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PKGPackaging Corporation of America
$249.70$22.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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PKG logo

Packaging Corporation of America

PKG
NYSE · Packaging
$249.70
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$22.25B
P/E30.6x
52W High$262.59
Volume699.12K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q1

Acquisition-Driven Growth Faces Margin Compression Pressures

Packaging Corporation of America is executing a strategic expansion via a $1.8B acquisition, which boosted total assets to $10.8B and revenue growth to 10.6% YoY in 2026Q1.

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

PKG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+41% Peers

P/E is 41% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 77 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 77)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 21
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue accelerated 10.6% YoY in 2026Q1 to $2.4B, but gross margin contracted to 19.1% from 21.2% a year earlier, and EPS fell 15.5% to $1.91, indicating cost pressures are eroding profitability.

Analyst Consensus+12.6% target
Hold(26 analysts)
9 Buy15 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Orderly cycle recovery

The bull case anticipates a structured recovery in the packaging cycle, supporting demand and pricing stability.

Wider containerboard spreads

Expanding margins in containerboard production are expected to drive profitability and earnings growth.

Effective price pass-through

The company's ability to pass on cost increases to customers helps maintain margins and revenue growth.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
PKG+20.29%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
PKG+28.83%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
PKG+68.63%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.34%
5-Year Return
PKG+104.44%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.35%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
30.6x
Forward P/EExpansion
23.5x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
12.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.1%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
30.6x
19.2x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
12.3x
10.7x
80th· High
Price/FCF
32.4x
25.4x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$108.72-56.5%
Base (Fair)$238.26-4.6%
Bull$402.81+61.3%
$108.72 Bear$238.26 Base$402.81 Bull
Current Market Price: $249.70
Trades at a 4.8% premium to Base DCF ($238.26)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$8.99B+7.2% YoY
Net income FY25
$769M-4.5% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$729M+39.7% YoY
Operating margin FY25
14%+0.8 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)12.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y14.8%
ROE (TTM)15.6%
Piotroski Score3 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 21, 2026
$3.04+3.8%
vs $2.93
$2.6B-0.4%
vs $2.6B
Q3 2026
Jul 22, 2026
$2.35+1.7%
vs $2.31
$2.5B-0.1%
vs $2.5B
Q2 2026
Apr 22, 2026
$2.40+12.1%
vs $2.14
$2.4B-2.4%
vs $2.4B
Q1 2026
Jan 27, 2026
$2.32-3.7%
vs $2.41
$2.4B-3.0%
vs $2.4B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·Oct 28, 2026
Why Packaging Corp. (PKG) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term

The Zacks Style Scores offers investors a way to easily find top-rated stocks based on their investing style. Here's why you should take advantage.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 23, 2026
Here's Why Packaging Corp. (PKG) is a Strong Growth Stock

The Zacks Style Scores offers investors a way to easily find top-rated stocks based on their investing style. Here's why you should take advantage.

GuruFocus·Oct 23, 2026
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Beat-and-Raise Momentum Meets a Costly Q4 Setup

Net Income: Q3 2026 net income of $262 million, or $2.93 per share; excluding special items, $272 million, or $3.04 per share, versus Q3 2025's $247 million, or

GuruFocus·Oct 22, 2026
A Look at Packaging Corp of America (PKG) After 4.2% Gain -- GF Value $234.81 vs Price $248.92

On October 22, 2026, Packaging Corp of America (PKG) shares rose 4.2% to a current price of $248.92. The stock is performing well, with a 52-week range of $191.

Filtered for Packaging Corporation of AmericaMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark PKG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
PKG logoPKGPackaging Corporation of AmericaCurrent
$249.70$22.25B30.597.23%7.39%15.58%2.01%
IP logoIPInternational Paper Company
$34.53$18.28B-5.2833.71%-14.32%-24.19%5.36%
GPK logoGPKGraphic Packaging Holding Company
$11.19$3.31B44.90-2.16%0.86%2.27%3.85%
SON logoSONSonoco Products Company
$50.43$4.99B-24.1041.72%-2.82%-6.11%4.14%
CLW logoCLWClearwater Paper Corporation
$13.27$214.02M89.1812.42%0.16%0.3%—
SLGN logoSLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.
$41.09$4.34B16.6110.73%3.9%11.09%1.95%

Compare PKG vs Peers

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs IP

Most directly comparable listed peer for PKG.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare PKG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs IP, GPK, SON, CLW

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

PKG SEC Filings & Documents

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 13, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 23, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 29, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 8, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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PKG Frequently Asked Questions

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Packaging Corporation of America's revenue?

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) reported $9.82B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $8.99B in fiscal year 2025. That is 472% more than the $1.57B of fiscal year 1998.

How fast is Packaging Corporation of America growing?

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) grew revenue by 12.0% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is PKG profitable?

Yes. Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) earned $726.4M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 7.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does PKG pay dividends?

Yes. Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) pays a dividend that yields 2.01% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is PKG's return on equity?

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) had a return on equity (ROE) of 15.6% over the trailing twelve months. That is above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Packaging Corporation of America's free cash flow?

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) generated $686.6M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in PKG back in 1998?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 28+ years of data

See returns →