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NSCNorfolk Southern Corporation
$319.94$71.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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NSC logo

Norfolk Southern Corporation

NSC
NYSE · Railroads & Railcars
$319.94
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$71.86B
P/E26.8x
52W High$358.60
Volume1.28M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Revenue Inflection Masks Structural Margin Erosion

Norfolk Southern's revenue growth inflected to 13.6% year-over-year in Q3 2026 after eight quarters of stagnation, with EPS recovering to $3.37 from the $2.43 trough in Q1 2026, suggesting volume and pricing momentum may be returning across its Eastern freight network.

GrowthExpanding
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NSC price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+6% Peers

P/E is 6% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 62 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 62)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 13.6% in Q3 2026 with EPS of $3.37, yet operating margin remains 860 basis points below its 41.2% Q3 2024 peak at 32.6%, suggesting top-line momentum has not translated into profitability recovery.

Analyst Consensus+14.0% target
Hold(48 analysts)
21 Buy24 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Activist-driven efficiency improvements

Accelerated operating ratio improvement under activist-aligned management could drive EPS meaningfully above consensus, warranting significant multiple expansion.

Strong dividend payout

Norfolk Southern announced a quarterly dividend of $1.35 per share, demonstrating commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Long-established market presence

With operations since 1827 and a network spanning 22 states, Norfolk Southern has a robust and enduring infrastructure.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NSC+13.04%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
NSC+15.81%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
NSC+72.13%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+64.15%
5-Year Return
NSC+21.73%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+52.88%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
26.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
24.5x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
15.9x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
26.8x
22.6x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
15.9x
14.9x
80th· High
Price/FCF
18.7x
30.1x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$115.23-64.0%
Base (Fair)$272.41-14.9%
Bull$480.87+50.3%
$115.23 Bear$272.41 Base$480.87 Bull
Current Market Price: $319.94
Trades at a 17.4% premium to Base DCF ($272.41)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$12.18B+0.5% YoY
Net income FY25
$2.87B+9.6% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$2.16B+29.1% YoY
Operating margin FY25
32.9%+1.9 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)9.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y10.4%
ROE (TTM)16.7%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 22, 2026
$3.62+4.6%
vs $3.46
$3.5B+0.6%
vs $3.5B
Q3 2026
Jul 23, 2026
$3.52+6.0%
vs $3.32
$3.5B+3.6%
vs $3.4B
Q2 2026
Apr 24, 2026
$2.65+6.4%
vs $2.49
$3.0B+0.1%
vs $3.0B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$3.22+16.7%
vs $2.76
$3.0B-0.9%
vs $3.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Schneider & Norfolk Southern Unite for Domestic Intermodal Capacity

SNDR and NSC collaborate to expand U.S. intermodal capacity, combining logistics expertise with rail infrastructure to boost freight efficiency.

The Motley Fool·Oct 30, 2026
Norfolk Southern: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

Revenue excluding fuel increased 6% year over year. Operational changes eliminated 95 crew starts per week.

Business Wire·Oct 29, 2026
Schneider and Norfolk Southern partner to expand domestic intermodal capacity across the eastern U.S.

GREEN BAY, Wis. & ATLANTA--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Schneider National, Inc. (NYSE: SNDR), a premier multimodal provider of transportation, intermodal and logistics services, and Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE: NSC) today announced a strategic agreement that combines Schneider's 35 years of intermodal expertise, professional company drivers, company-owned assets and logistics capabilities with Norfolk Southern's extensive eastern U.S. intermodal network and ongoing infrastructure investments. The p.

PRNewsWire·Oct 29, 2026
Norfolk Southern and Schneider partner to expand domestic intermodal capacity across the eastern U.S.

Collaboration brings together Schneider's asset-based expertise with Norfolk Southern's eastern U.S. intermodal network to deliver greater efficiency and more flexible capacity for shippers Key Takeaways Norfolk Southern and Schneider are partnering to advance domestic intermodal growth by combining Norfolk Southern's eastern U.S. rail network and infrastructure investments with Schneider's asset-based intermodal services. The partnership gives shippers a more scalable alternative to over-the-road transportation, with improved efficiency, flexible capacity and greater supply chain resilience.

Filtered for Norfolk Southern CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NSC against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NSC logoNSCNorfolk Southern CorporationCurrent
$319.94$71.86B26.840.47%20.71%16.69%1.69%
CSX logoCSXCSX Corporation
$49.12$90.99B25.42-3.08%23.97%25.94%1.06%
UNP logoUNPUnion Pacific Corporation
$290.16$172.38B22.641.07%28.9%37.82%1.88%
CP logoCPCanadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd.
$92.17$81.02B29.553.66%24.14%8.19%0.67%
WAB logoWABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation
$283.59$47.9B34.997.51%11.2%12.13%0.36%
RAIL logoRAILFreightCar America, Inc.
$4.24$139.04M-10.86-10.45%-2.69%——

Compare NSC vs Peers

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CSX

Most directly comparable listed peer for NSC.

Scale Benchmark

vs GE

Larger-name benchmark to compare NSC against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CSX, UNP, CP, WAB

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NSC SEC Filings & Documents

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 1, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

1
FY 2026

Feb 9, 2026·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Oct 22, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 24, 2026·SEC

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NSC Frequently Asked Questions

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Norfolk Southern Corporation's revenue?

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) reported $12.96B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $12.18B in fiscal year 2025. That is 155% more than the $4.77B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Norfolk Southern Corporation growing?

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) grew revenue by 6.0% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is NSC profitable?

Yes. Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) earned $2.68B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 20.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does NSC pay dividends?

Yes. Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) pays a dividend that yields 1.69% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is NSC's return on equity?

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) had a return on equity (ROE) of 16.7% over the trailing twelve months. That is above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Norfolk Southern Corporation's free cash flow?

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) generated $3.85B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in NSC back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →