Vale's investment thesis is a play on iron ore price recovery and operational leverage, with its high fixed-cost structure allowing operating income to scale significantly on revenue gains, as seen in the 89% increase from 2025Q1 to 2025Q3. However, the fundam...
Price trend, volume and key moving averages
Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.
Revenue growth is highly volatile, swinging from -26.2% to +19.2% over the last ten quarters, while net margin has been severely compressed to a trailing 6.47% due to significant non-operational provisions.
Vale S.A.'s trailing and forward P/E ratios of 12.91 and 8.13 respectively indicate a potentially undervalued stock.
Multiple bullish theses on Vale S.A. highlight growing investor confidence in the company's prospects.
Vale S.A.'s share price appreciation suggests positive market reception to its fundamentals and growth potential.
Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).
Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.
Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.
| Quarter | EPS (Act vs Est) | Revenue (Act vs Est) |
|---|---|---|
Q3 2026Latest Jul 30, 2026 | $0.36-12.2% vs $0.41 | $10.5B+0.2% vs $10.5B |
Q2 2026 Apr 28, 2026 | $0.44-6.4% vs $0.47 | $9.3B-2.8% vs $9.5B |
Q1 2026 Feb 12, 2026 | -$0.90-257.9% vs $0.57 | $11.1B+1.5% vs $10.9B |
Q4 2025 Oct 30, 2025 | $0.63+28.6% vs $0.49 | $10.4B-3.7% vs $10.8B |
Vale's iron ore business is still doing little to help the bull case, with realized prices near $95/t and cost pressure keeping earnings upside limited. Vale Base Metals is becoming much more important, with copper now driving most of VBM's EBITDA and improving the company's overall earnings mix. That stronger Base Metals contribution may justify a richer multiple for Vale, but the company is still predominantly a ferrous story.
The latest trading day saw VALE S.A. (VALE) settling at $14.61, representing a -4.07% change from its previous close.
VALE (VALE) has been one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users lately. So, it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.
In the most recent trading session, VALE S.A. (VALE) closed at $15.56, indicating a +1.9% shift from the previous trading day.
Benchmark VALE against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.
Key metrics vs top competitors for Vale S.A. (VALE)
| Company | Price | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | Rev Growth (1Y) | Net Margin | ROE | Div Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $14.19 | $60.51B | 24.47 | 0.46% | 6.47% | 7.16% | 5.89% | |
| $97.49 | $158.42B | 15.98 | 7.67% | 19.31% | 34.54% | — | |
| $87.83 | $223.12B | 24.67 | -7.9% | 17.13% | 35.35% | — | |
| $12.53 | $7.15B | -4.18 | -3% | -4.56% | -14.68% | — | |
| $73.78 | $56.15B | 17.95 | -1.74% | 2.88% | 3.19% | — | |
| $245.66 | $55.95B | 32.67 | 5.73% | 7.99% | 12.84% | — |
Vale S.A. (VALE) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.
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Vale S.A. (VALE) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained
Vale S.A. (VALE) reported $41.22B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 948% increase from $3.94B in 2000.
Vale S.A. (VALE) grew revenue by 0.5% over the past year. Growth has been modest.
Yes, Vale S.A. (VALE) is profitable, generating $2.03B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (6.5% net margin).
Yes, Vale S.A. (VALE) pays a dividend with a yield of 5.89%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.
Vale S.A. (VALE) has a return on equity (ROE) of 7.2%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.
Vale S.A. (VALE) generated $3.86B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.
