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SBSWSibanye Stillwater Limited
$10.55$8.5B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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SBSW logo

Sibanye Stillwater Limited

SBSW
NYSE · Gold
$10.55
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$8.48B
P/E-25.4x
52W High$21.29
Volume7.26M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Cyclical Recovery Masks Structural Balance Sheet Erosion

Sibanye Stillwater's recent 69.9% revenue growth and 30.3% operating margin in 2026Q2 suggest a cyclical rebound driven by favorable commodity prices, but this recovery appears fragile given the company's history of volatile earnings and a balance sheet that h...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

SBSW price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-206% Peers

P/E is 206% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 71 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 71)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Dec 1
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue has rebounded sharply with 69.9% growth in 2026Q2, but the recovery appears cyclical and masks underlying volatility, as net margin has swung from -85.1% in 2023Q4 to 19.7% currently, indicating earnings quality remains low due to non-cash impairments.

Analyst Consensus+35.1% target
Buy(14 analysts)
6 Buy5 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Diversified asset base

Sibanye Stillwater has a diversified portfolio in PGMs, gold, lithium, and recycling, providing multiple growth levers.

PGM price rebound

The stock has appreciated significantly as PGM prices rebounded, indicating sensitivity to commodity price improvements.

Undervalued valuation

SBSW's trailing and forward P/E ratios suggest the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings potential.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
SBSW-21.44%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
SBSW+10.18%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
SBSW+75.30%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.69%
5-Year Return
SBSW-8.01%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+62.33%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
-25.4x
Forward P/E
0.3x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
5.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-25.4x
0.4x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
5.2x
1.2x
100th· High
Price/FCF
82.2x
6.0x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$11.03+4.5%
Base (Fair)$17.75+52.2%
Bull$23.10+119.0%
$11.03 Bear$17.75 Base$23.10 Bull
Current Market Price: $10.55
Trades at a 40.6% discount to Base DCF ($17.75)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$120.1B+7.1% YoY
Net income
-$4.79B+34.4% YoY
Free cash flow
$1.69B+114.9% YoY
Operating margin
18.5%+15.2 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)22.9%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-10.4%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Sep 1, 2026
$1.34+6.3%
vs $1.26
$5.6B+7.1%
vs $5.2B
Q1 2026
Feb 20, 2026
-$0.14-125.4%
vs $0.55
$4.7B+20.6%
vs $3.9B
Q3 2025
Aug 28, 2025
$0.43+230.5%
vs $0.13
$3.1B+1.6%
vs $3.0B
Q1 2025
Feb 21, 2025
$0.01+108.0%
vs -$0.16
$3.2B+16.5%
vs $2.7B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·3d ago
MAC Alpha Capital Management LP Has $13.49 Million Stock Holdings in Sibanye Gold Limited $SBSW

MAC Alpha Capital Management LP grew its holdings in shares of Sibanye Gold Limited (NYSE: SBSW) by 81.4% during the second quarter, according to its most recent 13F filing with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 1,588,307 shares of the company's stock after buying an additional 712,537 shares during the period. Sibanye Gold

Seeking Alpha·Sep 2, 2026
Sibanye Stillwater's 1H Results Trigger Massive Turnaround Upside (Review)

Sibanye Stillwater Limited remains a 'Buy' after strong 1H 2026 results and a robust growth roadmap for 2027-2028. SBSW delivered 54% YoY revenue growth, 111% YoY EBITDA growth, and a 600% surge in operating cash flow, highlighting operational momentum. Management's pivot to disciplined capital allocation, deleveraging, and targeted CAPEX supports margin expansion and risk mitigation.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 1, 2026
Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha·Sep 1, 2026
Sibanye Stillwater: The Bull Case Just Got Stronger

Sibanye Stillwater Limited remains a leading global PGM and gold producer with expanding battery and base metals exposure. My Buy rating on SBSW has outperformed the S&P 500 but lagged sector ETFs like GDX and XME. Recent share price recovery is supported by first-half results showing restructuring and commodity price gains translating to cash flow.

Filtered for Sibanye Stillwater LimitedMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark SBSW against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
SBSW logoSBSWSibanye Stillwater LimitedCurrent
$10.55$8.48B-25.367.11%-3.99%-10.36%0.23%
PAL logoPALProficient Auto Logistics, Inc. Common Stock
$3.86$107.19M-3.1978.71%-9.24%-12.39%—
SA logoSASeabridge Gold Inc.
$31.20$3.36B-84.66——3.1%—
NEM logoNEMNewmont Corporation
$123.55$130.18B19.2719.08%38.06%24.89%—
AEM logoAEMAgnico Eagle Mines Limited
$195.57$99.03B22.0743.71%40.43%22.64%—
KGC logoKGCKinross Gold Corporation
$27.62$32.98B13.8839.34%37.57%35.26%—

Compare SBSW vs Peers

Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PAL

Most directly comparable listed peer for SBSW.

Scale Benchmark

vs BHP

Larger-name benchmark to compare SBSW against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PAL, SA, NEM, AEM

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SBSW Frequently Asked Questions

Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Sibanye Stillwater Limited's revenue?

Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) reported $276.08B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1387% increase from $18.57B in 2011.

How fast is Sibanye Stillwater Limited growing?

Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) grew revenue by 7.1% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is SBSW profitable?

Yes, Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) is profitable, generating $13.43B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (-4.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does SBSW pay dividends?

Yes, Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.23%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is SBSW's return on equity?

Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) has a return on equity (ROE) of -10.4%. Negative ROE indicates the company is unprofitable.

What is Sibanye Stillwater Limited's free cash flow?

Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) generated $13.95B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in SBSW back in 2011?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 15+ years of data

See returns →