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WFGWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.
$73.07$5.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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WFG logo

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.

WFG
NYSE · Paper & Forest Products
$73.07
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$5.55B
P/E-6.1x
52W High$76.99
Volume281.51K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Cyclical Trough Tests Fortress Balance Sheet

West Fraser is navigating a prolonged cyclical downturn in lumber markets, with revenue down 10.3% YoY in 2026Q2 and gross margins at 2.3%, indicating prices below cash costs. However, the company's fortress balance sheet (D/E of 0.07) and cumulative operating...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityNegative
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

WFG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

3/12 Beats

EPS beat 3 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-125% Peers

P/E is 125% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 68 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 68)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue contracted for the fifth consecutive quarter (-10.3% YoY in 2026Q2), with gross margin collapsing to 2.3% from 25.9% in 2026Q1, reflecting prices below cash costs.

Analyst Consensus+15.0% target
Buy(6 analysts)
6 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong balance sheet

West Fraser's financial resilience, with $1.6 billion in liquidity and a positive net cash position, provides flexibility for counter-cyclical investments.

Low-cost operator advantage

The company's ability to maintain low operational costs enhances profitability and long-term growth potential.

Shareholder value focus

West Fraser prioritizes delivering shareholder value through prudent financial management and reinvestment of profits.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
WFG+17.37%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
WFG+7.43%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
WFG+8.42%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.64%
5-Year Return
WFG-2.48%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.86%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
-6.1x
Forward P/E
N/A
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
81.1x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-6.1x
3.5x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
81.1x
11.9x
100th· High
Price/FCF
N/A
40.4x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$14.37-80.3%
Base (Fair)$29.32-59.0%
Bull$35.39-51.6%
$14.37 Bear$29.32 Base$35.39 Bull
Current Market Price: $73.07
Trades at a 149.2% premium to Base DCF ($29.32)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$5.55B-10.1% YoY
Net income
-$953M-18952.5% YoY
Free cash flow
-$317M-282.3% YoY
Operating margin
-8.7%-8.8 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)-5.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-14.9%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 29, 2026
-$0.78-11.1%
vs -$0.70
$1.4B-1.4%
vs $1.5B
Q2 2026
Apr 29, 2026
-$2.40-95.1%
vs -$1.23
$1.3B+1.4%
vs $1.3B
Q1 2026
Feb 11, 2026
-$9.63-306.0%
vs -$2.37
$1.2B-2.3%
vs $1.2B
Q4 2025
Oct 22, 2025
-$2.63-52.9%
vs -$1.72
$1.3B+9.8%
vs $1.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
PRNewsWire·Sep 16, 2026
West Fraser Announces Term Loan Refinancing and Declares Dividend

VANCOUVER, BC, Sept. 16, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.

Defense World·Sep 12, 2026
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. $WFG Shares Sold by Amundi

Amundi lowered its stake in shares of West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (NYSE: WFG) by 16.8% during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 159,700 shares of the company's stock after selling 32,316 shares during the period. Amundi owned

Defense World·Aug 27, 2026
Orchids Paper Products (OTCMKTS:TISUQ) & West Fraser Timber (NYSE:WFG) Head to Head Survey

Orchids Paper Products (OTCMKTS:TISUQ - Get Free Report) and West Fraser Timber (NYSE: WFG - Get Free Report) are both materials companies, but which is the better business? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their profitability, risk, dividends, institutional ownership, analyst recommendations, earnings and valuation. Insider and Institutional Ownership 40.2% of

Seeking Alpha·Aug 11, 2026
West Fraser Timber Still Shows No Sign Of Turning Around, And The Cycle Is Worsening

West Fraser Timber remains in deeply depressed territory, with no signs of cyclical improvement and ongoing cash burn to reach normalization. 2Q26 adjusted EBITDA was flat sequentially and halved year-over-year, with NA EWP EBITDA collapsing from $68M to $13M due to OSB weakness. WFG's balance sheet is not in immediate danger but is strained; operating cash flow is insufficient to cover CAPEX and dividends without seasonal working-capital releases.

Filtered for West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark WFG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
WFG logoWFGWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.Current
$73.07$5.55B-6.06-10.06%-17.15%-14.9%1.78%
WY logoWYWeyerhaeuser Company
$21.17$15.26B47.04-3.07%6.84%5%—
PCH logoPCHPotlatchDeltic Corporation
$41.73$3.23B149.043.71%5.76%3.26%—
RYN logoRYNRayonier Inc.
$19.86$3.07B45.14-61.64%7.83%1.99%—
LPX logoLPXLouisiana-Pacific Corporation
$68.02$4.75B32.70-7.92%2.19%3.11%—
BCC logoBCCBoise Cascade Company
$77.76$2.74B22.09-4.75%1.64%5.12%—

Compare WFG vs Peers

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs WY

Most directly comparable listed peer for WFG.

Scale Benchmark

vs CAT

Larger-name benchmark to compare WFG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs WY, PCH, RYN, LPX

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WFG Frequently Asked Questions

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.'s revenue?

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) reported $4.83B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 303% increase from $1.20B in 1996.

How fast is West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. growing?

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) saw revenue decline by 10.1% over the past year.

Is WFG profitable?

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) reported a net loss of $1.16B for fiscal year 2025.

Dividend & Returns
Does WFG pay dividends?

Yes, West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) pays a dividend with a yield of 1.78%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is WFG's return on equity?

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) has a return on equity (ROE) of -14.9%. Negative ROE indicates the company is unprofitable.

What is West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.'s free cash flow?

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) had negative free cash flow of $481.4M in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in WFG back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →