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SWSmurfit Westrock plc
$43.04$22.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
SW logo

Smurfit Westrock plc

SW
NYSE · Packaging
$43.04
At close - Oct 1, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$22.57B
P/E32.4x
52W High$52.65
Volume5.18M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Post-Merger Deleveraging Masks Persistent Margin Compression

Smurfit Westrock's dramatic deleveraging to a 0.05 D/E ratio in 2026Q2 from $14.3B debt in 2026Q1 suggests a strategic restructuring, yet underlying operational strain persists as gross margins contracted to 17.4% from 20.6% in 2025Q1. The company's capital-in...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

SW price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

1/12 Beats

EPS beat 1 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+109% Peers

P/E is 109% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 71 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 71)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth stalled to 1.1% in 2026Q2 from 16.2% in 2025Q3, while gross margin compressed to 17.4% from 20.6% in 2025Q1, indicating persistent margin pressure.

Analyst Consensus+68.1% target
Buy(11 analysts)
11 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Sustainable packaging leadership

Smurfit Westrock is a leading sustainable packaging partner with an unrivalled product portfolio, expertise, and global presence across 40 countries.

Global scale and expertise

The company operates 500+ packaging facilities and 57 mills worldwide, offering significant scale and industry expertise.

Strong analyst coverage

A bullish thesis on Smurfit Westrock Plc has been highlighted by The Forward Ledger's Substack, indicating positive analyst sentiment.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 10/3/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
SW+12.11%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+11.83%
1-Year Return
SW+5.08%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+14.29%
3-Year Return
SW+34.79%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.25%
5-Year Return
SW-0.09%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.34%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
32.0x
Forward P/EExpansion
19.2x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
7.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
32.0x
16.4x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
7.8x
7.9x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
18.6x
18.2x
75th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$18.71-56.5%
Base (Fair)$55.96+31.5%
Bull$106.02+146.3%
$18.71 Bear$55.96 Base$106.02 Bull
Current Market Price: $43.04
Trades at a 23.1% discount to Base DCF ($55.96)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$31.18B+53.0% YoY
Net income
$699M+127.0% YoY
Free cash flow
$1.2B+6958.8% YoY
Operating margin
7.1%+2.4 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)3.6%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate1/12 (11%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (56%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 29, 2026
$0.35-13.5%
vs $0.40
$8.0B+1.2%
vs $7.9B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$0.33-16.0%
vs $0.39
$7.7B+1.9%
vs $7.6B
Q1 2026
Feb 11, 2026
$0.34-28.7%
vs $0.48
$7.6B+0.1%
vs $7.6B
Q4 2025
Oct 29, 2025
$0.58-14.7%
vs $0.68
$8.0B+4.9%
vs $7.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·Sep 24, 2026
Is Smurfit Westrock Set to Gain From Its Recent Portfolio Actions?

SW's Chile deal and asset rationalization could strengthen its regional footprint, cut costs and support long-term growth.

Business Wire·Sep 23, 2026
Smurfit Westrock Announces Agreement to Acquire CMPC's Chilean Containerboard and Corrugated Business

DUBLIN--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Smurfit Westrock plc (“Smurfit Westrock” or the “Company”) (NYSE: SW) is pleased to announce its agreement to acquire the Chilean Containerboard and Corrugated business of Empresas CMPC S.A. (“CMPC”) for consideration of $420 million, which represents a post-synergy transaction multiple of less than 6 times Adjusted EBITDA. We believe the business is highly complementary to our existing operations and provides an excellent platform from which to continue growing alongsi.

Defense World·Aug 20, 2026
Critical Contrast: Smurfit Westrock (NYSE:SW) and TriMas (NASDAQ:TRS)

TriMas (NASDAQ: TRS - Get Free Report) and Smurfit Westrock (NYSE: SW - Get Free Report) are both materials companies, but which is the superior business? We will contrast the two companies based on the strength of their risk, earnings, profitability, analyst recommendations, institutional ownership, valuation and dividends. Risk and Volatility TriMas has a beta of 0.6,

Defense World·Aug 18, 2026
Smurfit Westrock PLC $SW Shares Sold by Empowered Funds LLC

Empowered Funds LLC lessened its holdings in Smurfit Westrock PLC (NYSE: SW) by 34.6% in the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 22,363 shares of the company's stock after selling 11,821 shares during the period. Empowered Funds

Filtered for Smurfit Westrock plcMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark SW against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Smurfit Westrock plc (SW)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
SW logoSWSmurfit Westrock plcCurrent
$43.04$22.57B32.3653.01%2.24%3.59%3.98%
IP logoIPInternational Paper Company
$32.53$17.23B-4.8533.71%-14.2%-22.39%—
PKG logoPKGPackaging Corporation of America
$229.74$20.47B26.787.23%7.25%14.86%—
GPK logoGPKGraphic Packaging Holding Company
$8.96$2.65B6.05-2.16%2.25%5.92%—
SON logoSONSonoco Products Company
$48.50$4.8B12.1941.72%8.67%18.3%—
SEE logoSEESealed Air Corporation
$42.15$6.21B12.29-0.61%9.43%48.39%—

Compare SW vs Peers

Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs IP

Most directly comparable listed peer for SW.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare SW against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs IP, PKG, GPK, SON

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

SW SEC Filings & Documents

Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 1, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 7, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

4
FY 2026

Jul 31, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 7, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Aug 7, 2025·SEC

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SW Frequently Asked Questions

Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Smurfit Westrock plc's revenue?

Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) reported $30.31B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 662% increase from $3.98B in 2004.

How fast is Smurfit Westrock plc growing?

Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) grew revenue by 53.0% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is SW profitable?

Yes, Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) is profitable, generating $487.5M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (2.2% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does SW pay dividends?

Yes, Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) pays a dividend with a yield of 3.98%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is SW's return on equity?

Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) has a return on equity (ROE) of 3.6%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is Smurfit Westrock plc's free cash flow?

Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) generated $1.01B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in SW back in 2004?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 22+ years of data

See returns →