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NKENIKE, Inc.
$38.59$57.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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NKE logo

NIKE, Inc.

NKE
NYSE · Apparel & Footwear Brands
$38.59
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$57.11B
P/E18.5x
52W High$69.14
Volume20.41M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2027Q1

NIKE Faces Structural Margin Compression and FCF Erosion

NIKE's revenue has declined from $12.6B in 2024Q4 to $11.2B in 2027Q1, with eight of ten quarters posting negative growth, while gross margin has failed to reclaim the 45.4% peak, settling near 40-43% versus peers such as On Holding at 62.8% and Deckers at 57.7%.

GrowthContracting
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NKE price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+12% Peers

P/E is 12% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 42 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 58% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Dec 17
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue erosion persisted with FY2027Q1 sales of $11.2B down 4.3% year-over-year, while gross margin recovered only partially to 42.8% from a 40.2% trough, remaining well below the 45.4% recorded in 2025Q1.

Analyst Consensus-3.7% target
Buy(73 analysts)
34 Buy30 Hold9 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Innovative product leadership

Nike continues to inspire athletes globally with cutting-edge products, experiences, and services, reinforcing its market leadership.

Strong brand infrastructure

The durability of Nike's brand and balance sheet resilience underpin the investment case, independent of short-term fashion cycles.

Cultural integration

Nike's deep cultural relevance and integration enhance its brand strength and customer loyalty.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NKE-37.07%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
NKE-35.00%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
NKE-59.62%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+66.45%
5-Year Return
NKE-73.30%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+54.51%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
18.5x
Forward P/E
30.4x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
13.4x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
18.5x
28.1x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
13.4x
20.8x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
27.1x
31.4x
20th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$23.74-38.5%
Base (Fair)$41.97+8.8%
Bull$72.06+86.7%
$23.74 Bear$41.97 Base$72.06 Bull
Current Market Price: $38.59
Trades at a 8.1% discount to Base DCF ($41.97)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY26
$46.4B+0.2% YoY
Net income FY26
$3.11B-3.4% YoY
Free cash flow FY26
$2.18B-33.2% YoY
Operating margin FY26
8.2%+0.2 pts YoY
ROIC (FY26)16.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y22.3%
ROE (TTM)21.2%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 1, 2026
$0.48+10.8%
vs $0.43
$11.2B-0.9%
vs $11.3B
Q3 2026
Jun 30, 2026
$0.72+554.5%
vs $0.11
$11.0B+1.1%
vs $10.8B
Q2 2026
Mar 31, 2026
$0.35+20.4%
vs $0.29
$11.3B+0.4%
vs $11.2B
Q4 2025
Dec 18, 2025
$0.53+41.4%
vs $0.37
$12.4B+1.8%
vs $12.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
NIKE Gains 13.9% in a Month: Is the Turnaround Rally Sustainable?

NIKE shares surged 13.9% in a month as performance categories and North America gained traction, but China weakness and earnings pressure cloud the turnaround.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Is NIKE Stock Worth Buying as Valuation Stays High Amid Weak Growth?

NIKE's premium valuation of 29.54X forward earnings faces scrutiny as weak sales, China struggles and falling earnings estimates overshadow performance gains.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
NIKE's Fiscal 2027 Outlook Puts Pace Savings Against Revenue Risk

NIKE's fiscal 2027 outlook signals lower sales and earnings pressure, while its $2.5 billion Pace savings plan offers longer-term benefits amid near-term risks.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
NIKE, Inc. (NKE) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know

Zacks.com users have recently been watching Nike (NKE) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.

Filtered for NIKE, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NKE against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NKE logoNKENIKE, Inc.Current
$38.59$57.11B18.520.19%6.74%21.24%4.21%
UAA logoUAAUnder Armour, Inc.
$5.28$2.25B-4.79-3.86%-9.79%-33.1%—
ONON logoONONOn Holding AG
$37.36$12.45B25.8330.01%12.31%23.26%—
DECK logoDECKDeckers Outdoor Corporation
$86.71$11.81B11.079.76%19%43.56%—
VFC logoVFCV.F. Corporation
$20.35$8B22.001.06%3.93%19.9%1.75%
PVH logoPVHPVH Corp.
$89.95$4.15B-24.543.44%-1.89%-3.49%0.17%

Compare NKE vs Peers

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs UAA

Most directly comparable listed peer for NKE.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare NKE against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs UAA, ONON, DECK, VFC

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NKE SEC Filings & Documents

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 1, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Sep 16, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Sep 10, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2025

Jul 17, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Jul 25, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 2, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 1, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Dec 30, 2025·SEC

Get notified when NKE posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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NKE Frequently Asked Questions

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is NIKE, Inc.'s revenue?

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) reported $45.89B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $46.40B in fiscal year 2026. That is 405% more than the $9.19B of fiscal year 1997.

How fast is NIKE, Inc. growing?

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) revenue fell by 1.2% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is NKE profitable?

Yes. NIKE, Inc. (NKE) earned $3.09B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 6.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does NKE pay dividends?

Yes. NIKE, Inc. (NKE) pays a dividend that yields 4.21% at the current price, a high yield.

What is NKE's return on equity?

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) had a return on equity (ROE) of 21.2% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is NIKE, Inc.'s free cash flow?

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) generated $2.10B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in NKE back in 1997?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 29+ years of data

See returns →