...
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.
$18.85
Financials
WATCHLIST
Analysis updated: Jan 15, 2026

Investment Thesis

RIVN has STRONG fundamentals but no low-risk entry point yet. Watch for base formation or pullback entry. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

Good earnings but no pattern = Wait for setup

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+56%
Q4'24
$-0.70
+68%
Q1'25
$-0.48
+34%
Q2'25
$-0.97
+11%
Q3'25
$-0.96
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Aligned Uptrend
Price
$18.85
50 DMA
$17.61
100 DMA
$15.69
150 DMA
$14.82
200 DMA
$14.48
Alignment Score: 4/4✓ Confirmed Uptrend

RIVN Price Chart

Loading chart...

50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
79 (Top 21%)>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Breakout Status
-7.1% below entry ($20.28)Price above breakout entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on RIVN, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
79/99
Top 21% (Need 80+)
Trend
Aligned Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
51
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 4/9
Volume
24.7M
-51% vs avg
From Entry
-7.1%
$20.28

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+11%
Growing
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+78%
Accelerating
F-Score
4/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
-60%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
69/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Breakout Failed

Breakout failed — now -7.1% from entry.

Setup invalid. Wait for new base to form before considering re-entry.

Entry Price$20.28Breakout price
Current Loss-7.1%Below entry
Stop Was$18.66Should have exited

If/Then Playbook

IF: Stock begins forming a base (pullback 10-20%)
THEN: Add to active watch for VCP development
IF: Pullback to 20 DMA or 10 EMA
THEN: Consider low-risk add on bounce
IF: VCP pattern develops (base tightens)
THEN: Calculate pivot and prepare trade plan
IF: Price drops >20% from highs
THEN: Watch for Stage 2 breakdown
IF: Next earnings confirms growth acceleration
THEN: Maintain on priority list

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 20 DMA$19.96+5.9%
  • 52W High$22.69+20.4%
Current$18.85

Support

  • 50 DMA$17.61-6.6%
  • 200 DMA$14.48-23.2%
  • 52W Low$10.36-45.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is RIVN stock a buy now?

RIVN has STRONG fundamentals but no low-risk entry point yet. Watch for base formation or pullback entry. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

What is the buy point for RIVN?

RIVN's breakout at $20.28 has failed (now -7.1% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.

What is RIVN's RS Rating?

RIVN has an RS Rating of 79/99, meaning it's in the Top 21% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.