWX

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NI SEC Filings & Documents

NiSource Inc (NI) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 16, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 12, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 21, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

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NI Frequently Asked Questions

NiSource Inc (NI) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is NiSource Inc's revenue?

NiSource Inc (NI) reported $6.96B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $6.64B in fiscal year 2025. That is 265% more than the $1.82B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is NiSource Inc growing?

NiSource Inc (NI) grew revenue by 10.0% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is NI profitable?

Yes. NiSource Inc (NI) earned $939.9M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 13.5% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does NI pay dividends?

Yes. NiSource Inc (NI) pays a dividend that yields 2.53% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is NI's return on equity?

NiSource Inc (NI) had a return on equity (ROE) of 7.9% over the trailing twelve months. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

What is NiSource Inc's free cash flow?

NiSource Inc (NI) had negative free cash flow of $1.57B over the trailing twelve months.

Industry Metrics
Is NI's dividend sustainable?

NiSource Inc (NI) has a dividend payout ratio of 57%. This suggests the dividend is well-covered and sustainable.

What if you invested $1,000 in NI back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →