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TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
$375.44$1.95T
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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TSM logo

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

TSM
NYSE · Semiconductors
$375.44
At close - USD
Market Cap$1.95T
P/E36.9x
52W High$487.47
Volume23.18M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

AI Demand Drives Margin Expansion, Concentration Risk Persists

TSM's revenue rose from roughly $759.7B in 2024Q3 to about $1.5T in 2026Q3, with gross margin climbing from 53.2% to 66.4% and operating margin reaching 58.6%, suggesting strong pricing power driven by AI and advanced-node demand.

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

TSM price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-24% Peers

P/E is 24% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 48 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 52% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 15
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue grew about 51% year over year to roughly $1.5T in 2026Q3 while gross margin expanded to 66.4% and operating margin to 58.6%, indicating strong operating leverage that may be sensitive to any slowdown in AI-driven demand.

Analyst Consensus+56.0% target
Buy(25 analysts)
18 Buy7 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong AI Chip Demand

TSMC is a critical manufacturer for AI chip designers like Nvidia and AMD, with demand expected to fuel significant revenue growth.

Impressive Q1 2026 Results

TSMC reported over 35% year-over-year revenue growth and a gross margin of 66.2%, prompting an upward revision of full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance to above 30%.

High Growth in AI Revenue

Management projects AI accelerator revenue to grow at a mid- to high-50s CAGR through 2029.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Geopolitical Risks

Tensions surrounding Taiwan could lead to supply chain disruptions or operational impacts for TSMC.

Overseas Fab Costs

Building fabs overseas, especially in Arizona, may dilute margins and increase costs due to chemical and gas pricing pressures.

Potential Margin Compression

Despite strong Q1 margins, there are concerns about future margin compression.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
TSM+18.40%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
TSM+31.11%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
TSM+314.04%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+82.66%
5-Year Return
TSM+219.50%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.80%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
25.3x
Forward P/EExpansion
0.7x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
17.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
2.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
25.3x
0.9x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
17.2x
0.3x
100th· High
Price/FCF
42.4x
1.6x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$332.76-11.4%
Base (Fair)$551.17+46.8%
Bull$844.21+124.9%
$332.76 Bear$551.17 Base$844.21 Bull
Current Market Price: $375.44
Trades at a 31.9% discount to Base DCF ($551.17)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$3848.51B+33.0% YoY
Net income FY25
$1735.68B+49.8% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$1097.58B+26.1% YoY
Operating margin FY25
50.8%+5.1 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)42.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)35.9%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 15, 2026
$4.60+3.4%
vs $4.45
$46.1B+0.9%
vs $45.7B
Q3 2026
Jul 16, 2026
$4.22+10.8%
vs $3.81
$40.2B+0.9%
vs $39.8B
Q2 2026
Apr 15, 2026
$3.49+5.4%
vs $3.31
$36.0B+1.8%
vs $35.4B
Q1 2026
Jan 15, 2026
$3.09+6.6%
vs $2.90
$33.1B+0.4%
vs $33.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
The Motley Fool·1d ago
TSMC Makes the Chips for Both Nvidia and AMD. Here's What a $5,000 Investment Could Be Worth by 2030.

TSMC makes chips for clients that are competitors to each other. Taiwan Semiconductor's stock is trading below its normal valuation range.

24/7 Wall Street·1d ago
Forget Nvidia. Here's the Company Behind the Chips

Every AI chip from Nvidia and Broadcom runs through one company's fabs, yet that company trades at a fraction of the valuation its customers command. The gap raises a question worth answering before the market closes it.

24/7 Wall Street·1d ago
Taiwan Semiconductor Just Won Big in The Midterms

A brutal 26% monthly slide has shaken Asian chip stocks, yet one investor sees election week as a reason to hold tighter. What tax-code provision and AI demand keep him buying, and which risk does he refuse to ignore?

24/7 Wall Street·1d ago
Wall Street's AI Crash Just Hit Asia: Korea Halted, Japan in a Bear Market

Two memory chip makers drive one Korea fund, and Wall Street's AI selloff just hammered both before Asia even opened. Why did one ETF fall twice as hard as its Japan rival, and what would prove the panic is over?

Filtered for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company LimitedMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark TSM against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
TSM logoTSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company LimitedCurrent
$375.44$1.95T36.9332.97%45.1%35.88%0.74%
INTC logoINTCIntel Corp.
$56.28$283.88B-955.52-0.47%-20.09%-9.9%—
GFS logoGFSGLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.
$38.62$21.19B24.290.61%10.32%6.05%—
UMC logoUMCUnited Microelectronics Corporation
$13.85$34.55B27.172.26%31.93%19.95%3.18%
AMAT logoAMATApplied Materials, Inc.
$332.72$264.16B38.424.39%30.05%40.44%0.51%
LRCX logoLRCXLam Research Corporation
$200.44$250.66B34.8026.02%32.34%71.75%0.5%

Compare TSM vs Peers

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs INTC

Most directly comparable listed peer for TSM.

Scale Benchmark

vs AAPL

Larger-name benchmark to compare TSM against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs INTC, GFS, UMC, AMAT

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TSM Frequently Asked Questions

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited's revenue?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) reported $4.95T in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $3.85T in fiscal year 2025. That is 8636% more than the $44.05B of fiscal year 1997.

How fast is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited growing?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) grew revenue by 33.0% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is TSM profitable?

Yes. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) earned $2.55T in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 51.5% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does TSM pay dividends?

Yes. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) pays a dividend that yields 0.74% at the current price, a small yield.

What is TSM's return on equity?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) had a return on equity (ROE) of 35.9% in fiscal year 2025. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited's free cash flow?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) generated $1.56T in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in TSM back in 1997?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 29+ years of data

See returns →