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VISTVista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
$64.63$6.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
VIST logo

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.

VIST
NYSE · Oil & Gas E&P
$64.63
At close - Oct 1, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$6.74B
P/E9.6x
52W High$81.44
Volume1.1M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Accelerating Revenue Growth Masks Persistent Cash Burn

Vista Energy is executing a high-growth strategy in the Vaca Muerta shale play, with revenue surging 102.3% YoY in 2026Q2 to $1.2B and gross margins expanding to 57.4%. However, the company's capital-intensive model requires CapEx averaging over 50% of revenue...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

VIST price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

3/12 Beats

EPS beat 3 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-54% Peers

P/E is 54% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 59 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 59)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 16
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 102.3% YoY in 2026Q2, with gross margin expanding to 57.4% from 47.4% in 2025Q4, reflecting strong operational leverage and cost control.

Analyst Consensus+41.6% target
Buy(6 analysts)
6 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Vaca Muerta pure play

Vista Energy is a high-growth company focused on the Vaca Muerta shale formation, positioning it as a pure play in this lucrative region.

Equinor assets acquisition

The company is adding scale through the acquisition of Equinor assets, enhancing its resource base and operational footprint.

VMOS exports expansion

Vista Energy is leveraging VMOS exports to expand its market reach and capitalize on international demand for its resources.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 10/3/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
VIST+32.41%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+11.83%
1-Year Return
VIST+91.72%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+14.29%
3-Year Return
VIST+112.60%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+76.70%
5-Year Return
VIST+1085.87%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+53.45%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
9.6x
Forward P/EExpansion
7.3x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
6.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
9.6x
7.4x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
6.0x
3.8x
100th· High
Price/FCF
N/A
7.5x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$235.91+265.0%
Base (Fair)$395.60+486.7%
Bull$710.90+1000.0%
$235.91 Bear$395.60 Base$710.90 Bull
Current Market Price: $64.63
Trades at a 83.7% discount to Base DCF ($395.60)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$2.47B+50.2% YoY
Net income
$719M+50.6% YoY
Free cash flow
-$822M-683.7% YoY
Operating margin
33.5%-4.5 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)16.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)34.8%
Piotroski Score2 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (36%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 16, 2026
$2.38-24.4%
vs $3.15
$1.1B-6.9%
vs $1.2B
Q2 2026
Apr 29, 2026
$0.89-37.3%
vs $1.42
$671M-5.2%
vs $708M
Q1 2026
Feb 25, 2026
$0.80-28.7%
vs $1.12
$719M+7.6%
vs $668M
Q4 2025
Oct 22, 2025
$1.48+19.4%
vs $1.24
$706M+7.9%
vs $655M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
The Motley Fool·Sep 18, 2026
Vista Energy's 2026 Outlook: Shale Expansion Drives 70% Adjusted EBITDA Margins

Vista Energy delivers rapid growth in the Vaca Muerta basin through aggressive capital deployment. High debt levels and negative free cash flow reflect the costs of rapid operational expansion.

Benzinga·Sep 10, 2026
Vista Stock Surges as Crude Tops $100 Again: What's Happening?

Vista Energy SAB de CV (NYSE:VIST) shares are trading higher Thursday along with other oil and gas names as crude prices climb above $100 a barrel. Here's what you should know.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 8, 2026
TCW White Oak Emerging Markets Equity Fund Q2 2026 Contributors And Detractors

The TCW White Oak Emerging Markets Equity Fund, I Class returned 23.21% in the second quarter of 2026, underperforming the MSCI Daily Total Return Net Emerging Markets Index return of 24.05% by 84 basis points. Key contributors included SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, and Shandong Sinocera. AIA Group, Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing, and Vista Energy were among the key detractors.

Fool - Investing News·Aug 29, 2026
Peter Thiel's Fund Reported Zero Stocks for 2 Straight Quarters. Its $419 Million Comeback Put 72% Into Energy and Power.

The fund reported nothing for six months. Its comeback filing lists one tech stock and seven energy bets.

Filtered for Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark VIST against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
VIST logoVISTVista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.Current
$64.63$6.74B9.6350.15%29.06%34.8%—
CEPU logoCEPUCentral Puerto S.A.
$11.83$1.77B6.7248.67%28.61%17.68%—
YPF logoYPFYPF Sociedad Anónima
$49.27$19.09B-24.5648.25%3.54%6.11%—
GGAL logoGGALGrupo Financiero Galicia S.A.
$36.07$5.79B38.7113.44%1.42%2.12%—
CRESY logoCRESYCresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria
$11.36$736.97M9999.0028.51%16.79%7.31%—
VNOM logoVNOMViper Energy, Inc.
$40.69$14.65B-84.7756.56%3%0.56%—

Compare VIST vs Peers

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CEPU

Most directly comparable listed peer for VIST.

Scale Benchmark

vs TTE

Larger-name benchmark to compare VIST against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CEPU, YPF, GGAL, CRESY

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VIST Frequently Asked Questions

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s revenue?

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) reported $3.53B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1680% increase from $198.1M in 2017.

How fast is Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. growing?

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) grew revenue by 50.2% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is VIST profitable?

Yes, Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) is profitable, generating $841.7M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (29.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is VIST's return on equity?

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) has a return on equity (ROE) of 34.8%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s free cash flow?

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) generated $138.1M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in VIST back in 2017?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 9+ years of data

See returns →