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NTRSNorthern Trust Corporation
$173.40$31.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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NTRS logo

Northern Trust Corporation

NTRS
NASDAQ · Asset Management
$173.40
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$31.73B
P/E19.8x
52W High$195.78
Volume1.17M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Fee Income Surge Offsets Thin Net Interest Margin

Northern Trust's Q2 2026 results reveal a potential inflection point, with EPS of $4.23 surging 98.6% YoY and a 51% beat over consensus, driven by a shift toward fee-based revenue (48% of total revenue, up from 38% a year earlier) and a 10.6% YoY rise in net i...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationReview
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NTRS price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+7% Peers

P/E is 7% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 71 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 71)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth is mixed, with total revenue rising to $4.2B in Q2 2026 (up from $3.6B a year earlier) and EPS surging 98.6% YoY to $4.23, but the net interest margin remains stuck at 0.4%, and the efficiency ratio improved to 38.9% from 41.5% in Q4 2025, indicating better cost control amid revenue headwinds.

Analyst Consensus+5.6% target
Hold(35 analysts)
12 Buy18 Hold5 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Q4 2025 Earnings Beat

Northern Trust posted net income of $466 million and adjusted EPS of $2.69 in Q4 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The performance was driven by a sharp rise in fee‑based revenue amid a sustained global market rally.

Wealth Management Shift & Higher Margins

The company’s wealth management arm now enjoys higher pretax margins than asset servicing. Northern Trust is expanding through Family Office Solutions, targeting ultra‑high‑net‑worth clients for additional growth.

Technology Payback & Operational Leverage

Significant technology investments made over the past three years are entering a payback phase, improving operational leverage. Expense‑to‑trust fee ratios are declining, with guidance for low‑ to mid‑single‑digit fee growth versus less than 5% expense growth in 2026.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NTRS+26.28%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
NTRS+34.07%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
NTRS+163.19%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+73.93%
5-Year Return
NTRS+77.19%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.40%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
19.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
15.1x
EV/EBITDA
-4.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
17.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
19.8x
15.6x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
-4.0x
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
5.8x
11.1x
25th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$113.63-34.5%
Base (Fair)$144.04-19.0%
Bull$156.15-9.9%
$113.63 Bear$144.04 Base$156.15 Bull
Current Market Price: $173.40
Trades at a 20.4% premium to Base DCF ($144.04)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$8.09B-2.5% YoY
Net income
$1.74B-14.5% YoY
Free cash flow
$5.46B+543.3% YoY
Operating margin
16.3%-0.4 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)6%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)13.5%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 22, 2026
$2.97+9.6%
vs $2.71
$2.7B+0.5%
vs $2.7B
Q2 2026
Apr 21, 2026
$2.71+16.8%
vs $2.32
$2.2B+4.4%
vs $2.1B
Q1 2026
Jan 22, 2026
$2.69+13.5%
vs $2.37
$2.1B+3.8%
vs $2.1B
Q4 2025
Oct 22, 2025
$2.29+1.3%
vs $2.26
$3.6B+76.5%
vs $2.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
GuruFocus·Sep 15, 2026
Northern Trust Survey: Asset Managers Sharpen Focus on Core Capabilities to Drive Growth

Global asset managers are concentrating resources on core capabilities, accelerating outsourcing of non-core activities, tightening cost controls and expanding

Business Wire·Sep 15, 2026
Northern Trust Survey: Asset Managers Sharpen Focus on Core Capabilities to Drive Growth

CHICAGO--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- #ETFs--Northern Trust's report, Driving Growth in Asset Management 2026, is based on a survey of 300 leaders at asset management firms across the globe.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 14, 2026
Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Presents at Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference Transcript

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Presents at Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference Transcript

GuruFocus·Sep 14, 2026
J O Hambro Capital Management Selects Northern Trust as Sole Provider of Outsourced Trading Services

Northern Trust's (Nasdaq: NTRS) [url="]Integrated Trading Solutions[/url] (ITS) outsourced trading desk has been appointed by J O Hambro Capital Management (JOH

Filtered for Northern Trust CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NTRS against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NTRS logoNTRSNorthern Trust CorporationCurrent
$173.40$31.73B19.84-2.46%12.15%13.49%1.81%
STT logoSTTState Street Corporation
$180.25$49.89B19.187.93%13.47%11.09%—
BK logoBKThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation
$141.91$100.01B19.158.22%14.66%13.32%—
TROW logoTROWT. Rowe Price Group, Inc.
$104.18$22.32B11.263.12%29.26%18.49%—
BEN logoBENFranklin Resources, Inc.
$33.13$17.22B36.413.52%9.56%6.35%—
IVZ logoIVZInvesco Ltd.
$30.85$13.68B-19.284.75%-0.93%-0.48%—

Compare NTRS vs Peers

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs STT

Most directly comparable listed peer for NTRS.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare NTRS against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs STT, BK, TROW, BEN

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NTRS SEC Filings & Documents

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 3, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 22, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 24, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 30, 2025·SEC

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NTRS Frequently Asked Questions

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Northern Trust Corporation growing?

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) saw revenue decline by 2.5% over the past year.

Is NTRS profitable?

Yes, Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) is profitable, generating $2.24B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (12.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does NTRS pay dividends?

Yes, Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) pays a dividend with a yield of 1.81%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is NTRS's return on equity?

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) has a return on equity (ROE) of 13.5%. This is reasonable for most industries.

Industry Metrics
What is Northern Trust Corporation's net interest margin?

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 1.4%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is Northern Trust Corporation's efficiency ratio?

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) has an efficiency ratio of 40.2%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in NTRS back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →